Pick: Chicago White Sox +130 (Rocky Atkinson)
Chicago White Sox come in 3 1/2 games behind the Twins in the AL Central race. This is an important home series against the NY Yankees, who are tied with Tampa Bay with the best record in the Major League this year. NY Yankees are 11-24 last 3 years on the road when the total is 10 to 10 1/2. Chicago White Sox are 26-9 the past 3 years and 7-2 this year as a home underdog of +100 to +125. The White Sox don’t do bad at home scoring almost 5 runs per game this year. AJ Burnett is 9-11 with a 4.80 ERA overall this year, 5-6 with a 4.95 ERA on the road and 0-2 his last 3 starts. Freddy Garcia has a 10-5 overall record on the season and he is 5-3 at home this year. We’ll recommend a small play on the Chicago White Sox tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Pick: Boston Red Sox +110 (Dennis Macklin)
The Red Sox have picked Tampa Bay as the place to make their “Last Stand”. Jon Lester steps in for DiceK to face Ray ace David Price as Beantown looks to sweep this key three game set. Lester rocks nasty 1.88 ERA in his last six roadies. Price is 4-0 in his L6 but has been the beneficiary of strong support based on ho-hum 3.68 ERA. BoSox are 10-5 on turf and 11-5 L16 as a road dog at this price. More coincidence than trend, the Rays an awful 3-16 in L19 Friday games. Put up or shut up for Boston, take the Red Sox.
Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks +167 (Jim Feist)
Arizona is not a bad offensive team, 8th in the NL in runs scored. It’s the pitching that has been awful, although for this game they have a reliable starter in Barry Enright. He doesn’t walk anyone and has allowed 50 hits in 59 innings this season, plus is a decent strikeout pitcher. The Diamondbacks have been a .500 team in August despite being underdogs most of the time. Tim Lincecum has been struggling, with an 0-3 record and an ERA over 10 his last three starts. Play the Diamondbacks.
MLB Baseball Predictions: Rangers vs. Athletics Odds: August 27th 2010
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Texas Rangers vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick: Texas Rangers -130 odds
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Off a 6-4 home loss to Minnesota, it won’t take much to motivate Texas on Friday night. If the blemish to the Twins wasn’t enough, the simple fact that division rival Oakland is in town will do the trick. The A’s are trying to catch the Rangers in the AL West and currently rest 8.5-games back in second place. Texas would like to increase its lead and pick up some breathing room with a victory.
On the bump for the home team will be Indianapolis, Indiana product Tommy Hunter. One thing you don’t want to do is fade Mr. Hunter inside Rangers Ballpark. At home, No. 35 has been scratched for only 17 earned runs and 49 hits in 49.1 frames. That shakes down to a stellar 6-0 record and a fantastic 3.10 ERA. Overall this season, Hunter has been touched for just 35 earned runs and 84 hits in 85.2 frames en route to a 10-2 mark and a superb 3.68 ERA!
Knocking off Oakland’s Brett Anderson won’t exactly be an easy task. The A’s lefty has pitched well in his last four games against Tampa Bay, Toronto, Seattle and Kansas City allowing seven earned runs and 23 hits in 27.0 innings of work. That breaks down to a 1-2 record but a decent 2.33 ERA. Unfortunately for Oakland, the A’s have struggled a touch on foreign soil dropping 36 of 61 and their bullpen has failed them on numerous occasions.
There are a couple of strong team situations that support this investment too. The Athletics have dropped 68 of their last 98 as a guest matched up against an opponent that owns a won/loss percentage greater than .500 and nine of their last 10 priced as an underdog. On the flip side, the Rangers have ripped off wins in 36 of their last 52 as home chalk and 12 of their last 17 coming off a straight up loss.
