No Run in the 1st Inning.

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  • Pew Pew
    SBR MVP
    • 12-21-10
    • 2267

    #351
    Yes please do it stccc.

    lol all the first innings runs I've watched by the Rays involved Damon. Dude always screws me.
    Comment
    • DemoralizdDreamr
      SBR MVP
      • 02-04-11
      • 4319

      #352
      liriano is really taking it up the ass. This guy sucks!!!! i only put .5 unit on it, good thing the red sox cashed.
      Comment
      • stc9357
        Restricted User
        • 04-18-10
        • 2005

        #353
        Yeah I pissed at this series I've bet it before and it bites me in the ass oh well lost profits tomorrow is another day.
        Comment
        • DaBA
          Restricted User
          • 04-22-10
          • 163

          #354
          Good luck.
          Your (#x) value is gonna be critical to overcome the high vig.
          Comment
          • mac miller
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-27-11
            • 749

            #355
            3-2 TODAY +0.57 UNITS

            YTD: (40-22) 65% IN WINS +7.453

            tough loss with tam v min.. lets try and have a better day tomorrow
            Last edited by mac miller; 04-27-11, 07:43 PM.
            Comment
            • mac miller
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 01-27-11
              • 749

              #356
              Originally posted by TheAntFather
              We need to make a list of pitchers who start slow and give up 1st Inning runs. Francis would make the top of that list. He gave up a run in the 1st Inning in his last start or start before that one. I'mb blacklisting him.
              this is a good idea.. i already use a lot of data in calculating no runs but if we can all work together on this somehow, we could make this into a very profitable season
              Comment
              • TheAntFather
                SBR MVP
                • 03-14-11
                • 3021

                #357
                Originally posted by stc9357
                You exactly right I might start a database really soon it would help extensively.
                That would be great. Add Liriano to that list. He just gave up 4 runs to the Rays??? Lmaoo. I think we're onto something here. Both Francis and Liriano are both lefties...most hitters in MLB are right handed.

                We might need to blacklist all lefties unless they are having a Cy Young year it seems. Ah well...another lesson learned.

                The 2 games we won today...both pitchers on both sides were right handed pitchers...in fact the eight pitchers in the 4 games we bet on today...6 pitchers were right handed...(Billingsley, Sanchez, Beckett, Guthrie, Tomlin, and Wade Davis)..The righties didn't surrender a run in the 1st Inning...Guess who did...The only 2 lefties in Jeff Francis and Liriano.

                I think we're onto something Stc..Check into that..I'm tired of losing let's screw the books.
                Comment
                • TheAntFather
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-14-11
                  • 3021

                  #358
                  Also..I know hindsight is 20/20 but we should have picked NO Score 1st Inning OAK/LAA. Both right handed pitchers on top of their game. I'm not insisting picking all right handed pitching matchups. We'll leave the bums out. We can still be selective.
                  Comment
                  • stc9357
                    Restricted User
                    • 04-18-10
                    • 2005

                    #359
                    Originally posted by TheAntFather
                    Also..I know hindsight is 20/20 but we should have picked NO Score 1st Inning OAK/LAA. Both right handed pitchers on top of their game. I'm not insisting picking all right handed pitching matchups. We'll leave the bums out. We can still be selective.
                    You might be on to something I'll start back from the start of the season and check on that.
                    Comment
                    • TheAntFather
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-14-11
                      • 3021

                      #360
                      Originally posted by stc9357
                      You might be on to something I'll start back from the start of the season and check on that.
                      Maybe if 2 lefties are starting against each other..we can throw a unit on YES Score 1st Inning. Especially if it's 2 crappy lefties. I'll be waiting for a Francis/Liriano matchup and put 10X on YES Score 1st Inning..lol

                      Ok..check this out Stc..there were only 2 games today that both lefties started on both sides...Hamels vs Joe Saunders = 3 runs scored 1st Inning all given up by a crappy lefty in Joe Saunders. The other game Jo-Jo Reyes vs Derek Holland = 0 runs scored 1st Inning. So that's 1-1 today on all lefty matchups.

                      The significance of this is that the final score of the Phillies D-Backs game was 8-4 = OVER for the game. The Rangers Blue Jays are in the Bottom 4th and the score = 6-5 so far = OVER for the game.

                      We might need to look back a week on this on all lefty matchups and check how many games went over 10.
                      Comment
                      • TheAntFather
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-14-11
                        • 3021

                        #361
                        April 26th

                        ONLY LHP vs LHP for the day. 1-0 for April 26th
                        Rockies vs Cubs: De La Rosa vs James Russell both Left Handed Pitchers = 3 Runs Scored 1st Inning....Final Score 4-3...(De La Rosa) gave up 2 Runs 1st Inning and (Russell) gave up 1 Run 1st Inning.

                        April 25th

                        ONLY LHP vs LHP for the day. 1-0 for April 25th
                        Nationals vs Pirates: John Lannan vs Paul Maholm both LHP = 2 Runs Scored 1st Inning...Final Score 4-2...Both 1st Inning Runs given up by (Maholm).

                        I'm just saying I'm trying to stay away from left handed Pitchers..especially in the 1st Inning No Score Bets. Unless they are truly dominant lefties I guess.
                        Last edited by TheAntFather; 04-27-11, 09:25 PM.
                        Comment
                        • mac miller
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 01-27-11
                          • 749

                          #362
                          this is a good observation, ill try to incorporate this into my system tomorrow and will see how the results turn out
                          Comment
                          • jnsbanman
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 01-08-11
                            • 526

                            #363
                            Here is a link to a spreadsheet I have been updating everyday... It consists of Scored at home, scored away, allowed at home and allowed away. It may help you.

