I'm thinking about going heavy on this play. Josh Johnson for the Marlins, Aaron Harang for the Reds. Harang's good, but Johnson is clearly a cut above and is looking for his first quality start of the season after beginning the year poorly in his first two starts.
Harang, in four starts at Land Shark Stadium, has an ERA of 5.79. In nine career starts against the Marlins, his ERA is 6.15.
Johnson is a career 16-9 at home with a 3.57 ERA. In only two starts against the Reds, his ERA is 1.74.
So, on the strength of a pitching advantage, I'm taking Florida.
I looked close at this game and decided to stay away from sides.Harang is very good (whip 0.92) he just hasn't gotten any support yet this year.I'm playing the under if anything.Think as far as sides go its a toss up.Good luck