Bragging rights in the AL West will be on the line tonight in Arlington and the home team will easily extend their lead at the top of the division. Take Texas with listed pitcher Hunter. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres Pick: Philadelphia Phillies +123 odds
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San Diego and Philadelphia open a three-game set on Friday at Petco Park that has playoff implications for more than just they do at this time. Philadelphia is coming off a four-game sweep to Houston, and in the process fell three games behind the Atlanta Braves in the NL East. The Phillies are just one-half game back of San Francisco in the race for the wild card. The Phillies will send starter Roy Oswalt to the bump for the opener as he looks to continue his dominance with his new squad. After taking a loss and a no-decision following the trade from Houston, Oswalt has three straight wins, going seven innings in each start. He has allowed just three runs in 21 innings of work. Oswalt has owned the Padres over his career; in seventeen games, fifteen of which were starts he has a record of 10-2 with an ERA of 2.56. With Philly coming off an embarrassing series against Houston they will look to rebound here and get a big win on the West Coast versus the first place Padres. Philadelphia is 7-2 their last 9 overall versus San Diego and 21-8 their last 29 on the left coast.
PROJECTED FORECAST: 2* Philadelphia Phillies 3 San Diego Padres 2
Oakland Athletics vs. Texas Rangers odds & Pick: August 27th 2010
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Oakland Athletics vs. Texas Rangers Pick: Oakland Athletics +120 odds
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I’m playing the underdog Oakland A’s on Friday night. The A’s are catching the Rangers off a huge series with the Twins. They’re also catching a pitcher who has looked a bit shaky lately. Tommy Hunter pitched pretty well last time out, but has lasted just three innings in three of his last five starts. Even with his most recent start, Hunter has still allowed 11 earned runs and 17 hits in his last three starts, spanning just 14 innings of action. And while he does own a 2-0 mark in three career starts against Oakland, his ERA is a hefty, 6.00 in those games. The A’s will counter with red-hot Brett Anderson. The southpaw owns strong marks away from home this season and he’s been on the mark in his last four starts. Anderson has held his last four opponents to seven earned runs and 29 base runners in 27 innings, for a 2.33 ERA & 1.07 WHIP. I believe he’ll enjoy more success tonight against a Rangers’ lineup that’s lost five of their last six against lefthanded starters. There’s value on the underdog tonight and I’ll grab a piece of the A’s on Friday. Thanks! GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels Odds & Pick: August 27th 2010
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Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels Pick: Los Angeles Angels -137 odds
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At 10:05 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Los Angeles Angels over the Baltimore Orioles. The magic that new Manager Buck Showalter seemed to bring to this Orioles team immediately upon taking over the reigns from Juan Samuel on August 3 seems to be waning a bit. Ironically, it was a three-game sweep against this Angels squad that started Showalter’s career in Baltimore orange and black, however with their loss at the hands of the White Sox on Thursday night, the O’s are now just 3-6 in their last nine games and now they travel to the West coast to face the team from Anaheim for the second series of the season, and first at the Angels ball park. Last season, the Angels started young righthander Trevor Bell in their rotation in August where he appeared for four starts before switching to the bullpen for four more appearances and the result was a mostly forgettable rookie campaign. This season, after appearing 15 times out of the bullpen, with mixed results, Los Angeles put Bell back into the rotation, where he’s found a little bit more success. The one thing he doesn’t have so far in 2010 is a start at home, but that should change tonight with Bell scheduled to get his fifth start of the season in front of the Anaheim faithful. Brad Bergesen will start for the Orioles, and with their 8-0 shutout at the hands of the White Sox, the O’s have only managed to score 23 runs in their last eight road games. Take the Angels. As always, good luck…Al McMordie.
The Cards ended their 3-game skid Friday, and I look for them to build on that win here tonight. The Nationals are struggling, having lost 5 of their last 6 games, and I expect those struggles to continue with Hernandez on the hill. Hernandez has been strong for most of the season, but he has been running out of gas down the stretch. The Nats have dropped each of his last 4 starts, and he is carrying an ERA of 6.12 over his last 3. It is also worth noting that he is 0-3 on the money line in his last 3 starts against St. Louis. Lohse takes the ball for the Cards, working off a solid outing against Pittsburgh. I expect him to put together another strong performance tonight against a club he has won 5 straight starts against on the money line. The Cardinals are 14-3 in the last 17 meetings in this series. Take St. Louis.
