SportsAddict System Test
- Im going to be exploring a little system I thought of through the powers of observation. Statistics are showing us that Straight Up the favorites are hitting almost 58% of the time. Furthermore, I see the Home Team Favorite has a better statistical advantage than does the Away Favorite by almost 6% points. Using this logic Im going to be tailing Home Favorites Straight up and weighing these percentages into the capping equation.
- Against the Spread I'm going to lean closer towards Away teams which hold a 3% advantage over its counter-part. While I focus on Away teams (ATS) Ill will favor the Away Dog with its spectacular 10% lead in the stats.
Granted these numbers might prove to actually correct themselves over time which is something Ill be taking a look at too. This is going to be a bit complicated the way I picture it in my mind but Ill try my best to sort it out. All picks will have a number scale marking them from most probable (5) to Least Likely (1). All picks are situational based on the teams and the capping emphasis I weight.
Straight Up Trends MLB 2010 Season (Won Loss)
Category Record Percent
Away Teams 300-364 45.18%
Home Teams 364-300 54.82%
Favorites 381-279 57.73%
Dogs 279-381 42.27%
Away Favorites 119-101 54.09%
Away Dogs 178-262 40.45%
Home Favorites 262-178 59.55%
Home Dogs 101-119 45.91%
Against The Spread Trends (ATS)
Category Record Percent
Away Teams 351-313 52.86%
Home Teams 313-351 47.14%
Favorites 272-392 40.96%
Dogs 392-272 59.04%
Away Favorites 99-140 41.42%
Away Dogs 252-173 59.29%
Home Favorites 173-252 40.71%
Home Dogs 140-99 58.58%
Over vs. Under Trends
Category Overs Percent Unders Percent
Extra Inning Games 28 45.90% 33 54.10%
Non-Extra Inning Games 274 48.58% 290 51.42%
All Games 302 48.32% 323 51.68%