[aajreyno]

Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets Game 1, 4:10 PM

L1 Dodgers (8-10, Kuroda)
W4 Mets (10-9, Santana)

ML = NYM -139, O/U = 7

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LAD vs. Santana lifetime = .276 (26/94)

Bullpen

Sherill 10IP 8.10 ERA
Troncosco 10IP 3.38 ERA
Weaver 9IP 5.06 ERA

Broxton - perfect

NYM vs. Kuroda lifetime = .419 (13/31)

Bullpen

Feliciano 10IP 1.00 ERA
Nieve 12IP 4.66 ERA
Jenrry Meija 7IP 1.35 ERA

K-Rod - 0.93 ERA

SPLITS

Johan Home ERA (08' 2.09), (09' 3.13), (10' 3.63)
Kuroda Away ERA (08' 3.78) (09' 3.55), (10' 1.98)


FANGRAPHS METRIC ANALYSIS


PITCHING

GB% (HK = .571) (JS = .292)
xFIP (HK = .2.96) (JS = 3.920)
REW (HK = 1.920) (JS = .470)
WPA/LI (HK = .270) (JS = .570)

BATTING

BB/K (LAD = .58) (NYM = .54)
GB% (LAD = .437) (NYM = .433)
OPS (LAD = 0.815) (NYM = .667)
WPA (LAD = 1.9) (NYM - -1.82)
Z-CT (LAD = .895) ((NYM = .868)

TRENDS

The Mets have won 4 in a row and are playing at home with their best pitcher on the mound. The Dodgers are nearing the end of a long East coast road trip. In addition, both teams have gone under the total each of the past three games.

FINAL ANALYSIS

After taking into consideration this analysis, I believe this game will be a pitcher's duel with the Mets winning, 4-2. The Mets should be at their strongest as long as their healthy big-name players are in the lineup. Santana has pitched better against LAD bats than Kuroda has against NYM bats. Santana is great home, Kuroda not so much on the road. Both have been pitching well this season too.

If the Dodgers are going to win this game, it is going to have to be one of those games in which the pitcher just did not show up, like Scott Baker vs. Cleveland the other day. Kemp and co. are going to have to get to Johan early, or it will be a long, but competitive day.

[sabres916]

I want to be on the mets in both games but wouldn't be surprised if this splits. Feel better about game 2