Pick: Astros vs. Mets Under 6.5
Houston starter Brett Myers has 20 strikeouts and 4 walks in his last 3 starts. The Astros are 6-0 UNDER their last 6 games and they are 19-7-1 UNDER their last 27 games vs. lefty starters. The Astros are 6-0 UNDER with Myers with four days of rest. Houston is 21-8-2 UNDER their last 31 games as underdogs. New York starter Johan Santana has 26 strikeouts and 4 walks in his last 3 starts. The Mets are 7-0 UNDER their last 7 games with Houston. New York is 11-4 UNDER their last 15 games overall and they are 7-1-1 UNDER with Santana as a favorite. PLAY ON ‘UNDER’ (Santana vs. Myers)
Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks +125
Arizona has been showing some life in August, despite being out of any pennant race. Starter Daniel Hudson has been very good, with a 4-2 record and a 3.10 ERA. He’s a terrific strikeout pitcher, with 50 Ks in 52 innings and the Giants have never faced him. The Diamondbacks have been a .500 team in August despite being underdogs most of the time. Lefty Barry Zito has been struggling, with an 0-2 record and a 7.80 ERA his last three starts. He is also 3-6 all time against Arizona. Play the Diamondbacks.
Pick: Kansas City Royals -122
The Royals are a solid investment coming off yesterday’s embarrassing loss when you consider that they are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a defeat. Plus, KC has ace Zach Greinke on the bump tonight, and he has been dealing. The Royals have won his last 2 starts, and he is carrying an ERA of only 1.64 over his last 3. Meanwhile, the Indians have lost each of Jeanmar Gomez’s last 2 starts, and he is carrying an ERA of 6.00 over his last 3. The fact that KC finds itself in the chalk is significant as it is 7-3 in Greinke’s last 10 starts as a favorite. I also love the fact that the Royals are 4-0 in Greinke’s last 4 starts vs. the Indians. With the Tribe going winless in their last seven Game 2’s of a series, I’m taking the Royals tonight.
Pick: New York Yankees -133
At 7:05 EST Saturday Night Play on the New York Yankees Moneyline -133, The Yankees come into this game having lost 3 of their last 4 games but they have their stopper on the mound tonight with C.C. Sabathia. The Yankees are 15-6 in Sabathia’s last 21 road starts as a favorite and 16-4 in his last 20 starts when pitching with 5 days rest. The Yankees are 14-2 in Sabathia’s last 16 starts overall and Sabathia is 15-4 in his last 19 starts against the White Sox. The White Sox lose this one tonight big and you can bank on it!
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Indians odds & Pick: August 28th 2010
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Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Indians Pick: Kansas City Royals -120 odds
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The Royals continue their last place battle with the Indians knowing they have taken 5 of the last 6 meetings. The Pathetic Cleveland offense has scored eight combined runs in their last six games heading into Friday night action. Zack Greinke has faced the Tribe ten times in his career and he has never allowed more than three earned runs in any game. The Royals have beaten the Indians 6 of 8 games with Greinke on the hill. The youngster is also in terrific current form having permitted just 4 earned runs in his last 22 innings.
Jeanmar Gomez get’s the start for the host and he has been quite impressive thus far. In his first four starts in the majors he was virtually untouchable. But in his last start against the Tigers Detroit lit him up for 7 earned runs in 3 innings of work. That was the second time Detroit faced the youngster and Saturday marks the second time the Royals have seen him in 12 days. Unlike Greinke who was a highly touted pitcher coming up the Indians really didn’t promote Gomez for anything other than eating innings. They have had terrible starting pitching all season and he was a fresh arm. The Royals took 2 of 3 last week in Kansas City and they grab another victory here.
