[No coincidences]

I'm really struggling with talking myself out of this one.

[JR007]

Depends....Sea has trouble scoring.....Rowland Smith can keep it a1 run game

[No coincidences]

Depends....Sea has trouble scoring.....Rowland Smith can keep it a1 run game

He can? He's one of the five worst SP's in baseball.

[shari91]

First of all, what's huge? What % of your bankroll?

[JR007]

Total is 8.5.....not really.a pitchers total

[No coincidences]

First of all, what's huge? What % of your bankroll?

A huge play for me would be in the 15% range, shari.

[JR007]

You have the stats no coin.....early in the year I remember he was tough......why isn't the juice on the run line higher ????

[No coincidences]

You have the stats no coin.....early in the year I remember he was tough......why isn't the juice on the run line higher ????

You know what, that's a really good question.

[2daBank]

hard not to like the chi sox, think i put them in a little parlay at -1

[Dad]

I love the CHW RL play myself.1`

[JamesBrown]

Do it!

[JR007]

"a devils advocate"

[shari91]

A huge play for me would be in the 15% range, shari.

No bueno.

Not on this RL. Just my barely formed opinion of course.

[2daBank]

agree with Shari that to much....do like it though

[griffdog]

Well, let's hope this isn't one that buries us all. On this one as well. Floyd is still prone to a bad night, so that's one reason why it's not an all-inner (very few are, of course), but Rowland-Smith is terrible. And this coming from someone who likes the Mariners.

[No coincidences]

No bueno.

Not on this RL. Just my barely formed opinion of course.

Any particular reason?

[JR007]

I think the play is Johnson...tonight....-111.....the way he has been pitching...'lights out"

[No coincidences]

I think the play is Johnson...tonight....-111.....the way he has been pitching...'lights out"

FF maybe, but I don't trust his bullpen. SF has a lot of pesky hitters who could get his pitch count up, and if he's done by the 6th or 7th, all bets are off.

[LolsMcwinsey]

EZ win

[shari91]

Any particular reason?

You are not a big bettor as you have stated yourself. To wager 15% of your roll in the hopes that one team outscores another by at least 2 runs is silly imho to begin with. That amount is really more than you should wager in one day TOTAL amongst all your bets if you want to stick around for any length of time.

You are going to be dependent on an ok pitcher versus a not great one to get your outs but then you also are reliant on the White Sox to deliver the runs. I personally wouldn't feel comfortable wagering that amount of my roll on this particular situation. Then again, I'm the first to admit that my following of MLB this year is sporadic so take what I'm saying with a grain of salt. I think the play is a good one, but not for that amount of money.

[winningdoc]

I think there is value in the Seattle money line, as the line for Chicago is over-inflated now.

[No coincidences]

You are not a big bettor as you have stated yourself. To wager 15% of your roll in the hopes that one team outscores another by at least 2 runs is silly imho to begin with. That amount is really more than you should wager in one day TOTAL amongst all your bets if you want to stick around for any length of time.

You are going to be dependent on an ok pitcher versus a not great one to get your outs but then you also are reliant on the White Sox to deliver the runs. I personally wouldn't feel comfortable wagering that amount of my roll on this particular situation. Then again, I'm the first to admit that my following of MLB this year is sporadic so take what I'm saying with a grain of salt. I think the play is a good one, but not for that amount of money.

I see, shari.

[JR007]

"Take the Florida Marlins for the road win over the Giants.

You have to love Josh Johnson at this price, regardless of venue or who is starting opposite of him.

Johnson is 10-3 with a 1.61 ERA on the year and hasn’t allowed more than two runs in his last 13 starts, during which he’s 7-2 with a 0.79 ERA.

On top of that Johnson has allowed precisely one run over his last 28 road innings.

The Giants will counter with Matt Cain and he’s a stud, but not in the same sense that Johnson is.

Cain has always suffered from a lack of run support and that is evident again this season, where his 8-8 record doesn’t reflect on how well he’s pitched.

I like Johnson to do his thing again and for Cain to wind up on the wrong end of a 2-1 or 1-0 game again.

Take the Marlins for the road win".

[No coincidences]

"Take the Florida Marlins for the road win over the Giants.

You have to love Josh Johnson at this price, regardless of venue or who is starting opposite of him.

Johnson is 10-3 with a 1.61 ERA on the year and hasn’t allowed more than two runs in his last 13 starts, during which he’s 7-2 with a 0.79 ERA.

On top of that Johnson has allowed precisely one run over his last 28 road innings.

The Giants will counter with Matt Cain and he’s a stud, but not in the same sense that Johnson is.

Cain has always suffered from a lack of run support and that is evident again this season, where his 8-8 record doesn’t reflect on how well he’s pitched.

I like Johnson to do his thing again and for Cain to wind up on the wrong end of a 2-1 or 1-0 game again.

Take the Marlins for the road win".

Is JJ going to pitch 9 innings? Because if he isn't, SF is the play IMHO.

[Pauulzcappin]

RRS sucks, go for it.

[sapidoc]

Was going to try to play devil's advocate for you, but then I saw this:

CWS RL-125 (2x)

So, yea man. 15% is nothing; do it.

[No coincidences]

Went 5% of my roll here.

Let's hope the law of averages doesn't catch up to Floyd tonight.

[JR007]

I agree No coin...maybe the under in the giants is the play...Marlins bullpin..sucks

[Pauulzcappin]

I'll take the run line myself.

[Pauulzcappin]

Looking good so far.

[JamesBrown]

4 runs for the whities in the 1st is a great start!

[Pauulzcappin]

6-0

[JamesBrown]

6-0 Sox

[Mr Windy City]

good luck guys, looking good for ya!

[JamesBrown]

7 now