                            Comment
                            • stc9357
                              Restricted User
                              • 04-18-10
                              • 2005

                              #364
                              Thanks for the info:
                              [COLOR=#000000 ! important] Pittsburgh To Score First (+115) (1x)[/COLOR]
                              Comment
                              • syy211
                                Restricted User
                                • 12-28-09
                                • 468

                                #365
                                like the pick. gl to all
                                Comment
                                • Jackie Moon
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 04-21-11
                                  • 207

                                  #366
                                  Originally posted by mac miller
                                  this is a good observation, ill try to incorporate this into my system tomorrow and will see how the results turn out
                                  Do you ever look at anything like this? http://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/stat...-runs-per-game
                                  Comment
                                  • stc9357
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 04-18-10
                                    • 2005

                                    #367
                                    I do jackie moon its already been bookmarked since the start of the season.
                                    Comment
                                    • stc9357
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 04-18-10
                                      • 2005

                                      #368
                                      Adding Detroit/Seattle No Score (-120) (2x)

                                      (Will most likely be adding Texas To Score First later)
                                      Comment
                                      • squintz4
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 01-04-09
                                        • 374

                                        #369
                                        great call on the Pirates, scored first as stated
                                        Comment
                                        • mac miller
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 01-27-11
                                          • 749

                                          #370
                                          SEA V. DET NO SCORE 1ST INNING (-140) 1X

                                          gl
                                          Comment
                                          • stc9357
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 04-18-10
                                            • 2005

                                            #371
                                            Originally posted by squintz4
                                            great call on the Pirates, scored first as stated
                                            Thanks I usually do pretty well with those.
                                            Comment
                                            • hubba_chubba
                                              SBR Rookie
                                              • 02-01-11
                                              • 13

                                              #372
                                              killin it eh
                                              Comment
                                              • paul051966
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 04-09-11
                                                • 185

                                                #373
                                                Originally posted by mac miller
                                                SEA V. DET NO SCORE 1ST INNING (-140) 1X

                                                gl
                                                Also no on this one, Penny has been better of late and let's try that rhp/rhp theory. GL

                                                Cash it. Nice start to your day stc.
                                                Last edited by paul051966; 04-28-11, 12:18 PM.
                                                Comment
                                                • knickfan1
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 11-20-09
                                                  • 183

                                                  #374
                                                  GL on sea/de no score in the first...im on it too
                                                  Comment
                                                  • stc9357
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 04-18-10
                                                    • 2005

                                                    #375
                                                    Adding Texas To Score First (+100) (1x) (Got to fade Morrow on his second start back from the Dl until he gets back to his former ace status) (Most of the time with these plays I'll generally on play them when I get -110 or better).
                                                    Comment
                                                    • paul051966
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 04-09-11
                                                      • 185

                                                      #376
                                                      Originally posted by TheAntFather
                                                      That would be great. Add Liriano to that list. He just gave up 4 runs to the Rays??? Lmaoo. I think we're onto something here. Both Francis and Liriano are both lefties...most hitters in MLB are right handed.

                                                      We might need to blacklist all lefties unless they are having a Cy Young year it seems. Ah well...another lesson learned.

                                                      The 2 games we won today...both pitchers on both sides were right handed pitchers...in fact the eight pitchers in the 4 games we bet on today...6 pitchers were right handed...(Billingsley, Sanchez, Beckett, Guthrie, Tomlin, and Wade Davis)..The righties didn't surrender a run in the 1st Inning...Guess who did...The only 2 lefties in Jeff Francis and Liriano.

                                                      I think we're onto something Stc..Check into that..I'm tired of losing let's screw the books.
                                                      Good info, much appreciated. We need to keep a spread sheet of righties and lefties and various combinations, any way to get an edge.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • mac miller
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 01-27-11
                                                        • 749

                                                        #377
                                                        a spreadsheet of righties and lefties would be legit to have and would defiantly make it easier for my system when i calculate no runs
                                                        Comment
                                                        • paul051966
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 04-09-11
                                                          • 185

                                                          #378
                                                          Originally posted by stc9357
                                                          Adding Texas To Score First (+100) (1x) (Got to fade Morrow on his second start back from the Dl until he gets back to his former ace status) (Most of the time with these plays I'll generally on play them when I get -110 or better).
                                                          Also tailing Tex to score first GL.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mac miller
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 01-27-11
                                                            • 749

                                                            #379
                                                            nice run so far today stc! lets keep this goin for the 7pm games
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jnsbanman
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 01-08-11
                                                              • 526

                                                              #380
                                                              Originally posted by paul051966
                                                              Also tailing Tex to score first GL.
                                                              Was this a loss cuz toronto scored first or a win because texas scored in the first?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • stc9357
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 04-18-10
                                                                • 2005

                                                                #381
                                                                No it was a lost its first team to score first, not a run in the first inning.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jnsbanman
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 01-08-11
                                                                  • 526

                                                                  #382
                                                                  Ok Thanks
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • stc9357
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 04-18-10
                                                                    • 2005

                                                                    #383
                                                                    My last games of the day:
                                                                    (2-1) (On the day will update total record and units won later)
                                                                    STL scores first (-170) (2x)

                                                                    BOS/BAL no score 1st inn (-110) (2x) (The stats with Berguson doesn't tell the whole story)

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • mac miller
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 01-27-11
                                                                      • 749

                                                                      #384
                                                                      BOS V. BAL NO RUN 1ST INNING (-110) .1X

                                                                      have some yes run plays later on.... leaning yes run for hou v. stl, chi v. ari, and kan v cle.. all small plays though
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • stc9357
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 04-18-10
                                                                        • 2005

                                                                        #385
                                                                        Yo mac is that a pic of you, is that a cig or a cigar?
                                                                        Comment
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