PLAY KANSAS CITY
MLB Betting Lines: Diamondbacks vs. Giants Prediction: August 28th 2010
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants Pick: San Francisco Giants -138 betting line
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On Saturday the free play is on the San Francisco Giants. Game 916 at 9:05 eastern. The Giants fit a solid system tonight that plays on certain home favorites off a home favored loss at -140 or higher if they had 5 or more hits and their opponent is off a +140 or higher road dog win and the total tonight is 8 or less. The Giants are off 2 rare home losses in a row, while Arizona is on a rare road win streak. Things should get back to normal here tonight as the Giants have B. Zito on the mound. Zito is 9-4 at home with a 2.76 era, he opposes D. Hudson who has been decent thus far, as he makes his first start here. SF. is 7-3 here and has a huge home to road bullpen era edge. Look for the Giants to improve to 14-4 vs losing teams in the second half. Take the Giants tonight. On Saturday I have the highest rated NFLX game going tonight that is backed with 3 power systems. I also have a 17-0 MLB Diamond Cutter system that wins by 4 runs per game and an NFL Dog with bite system play. Friday card was solid cashing 3 of 4. Look for another big night on Saturday. RV
MLB Predictions: Oakland Athletics vs. Texas Rangers Odds: August 28th 2010
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Oakland Athletics vs. Texas Rangers MLB Prediction: Texas Rangers -145 odds
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I’m laying the price with the Rangers on Saturday. Rich Harden did not fare well in his last start against his former team. Harden lasted just 2 1/3 innings in an August 7 start, allowing three earned runs in a 6-2 loss. But Harden wasn’t “right” in that outing. He not only left the game early, but ended up on the DL with shoulder tendinitis. Harden returned on August 23 and threw 6 2/3 innings of no-hit baseball, leading his team to a 4-0 win over Minnesota. In fact, in his last two starts since returning to health, including one at Triple-A OKC, Harden has allowed just one earned run in 12 2/3 innings. The Rangers are 5-1 in his last six home starts, and Harden has allowed just 12 earned runs in 32 1/3 innings for a 3.34 ERA. I expect Harden to get plenty of support at the plate. Texas is averaging 5.4 rpg in home games this season, including 5.1 rpg in home night games against southpaws. They’ll face lefty Dallas Braden tonight. I’m laying the price with Texas on Saturday. Thanks! GL! Scott.
MLB Picks: Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres Odds: August 28th 2010
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Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick: Over 7.5 Runs -110 odds
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Jon Garland may be the tonic that the struggling Philadelphia offense needs as they play game 2 of their series in San Diego. Garland is 0-4 with a 7.94 ERA in five starts against Philadelphia. The righty gave up six runs and 10 hits in seven innings pitched against the Phillies earlier this year. He has given up 17 runs and 26 hits in his last three starts against the Phillies. Raul Ibanez (22-66), Mike Sweeney (17-58), Placido Polanco (16-41), Shane Victorino (4-11), Ryan Howard (3-9), Jayson Werth (3-7), Chase Utley (2-7), and Carlos Ruiz (4-6) all smack Garland around. The Phillies are still averaging 4.6 runs per game despite their recent struggles.
Joe Blanton’s road struggles are well documented. He’s 1-4 with a 6.55 ERA in nine starts away from Philadelphia. Blanton’s numbers aren’t very good against the Padres either. He’s 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA in three starts against San Diego. Earlier this season, Blanton gave up five runs and 11 hits in five innings pitched to the light-hitting Padres in Philadelphia. Miguel Tejada (4-14), Adrian Gonzalez (6-13), David Eckstein (3-6), Scott Hairston (3-6), Jerry Hairston Jr. (2-3), and Chase Headley (2-3) all hit Blanton hard. San Diego has scored 5 runs or more in 10 of their last 12 games. They’ll face a Philadelphia bullpen that has a losing record and an ERA near 4.35 on the road. We expect a high-scoring game here so we’ll recommend a play on the Over between the Phillies and Padres this afternoon.
