Does anyone have the info or the access to data to show the % of the big favorites >-200 on the big favored teams that win when playing the -1.5 run line?
ie NYY Sabathia at home vs Kc moneyline -275 if playing -1.5 runs what is the % of winners does the huge favorites cover the 1.5 runs?
I know sounds and it looks like a good "system" but i'm sure Vegas is way ahead of all that already. Just seems the really strong teams with great pitchers going will usually win and cover -1.5.