1. 06-08-10 04:21 PM #36
    Kramer12
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    good luck today bossman what exactly is your system
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  2. 06-08-10 04:23 PM #37
    pimike
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    Guys please read my first post, I like orioles to win this game

    The run line is insurance
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  3. 06-08-10 04:32 PM #38
    big0mar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cappinpicks View Post
    Taking a team +1.5 is just -EV.. Not sure what system has this as profitable.
    Why is it -EV?
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  4. 06-08-10 04:39 PM #39
    boeing power
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    Quote Originally Posted by big0mar View Post
    Why is it -EV?
    because when the yankees win, 90% of the time they win by more than 1 run

    so when you bet yankee games to be +EV you must take the yankess-1.5 or take the dog straight up
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  5. 06-08-10 04:45 PM #40
    Vesuvius
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cappinpicks View Post
    There's no way you can win long term picking big dogs on the RL making them near pick'ems
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  6. 06-08-10 04:47 PM #41
    SolidDala
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    Have O's RL and O's ML for 1/3 of RL bet tonight!
    Last edited by SolidDala; 06-08-10 at 04:51 PM.
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  7. 06-08-10 04:53 PM #42
    Pacok
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    Thanks mike, i was sure betting for yankees (Hughes is pitching well), but now i've just seen your pick i'm not as sure as before
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  8. 06-08-10 05:29 PM #43
    WolverineFan
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    GL Mike...Don't know why people has to argue about someones pick..If you like it, take it, if you don't then just move on and don't question the motives behind the pick...
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  9. 06-08-10 05:29 PM #44
    kmarinouofm
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    i can't find one reason to bet this game other then the line and how the public is pounding the yankees.. yet Balitmore is climbing if not staying steady at most books
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  10. 06-08-10 06:13 PM #45
    Lefttee
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  11. 06-08-10 06:31 PM #46
    LakeShow
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    Wow and thx mike
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  12. 06-08-10 07:04 PM #47
    Footballtime
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    Not bashing but this one is over, for once i can say im glad i was late seeing 1 of your plays. Usually im not glad to miss 1 of your plays, but no way i can ever play baltimore, Best of luck its early, but i dont see the O's putting up 5 runs, GL FBT
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  13. 06-08-10 07:05 PM #48
    Puda
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    Glad I took NY.
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  14. 06-08-10 07:18 PM #49
    grekos
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    Puda your a Benedict Arnold.
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  15. 06-08-10 07:26 PM #50
    pimike
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    Pimike's late big play!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    cardinals
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  16. 06-08-10 07:29 PM #51
    Cappinpicks
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    I told you guys to take NY RL, whatever
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  17. 06-08-10 07:30 PM #52
    pimike
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cappinpicks View Post
    I told you guys to take NY RL, whatever
    4th inning and we lost already???????????
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  18. 06-08-10 07:34 PM #53
    thebayareabeast
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    The Orioles are garbage.. you got balls Mike.
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  19. 06-08-10 07:35 PM #54
    Puda
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    Quote Originally Posted by grekos View Post
    Puda your a Benedict Arnold.
    lol.
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  20. 06-08-10 07:40 PM #55
    Slider612
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    If Capp keeps going, the O"s will come back for sure,coudnt make the play, but its far from over.Capp you been watching baseball?
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  21. 06-08-10 07:45 PM #56
    SolidDala
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    Yer havent been around long in baseball, but things happen more frequent here then anywhere else
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  22. 06-08-10 08:01 PM #57
    SolidDala
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    6-3!!!!
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  23. 06-08-10 08:07 PM #58
    GGPLAYER
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    Quote Originally Posted by pimike View Post
    cardinals

    Thanks for the play Big Mike....but why is the juice so low on this one? Almost seems too easy.
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  24. 06-08-10 08:10 PM #59
    pimike
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    Quote Originally Posted by GGPLAYER View Post
    Thanks for the play Big Mike....but why is the juice so low on this one? Almost seems too easy.


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  25. 06-08-10 08:17 PM #60
    venture
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    Quote Originally Posted by pimike View Post
    [/B]
    Quote Originally Posted by pimike View Post
    [/B]
    It does seem low, i was on it now im more on it
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  26. 06-08-10 08:23 PM #61
    Puda
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    O's making some noise. bol.
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  27. 06-08-10 08:49 PM #62
    Slider612
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    Lines low no Rasmus No Freese both on the bench calf injurys only thing i can see,Winns batting 2nd
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  28. 06-08-10 08:51 PM #63
    dogs1972
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    Sucks....but u can't win them all. We'll get em next time. It's only one game, there's been plenty that hit.
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  29. 06-08-10 08:53 PM #64
    Ralphie1412
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    Im shocked to see you on the orioles.........Im with you on cardinals though, you wont go 0-2.
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  30. 06-08-10 09:00 PM #65
    Bababooey323
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    I told you I had Yankees on Twitter, Mike! Shouldn't have doubted me. (KingsCrossing)
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  31. 06-08-10 09:06 PM #66
    vietussports
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    when the guy win how come no one show up and say I told you this and that and when he lost 1 bet all sudden thing start happen???? I'm not follow Mike bet or against him what so ever but come on people share you though before the game is OK but don't wait til game over and come to claim you should listen to me ect .......
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  32. 06-08-10 09:13 PM #67
    Slider612
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    I like the other Ace tonight
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  33. 06-08-10 09:14 PM #68
    vietussports
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    Quote Originally Posted by boeing power View Post
    because when the yankees win, 90% of the time they win by more than 1 run

    so when you bet yankee games to be +EV you must take the yankess-1.5 or take the dog straight up
    You're right about this but If You take NYY RL at home then 100% they won and cover RL. I'm not on Mike side or anything but NYY road record is weak on 16-15 and 4 of those game they win by only 1 pt. Then by RL record NYY on 12 win and 19 L on the road which not look good there.


    I stated this earlier:


    Out of 35 NYY win 31 times they win and Cover the RL and 4 times they win by 1 ( all 4 games not cover RL is on the road) Very much NYY at home when bet then can bet RL better


    take closer look

    NYY on the road record 16-15.
    out of 16 win 12 games they win by RL and 4 games they win by 1 pt

    Overall when think about RL all together then NYY road record on 12 win cover RL and 19 Lose

    Remember this isjust the Fact stat here not any capping involved yet.
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  34. 06-08-10 09:18 PM #69
    dimon
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    I will take LOS late game...they are a very good team at home
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  35. 06-08-10 09:37 PM #70
    ironchef69
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    Cashed on giants tonight, thanks for the play mikey sending points your way!!
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