Pick: Cincinnati Reds -147
The Reds have had Milwaukee’s number, winning 8 of the last 9 meetings, and I expect them to continue their dominance over the Brew Crew at home tonight. The Reds have won 11 of their last 15 overall, and they will gladly welcome the southpaw Wolf to the hill, considering they are 18-6 in their last 24 home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Reds have won all 3 of Bailey’s starts since he returned to the starting rotation, and looking back, they are 7-1 in his last 8 home starts. When these two clubs last faced off a month ago, the Reds crushed the Brewers 10-2 on the road. This is significant because Milwaukee is only 1-12 when revenging a home blowout loss of 8 runs or more over the last 3 seasons, losing in these spots by 4.1 runs on average. Take the Reds.
Pick: San Diego Padres -132
San Diego is 76-53 overall this year and leads the NL West division. Arizona is 25 games behind them with a record of 52-79 this season. San Diego is 8-1 this year as a road favorite of -125 to -150. San Diego is 25-13 against left handed starters this year. San Diego bullpen has a 2.80 ERA overall this year and a 3.18 ERA on the road this season. Arizona bullpen has a 5.93 ERA overall and a 5.56 ERA at home this season. Wade LeBlanc has a 3.86 ERA overall this year. Joe Saunders is 7-14 overall this year, 3-8 with a 5.23 ERA at home and 0-3 with a 7.87 ERA his last 3 starts. We’ll recommend a small play on San Diego tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Oakland Athletics vs. New York Yankees Odds & Pick: August 30th 2010
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Oakland Athletics vs. New York Yankees Pick:Oakland Athletics +115 odds
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It’s not often we will look to go against the Yankees at home but this is one overrated squad we want no part of. Other than CC Sabathia the New York starting staff has been terrible all month. Now they are playing without their two big bats in the lineup as Texiera and Rodriguez are battling injuries. The pitching edge is all Oakland as Trevor Cahill is having an outstanding season. He’s produced seven straight quality starts allowing just six earned runs in those games. In his last three road starts the opposition has scored just one earned run against Cahill. Dustin Mosely gets the start for the Yanks and the A’s are well aware of the former Angel. In five career starts against Oakland he has permitted 16 earned runs in only 26.2 innings of work. The price is right as Oakland starts the series with a victory. PLAY OAKLAND
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Indians Odds & Pick: August 30th 2010
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Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Indians Pick: Chicago White Sox -130 odds
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If the White Sox are serious about winning the AL Central Division, then they better find a way to get the job done against an Indians team that has beaten them eight times in 12 meetings this season.
After dropping two-of-three against the Bronx Bombers, the Pale Hose will hand the ball to reliable left-hander Mark Buehrle. Since getting drilled at home against Seattle back on July 28th, Buehrle has pitched well in five August starts allowing only 12 earned runs and 33 hits in 35.0 innings of work. After the math, that shakes down to a solid 3-2 record and a respectable 3.09 ERA! With Marc holding the pill, Chicago has posted wins in 15 of its last 21 priced as road chalk and seven of its last 10 facing a team with a sub. 500 record.
Getting the call for the home team will be right-hander Mitch Talbot. Facing Oakland, Kansas City and Seattle, Talbot was clocked for 12 earned runs and 22 hits in just 14.2 innings of work. That’s bad enough for a dismal 0-2 record and an elevated 7.36 ERA! Progressive Field hasn’t been kind to Mitch either. At home, No. 51 owns a woeful 0-5 mark and an embarrassing 7.22 ERA in his last seven starts.
Cleveland has historically started slow in the first game of a series dropping 36 of its last 52 battles and has slipped in eight of its last 11 in division play. Meanwhile, the ChiSox have nailed 17 of its last 22 series lid-lifters and 29 of its last 42 priced as a favorite. The White Sox have to run the table in this series and they know it. Take Chicago with listed pitcher Buehrle. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds & Pick: August 30th 2010
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San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick: San Diego Padres -126 odds
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San Diego was swept at home over the weekend against the Phillies, making it four straight losses and just like that, there is a division race once again. The Padres lead the Giants by just five games in the National League West and while that is still a decent lead, it is getting a little too close for comfort. This is a good time to face the worst team in the division as wins are becoming even more of a priority.
