1. #1
    nobs
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    *** PIRATES + 170 *** LOcK ****

    The Pirates start Paul Maholm tonight and its a big mistake that he is a +170 dog going against the Rangers and Nippert tonight. The Pirates will win this game and cash the dog ticket.

    Maholm has been the best and most consistent starter for the Pirates. he pitches left handed and that will give the Rangers a lot of trouble tonight. Maholm has 14 starts this year for a total of 88 innings. This guy gives a strong 6 1/2 every time out. Very rarely is he out of the game before the 6th, and he certainly wont be tonight as he will roll this Ranger lineup the first time through.

    Maholm may only have a 4-5 record due to the fact that he often doesnt get a lot of run support. Just the same his ERA is strong at 3.77, and he rarely gives up a home run having allowed only 7 so far this year in 88 innings. So he is only giving up 1 Homer per 12 1/2 innings pitched, which places him as one of the best.

    Dustin Nippert on the other hand is starting for the Rangers, and he just hasnt thrown the ball very well this year at all. He has a 5.01 ERA and in his 32 innings pitched he has allowed a total of 38 hits. So he is allowing about 1.2 hits per inning. Ouch. Nippert has also given up 23 walks in those 38 innings which is more than Maholm has allowed in 88 innings.

    Nippert is not a starter. This guy was coming out of the bullpen and still has a terrible ERA. So I dont understand why you switch a bad reliever into a starter but whatever. Still I dont see him going more than 4 innings tops as this is only his second start so I dont think they will be letting him go 100 pitches so soon.

    The most I can see out of Nippert here is 4 innings so we are going to see that ranger bullpen in this game early and I know the Pirates are going to be able to do some damage there. The Ranger bullpen did work 3 innings last night and 5 innings their previous game so I think it has been overworked and today is the day that it gets hit hard.

    Clearly the Rangers have the better bats in this game, but left hander Maholm is going to neutralize them. Also, the Pirates bats are better than most realize. They start off with Tabata, Walker, McCutheon, and Jones which is actually a pretty strong first 4. They also have Doumit, Milledge, and Crosby at the bottom.

    The Pirates are going to draw some walks today and get hits and they will score a pretty decent number of runs today. Maholm as well will hold the Rangers offense in check and its totally crazy that the Pirates are + 170 in this game. This game should be a slight favorite to the Pirates here.

    I know a lot of people are going to just look at this game and jump on the Rangers because the Rangers have the better team and a better record. However we all know that baseball is not about records or teams its about who is pitching.

    This pitching matchup just does not justify laying any big price on the Rangers. the Pirates will win this game, dont need the 1 1/2 runs because this game goes to the Pirates.


    Lock *** PIRATES + 170 *****

  2. #2
    nicsbr
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    last time u said something was a lock they lost hard so im on rangers

  3. #3
    stealthyburrito
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    wouldn't go so far as to say a lock, but this play has great value tonight. gl

  4. #4
    lunchbawks
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    pitt and lock don't work together

  5. #5
    Chi_archie
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    looks like a decent bet

  6. #6
    nobs
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    UM guess not, I said it last night on the Reds underdod and they won 4-2.
    ( but thats right, you never post a play, always claim to kill the book haters only count the losers )


    SBRBest Bet independent monitored Records ---

    #13 Nobs ( 19-8 +12.83 Units)

    Nicsbr -- not even ranked in the top 300 then I stopped looking

  7. #7
    nobs
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    Quote Originally Posted by stealthyburrito View Post
    wouldn't go so far as to say a lock, but this play has great value tonight. gl

    Thanks and you're right on both points

  8. #8
    PittsburghPlayer
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    Let`s Go Bucs! Did you have to write lock though? GL Men.

  9. #9
    PittsburghPlayer
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    I take that back. Nice write up and it is your thread, you may write what you like.

  10. #10
    nobs
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    I think the Pirates have at least a 50/50 chance and they are +170 so its very +EV.

    Thanks and good luck to all who are on the Pirates

  11. #11
    Rixsaw
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    good luck on your play. I can't put $ on the Pits. They are terrible.

  12. #12
    nicsbr
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    ffs only me on SBR who are on texas?

  13. #13
    fishmonger
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    well.............

    I tailed last night and everything you wrote makes sense. So going to hitch another ride tonight. Hope it takes me where I need to go.

  14. #14
    BookieOweMe
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    Quote Originally Posted by fishmonger View Post
    I tailed last night and everything you wrote makes sense. So going to hitch another ride tonight. Hope it takes me where I need to go.
    me too

  15. #15
    Patrick McIrish
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    I like the Pirates, we win almost half these games....

  16. #16
    jiwoolim
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    fuk pirates

  17. #17
    D3 Mighty Ducks
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    Not even a contest about now, 6-1 Rangers

  18. #18
    nobs
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    Quote Originally Posted by D3 Mighty Ducks View Post
    Not even a contest about now, 6-1 Rangers

    Yeah its not over yet, but I expect the haters to start coming in with their and other stupid comments. Must be nice to never post a play and just sit around waiting to hate on people who have the guts to post a pick.

