[chrisharvard01]

As we end a fantastic weekend of basball, two offensive thriving teams will meet tomorrow at 8pm.



I know it takes a lot of will power to resist the earlier games, but this play my friends, is solid.


We are looking at streaking OVER teams. the TWINS are coming off a win when each team member contributed a hit vs BALT.


KC is coming off a road trip where they cashed 2 OVs, a push, and an UND. The lowest total was 9 which was busted wide open, a huge part due to KANSAS CITY.


KANSAS CITY has a great offensive batting avg, yet have a pitching staff that has an avg of a 4.97 ERA. Scoring runs isn't their problem. Pitching is. Lucky for me, I like totals-- not the royals.


GREINKE has not proven himself, as he has a horrible career record v the TWINS, despite being one of their better pitchers.

LIRIANO gets the nod for the TWINS... am I the only one not impressed by this guy? He's a lefty, for one. Quite simply I think at any given game this guy can get shelled.

It does not take an MLB bettor to know the TWINS hit their asses off. I can go on all day about OVs on their part. It takes two to tango... and I see two tango-ing tomorrow night, to the bank.



I have no idea who wins this game, and neither does the LVSC. The line is pretty much EV on this. I expect slugging from both teams. I see a 7-6 win.

Simply put, either team can nearly cash this OV, alone.












Current weather conditions at time of writing is partly cloudy, 77 degrees with 5mph winds from the east.




Over is 3-0-2 in Twins last 5 games as a road underdog.
Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 during game 1 of a series
Under is 4-1 in Twins last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter
Over is 4-1 in Lirianos last 5 starts on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Lirianos last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Over is 4-1 in Lirianos last 5 starts overall.
Under is 4-1-1 in Lirianos last 6 starts as a road underdog

Over is 33-16-2 in Royals last 51 vs. American League Central.
Over is 4-0-1 in Greinkes last 5 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
Over is 6-0 in Greinkes last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
Under is 9-1 in Greinkes last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-1 in Greinkes last 6 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Under is 4-1 in Greinkes last 5 starts as a favorite
Under is 4-1 in Greinkes last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Under is 4-1 in Greinkes last 5 starts overall






MINN/KC OV 7.5 (+105)




GL

[Jon825]

thats a hell of a lot of analysis for a baseball over under. GL tho hope it pays off for you.

[chrisharvard01]

thanks jon

[limitation]

Good stuff man. But don't you think Greinke has ace quality and can potentially shut down the Twins offense?

[2daBank]

sounds solid, not really trying to do any work on games tonight as im a little buzzed up, do know Grienke is not the same guy as in the past and not sure he warrants such a low total...kc's problem is actually driving the runners in, i have no doubt they will get on base for you...do you think id be in danger of it moving up to 8 if i waited till mourning to look into it?

[chrisharvard01]

banker, dont think you need to move on it now. i think the public perspective is both pitchers will deliver gems... if anything the line moves to 7 -120

[2daBank]

banker, dont think you need to move on it now. i think the public perspective is both pitchers will deliver gems... if anything the line moves to 7 -120

sounds good bro, i will look at it sometime by mourning....gl

[kidkonggolf]

Thanks for the good analysis....BOL!

[No coincidences]

KC's coming home from a trip to NYC, and Minnesota's been on the road for a while as well. Without DeJesus, the Royals' lineup has been significantly weakened.

Thing that worries me about an over here is one of these cats could easily throw a gem, which would require 6-7 runs out of the other team. I'm not playing it, but BOL!

[gamble]

i like the analysis, good luck i may be on it as well

[dolphan34]

Got on the under myself. Both teams flying in from the east coast. Dejesus out for the Royals hurts a lot. And most importantly two solid pitchers.

[tatddy]

Under, Royals win a close low scoring game.

[paco]

Goodluck.

Great insight.

[ChicagoCover]

Good luck!!

KC is coming off a road trip where they cashed 2 OVs, a push, and an UND. The lowest total was 9 which was busted wide open, a huge part due to KANSAS CITY.

Uhmm, sir. They played the yankees in the smallest baseball stadium in the world. Good luck though

[Mr Windy City]

Nice write up, good luck on the under. This will most likely go to 7 as it has now peaked at -130 on the under at pinnacle. Royals can hit lefties, I lean towards them in this one.

[chrisharvard01]

banker, dont think you need to move on it now. i think the public perspective is both pitchers will deliver gems...
if anything the line moves to 7 -120

wow, called that line movement.

now it's time to call the game! there will be no push for me tonight!!


going out to the grocery, gonna grill some chilli dogs and drink corona before the game starts.


GL!

[SprtsCapnGuru]

Weather is questionable tonight in KC....could get some thunderstorms, not that has an effect, but could make for a long night of waiting if it does hit the K!...I really like Greinke getting a run and a half to start the game....either way...hope that over hits for ya.

[gushman]

On the over 7

[chrisharvard01]

[chrisharvard01]

Under, Royals win a close low scoring game.

[2daBank]

looking good brother...Grienke has done this way to much this year to be getting tons of respect.....at risk of jinxing your last 2 runs good call

[HoulihansTX]

[chrisharvard01]

something about +money winners... gotta love it.

[khaden]

Why can't they always be this easy

[paco]

Great call Chris.

[VTranX]

Nice one.