The Diamondbacks went 3-3 on their most recent roadtrip which is pretty good for a team that is 21 games under .500 away from home on the season. They are better at home but certainly nothing special as Arizona is six games under .500 at Chase Field. The problem has been the pitching where the Diamondbacks possess a 4.80 ERA which is easily the worst in the National League.
The pitching matchup tonight is definitely not on their side.
Wade LeBlanc gets the call for the Padres. He has a 3.86 ERA on the season and while his ERA on the road is a run and a half higher higher, it is really due to just two bad starts, one in Seattle back in May where he allowed eight runs in three innings and another two starts back in Milwaukee where he allowed seven runs in 3.1 innings. Five of his other nine starts on the road have been quality outings and take those two games out of the equation and his road ERA drops from 5.37 to 3.50.
Joe Saunders counters for Arizona and he has had a rough time of it of late. He is 1-4 with a 5.21 ERA in six starts with the Diamondback but that only tells part of the story. He started with two straight quality outings since coming over from the Angels but his last four outings have been a disaster. He has given up 19 earned runs in his last 22 innings and this includes the Padres reaching Saunders for six runs (five earned) over six innings on August 8th and for nine runs (six earned) in four innings on August 25th.
San Diego is 14-2 in the second half of the season against National League teams with a batting average of .255 or worse while going 11-1 as a road favorite of -125 or higher this season. 3* San Diego Padres
Pick: Rangers vs. Royals Over 8.5 (Jim Feist)
Cliff Lee, the flaky lefty, has been in a big slump, with a 9.33 ERA his last three starts (0-3). He continued his recent slide on Thursday, allowing five runs and seven hits in just five innings against Minnesota. Lee gave up four homers in his last start and over his last four starts, Lee has surrendered 23 runs in just 24.2 innings. Lee is obviously not the same pitcher he was through the season’s first four months. At least the Texas offense is one of the best in baseball and they face struggling Sean O’Sullivan, who has a 6.27 ERA his last three starts. Play the Rangers/Royals Over the total.
Pick: Blue Jays vs. Rays Under 8.5 (Rob Vinciletti)
On Tuesday the Free MLB play is on the under in the Toronto at Tampa Bay game. Rotation numbers 973/974 at 7:10 eastern. This game pits Romero vs Niemann. This solid pitching match up should result in an under here tonight. Romero for the Blue Jays has a solid 2.57 era vs Tampa and went 7 innings allowing just 2 runs here earlier in the season. Tampa has J. Niemann making the start tonight. In his last 2 home starts vs Toronto Niemann has been very effective going 15+ innings allowing just 3 runs. He has a solid 2.85 home era this year as well. Toronto started the series averaging just 2.2 runs per game and hitting .186 in domes. Tampa is hitting just .229 over the past week. Look for this one to go under the total. On Tuesday the lead play is a 26-2 Power angle Blowout side and a MLB totals system that averages 11 runs per game. For the free play take the under in the Toronto at Tampa Bay game. RV
Pick: San Francisco Giants -136 (Rocky Atkinson)
Colorado sits 7 games behind San Diego while San Francisco sits 5 games behind the Padres in the NL West division race. Colorado is 6-17 this year as a road underdog of +100 to +125. Colorado is scoring only 3.6 runs per game on the road this year. Colorado is 25-40 on the road this season while San Francisco is 40-26 at home this season. San Francisco bullpen has a 3.41 ERA overall this year and a 2.71 ERA at home this season. Esmil Rogers has a 7.30 ERA in all starts this year and a 7.90 ERA his last 3 starts. Rogers is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA overall vs San Francisco since 1997. We’ll recommend a small play on San Francisco tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -115 (Tom Freese)
Arizona starter Ian Kennedy has 23 strikeouts and 4 walks in his last 3 starts. The Diamondbacks are 5-1 with Kennedy his last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Snakes are 6-2 in game 2 of a series and they are 4-1 their last 5 games overall. The Diamondbacks are 4-0 their last 4 games vs. starter with a WHIP of over 1.30. San Diego starter Kevin Correia has allowed 14 runs total in his last 2 starts. The Padres are 33-71 their last 104 meetings in Arizona. Correia is 2-6 his last 8 starts vs. NL West teams and they are 0-5 their last 5 games overall. PLAY ON ARIZONA (Kennedy vs. Correia)