    Funny I didnt see you in my thread last night D3 Might Ducks, you know the one where I posted Reds as an underdog and they won, and I didnt see you on Monday night when I won with a +140 dog, or Sunday night when I posted Mariners and they won as a dog.

    Its actually nice to lose one every once in a while, I win 4 in a row and I get to missing you haters seeing as how you never show up in any of my winning threads.

    Its all good though, I am one of the few who has the guts to be independently monitored here.

    and there it is

    # 15 in the SBR BEST BEST THREAD (nobs 19-10-0 +10.58 units)

    and thats not a record I am keeping myself d3 mighty ducks, thats is a record keeping system done by sbr itself, I have no control over it.

    29 plays up 10 1/2 units.

    Funny I dont see you lised anywhere in the top 300. And that is where this thread truly deserves a

    But anyways game is far from over

  19. #19
    nobs
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    I actually did just find you D3 Might Ducks.

    #15 Nobs + 10.58 Units

    #127 D3 Mighty Ducks + 2.00 units



    But I do have to give you some props D3 Mighty Ducks, you are the first hater that I have ever found + units in the Sbr Moitored record keeping system

  20. #20
    D3 Mighty Ducks
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    Stop crying and taking it to heart, I ain't hating just don't throw the word "lock" around. I'm sure you know better then to call a pick a lock. Its funny because I was on the Reds last night and today, so ya I didn't need to come in this thread

  21. #21
    D3 Mighty Ducks
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    I'm not hating on you, I respect everyone and their plays.

  22. #22
    nicsbr
    today was a good day
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  23. #23
    nobs
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    Ok my bad if I take it too serious, but as soon as I lose a play I am just waiting on it because boy they sure come out of the woodwork like Roaches.

    But seeing as how a lot of people are on the Pirates, this sounded a little like rubbing it in

    Not even a contest about now, 6-1 Rangers [/color]

    at least this part did ----
    so my bad if I take it too serious but I really dont expect any haters since I have posted 4 plays in the last 4 days and gone 4-0 and amazingly none of the haters appear in those thread. Still this game is 4th inning, a lot of time left

  24. #24
    D3 Mighty Ducks
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    Keep believing in a 10-2 ball game

  25. #25
    rake922
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    worst team in national league playing the hottest team in baseball (9 game win streak).... that's never a lock.. ever

  26. #26
    flakeandbake
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    u blow

    nice pick sike, you wrote a page long how it was a lock and they got boofed 11-2

  27. #27
    mdemps9190
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    wear it

  28. #28
    nobs
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    Quote Originally Posted by nicsbr View Post
    This is about as close to posting a play as some people ever get

    Quote Originally Posted by nicsbr View Post
    who u think win then? i want to go with laa and seattle in a parlay, good choice?
    Now let me guess, hmmm . If laa and seattle win, then nicsbr posted a winner, if it doesnt win then its a no play he was just asking what the board thought.

    Never seen that before.

    Again, if either of you 2 actually had skills, you wouldnt be shitting in my thread that just happens to be the first loser I have posted in 5 days, you would be in the SBR monitored thread catching my record, something that neither of you will ever do. So keep right on hating and talking about how you were on all these winners that of course werent posted.

    I on the other hand am going to keep right on posting plays which means I will lose some every now and then, and you will keep right on shitting on the losers and ignoring all the winners.

    I have nothing to prove.

    this says it all.

    #15 Nobs +10.58 units
    #127 D3 Mighty Ducks +2.00 units
    nicsbr ---- not in the top 350 posters.

    Lol. Thanks for the laugh you 2

  29. #29
    BookieOweMe
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    uh...

  30. #30
    nicsbr
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    shut it nublet 2nd time u **** up a lock lucky im on texas 11-2

  31. #31
    nobs
    5 DIMES IS A JOKE
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    Sweet

    Rake
    flakeandbake
    mdemps


    Sweet 3 more never post a play, always win haters chiming in.

    Like I said, its nice to lose one every now and then, my last 4 threads all winners. Funny how none of you appeared. LOL.


  32. #32
    nobs
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    Quote Originally Posted by nicsbr View Post
    shut it nublet 2nd time u **** up a lock lucky im on texas 11-2

    Uh huh sure you are

    #15 Nobs +10.58 units
    #127 D3 Mighty Ducks +2.00 units
    nicsbr ---- not in the top 350 posters

  33. #33
    nicsbr
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    omg im so mad that im not in the top 350 posters ffs that grind my gears

  34. #34
    D3 Mighty Ducks
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    Buddy, are you seriously praising your +10.58 units? 13-2 now

  35. #35
    shage
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    someone doesnt like people talking about him lol

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