Pick: Cincinnati Reds -106 (Robbie Gainous)
The Cincinnati Reds look to extend their NFL Central lead over the Cardinals as they take on a Milwaukee Brewers team who they have dominated this season winning six of their seven meetings including a 5 to 4 victory on Monday night. Milwaukee will send Yovani Gallardo to the bump knowing he is 1-5 his last six starts versus Cincinnati. The Brewers are 3-13 as a road underdog when Gallardo takes the mound. The Reds will send Aaron Harang to the hill on Tuesday and they are 5-0 when he starts as a home favorite. The Reds are also 5-1 the last six times Harang has taken the bump at home. We will back the host here as they grab another victory from a Brewers team that will once again be home for the postseason.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros Odds & Pick: August 31st 2010
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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros Pick: Over 6.5 Runs -110 odds
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The Astros were involved in another low scoring game last night as the opener of this series had just three runs scored. That makes it 9-0 to the ‘Under’ in Houston’s last nine games as both the offense and the pitching have contributed to this run. What this streak does for us is that is gives us value in the total and the markets have to keep this number down based on the fact that people ride these trends.
St. Louis has now gone two straight games with the ‘Under’ coming in as it has scored a total of two runs over this span. The Cardinals offense is much better than this and they should have a golden opportunity to bust out tonight. The ‘Over’ is 7-1 in the Cardinals last eight games when their opponent allows two runs or less in their previous game.
When looking at this pitching matchup, namely Chris Carpenter, one looks at the under and that is a logical way to go. However, there have been more high scoring games than low scoring games in Carpenter’s starts this season and that is where we are getting the value. The Cardinals have gone ‘Over’ in 15 of his 27 starts on the season including eight of 12 on the road. Also, the ‘Over’ is 9-2 in Carpenter’s last 11 starts against teams with a losing record.
Wandy Rodriguez has been on a roll as he has tossed seven consecutive quality outings while allowing one run or fewer in six of those games. Despite this, the ‘Under’ is only 4-3 as the bullpen has ruined a lot of those games and the offense has shown some signs of life. He now faces a team that he has struggles against recently as he has posted a 7.17 ERA against over his last four starts dating back to last season. St. Louis is 11-3 to the ‘Over’ this season against a starting pitcher whose WHIP is between 1.25 and 1.35.
The Cardinals are 11-2 to the ‘Over’ in Carpenter’s 13 starts as a favorite between -125 and -175 this season. Conversely, the Astros are 10-3 to the ‘Over’ in Rodriguez’ 13 starts as an underdog between +100 and +150 this season. 3* Over St. Louis Cardinals/Houston Astros
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds & Pick: August 31st 2010
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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Pick: Over 9 Runs -110 odds
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At 7:10 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds ‘over’ the total. Two righthanders, one who has been struggling on the mound lately, and the other who has been struggling with his injury and rehab, will face off tonight in Cincinnati. Brewers righthander Yovani Gallardo looked like an early candidate for possible Cy Young consideration, but those thoughts are long gone. After a complete game shutout including 12 strikeouts on June 24 put Gallardo at 7-3 with a 2.36 ERA, the hard-thrower has gone 4-3 and his ERA has ballooned by about 1.2 runs up to 3.50 heading into this game. For Reds righthander Aaron Harang, the story is a bit different, as Harang has been on the 15-day DL since July 6 with back spasms and this will be his first start back, but if his Minor League rehab is any indication, it may take Harang a while before he gets back into form. The Reds are willing to take a chance and put Harang out there tonight, because if they are able to hang on and make it to the post-season, they will want Harang’s experience on the mound. They have enough offensive firepower to win the game even if Harang is rusty tonight as Cincy has scored 28 runs in their last four games heading into Monday’s series opener. Take the ‘over.’ As always, good luck…Al McMordie.
MLB Predictions: Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: August 31st 2010
Free Sports Picks, MLB Baseball PicksAugust 31st, 2010
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Prediction: Baltimore Orioles (RL) Visit Touthouse.com for more MLB predictions from Steve Merril
The Orioles return home after a 4-2 road trip thru Chicago and Anaheim. They host the Boston Red Sox who are coming off of a series loss in Tampa Bay to the Rays. Josh Beckett makes the start. He’s 4-3 with a 6.50 ERA in 15 starts this season. The righty has given up 15 runs and 21 hits in his last 17.7 innings pitched. He has faced the Orioles just once this season and gave up two runs and six hits in seven innings of work. Beckett got a no-decision in that 3-2 Orioles victory. Brian Roberts (10-36), Nick Markakis (11-35), Ty Wigginton (9-29), Luke Scott (8-18), and Matt Wieters (1-3) all hit the Boston starter well. The Orioles are 6-6 against the Red Sox this season and 4-2 at home in front of their fans. The Red Sox bullpen is 7-14 with a 5.02 ERA and 12 blown saves on the road this season.
Baltimore’s Brian Matusz has put together two straight solid efforts against two solid teams. He gave up one run and eight hits in 15 innings pitched against the White Sox and Rangers. The lefty has had success against Boston this season. He’s 1-0 with a 2.41 ERA in three starts against the Red Sox. Boston hitters are just 7 for 46 against Matusz. Only Victor Martinez (2-5) and Adrian Beltre (2-4) have had any sort of success. Boston enters this contest having scored only 10 runs in their last four games. Boston is hitting .243 in their last seven games while averaging only 3.7 runs per game. Baltimore’s bullpen is 15-6 with a 4.45 ERA at home this year. Beckett hasn’t been himself lately so we’ll recommend taking the Orioles on the run line in this game tonight.
MLB Picks: Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants Odds: August 31st 2010
Free Sports Picks, MLB Baseball PicksAugust 31st, 2010
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick: San Francisco Giants -135 odds
Visit Touthouse.com for more MLB picks from Scott Spreitzer
I’m laying the price with the Giants on Tuesday night. A couple of young arms will do battle at AT&T Park tonight when Colorado righthander Esmil Rogers takes on San Fran lefty Madison Bumgarner. Rogers has already faced the Giants twice, including one start. Rogers was fine in relief, but got knocked around by SFO in the lone start. He allowed four earned runs and nine base runners in four innings in a 6-1 Giant win. Rogers has 17 appearances overall this season, including six starts. He’s lasted a grand total of just 28 1/3 innings, or less than five IP per game as a starter, where he’s been smacked for a 7.31 ERA & 1.87 WHIP. Rogers is always around the plate and will strikeout a few batters from time-to-time. You won’t normally see a high amount of walks from him, but the rub is that while he’s always around the plate, he’s yet to develop a pitch to fool hitters on a consistent basis. If you swing the bat you’re likely to hit Rogers, who has allowed 43 hits in those 28 1/3 innings. He’s taking on a Giants’ squad that’s 40-27 at home, including 30-18 against righthanders. They should have little trouble getting to Rogers, who also carries a hefty ERA and WHIP in his seven road appearances. As mentioned, Madison Bumgarner will take the bump for the home team. After a poor outing last time out, I expect the southpaw to bounce back with a solid performance. He followed his only other rough start with a decent outing leading to a 4-3 SFO win over the Cubs. Bumgarner has faced Colorado twice, but both of those came at Coors Field. I expect better results at AT&T. First of all, I believe he’ll get serious help at the plate. Secondly, he’s facing a Colorado lineup that plates just 3.85 rpg in road games against lefthanded starters. The Giants are on a 27-12 run at home against teams with a road win percentage under .400. They entered the series on a 9-4 run at home against Colorado. Meanwhile, the Rockies went into last night’s game having won just 16 of their last 52 as a road dog, including 0-4 in the same situation when Rogers starts. Look for the Giants to get back in the win column on Tuesday. I’m laying the price with San Francisco. Thanks! GL! Scott.
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