1. #1
    louisvillekid
    slummin it
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    what happened to the Hou/Mil "lock" thread

    wasn't there a thread going earlier, that someone said it was a lock to take the over on Hou/Mil?

  2. #2
    JAHgger4noz
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    hmmmm, well i was the idiot that said houston is good for 1 win in a series these days, either game 1 or 2 vs Milw.

  3. #3
    louisvillekid
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    nevermind, i went to my profile and looked for my previous posts, it got moved to a private thread.

  4. #4
    BatemanPatrickl
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    Moved to the private zone and the poster's account was deleted.

  5. #5
    EJandV
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    I hate the .5 on an over . 9 is not a low # really . 6 - 3 , 5 -4 , the unbalanced showing is of course a killer for an over >> 8 - 1 , 7 -2 , 9 - 0 , yeah right . Friggin 5 - 3 was a score I looked for 1 year every time Mil was at home . When doing an over , I hate the 9.5 line almost as much as 10 .5 . So with that being said by lucky me , the over is a cinch . 8 - 5 , 6 - 4 , 6 - 5 , 9 - 6 . This was chinese huh . I dont like the o/u here .

  6. #6
    EJandV
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    I believe most people play the word asocaition game alot when handicapping baseball .
    A capper sees the starters name and jumps to immediate conclusions .
    Because a pitcher is up from the minors or out of the bullpen does not mean that guy will pitch poorly , or that the hitters will be all over him (various reasons for each side )
    We see the poor era and tend to jump to the over scenario quicker than Bate runs for his dictionary when clicking post quick reply .
    While the %s are probably no better than 50 + % to use this quick to judgement over or go against when seeing the unknown or high era straters, it always seems a wise play before the first pitch .

  7. #7
    EJandV
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    Note : directed towards post above : sept 19th in the last stretch run of baseball season is not exactly a great time to be posting what I posted . The bullpen would not exactly be rested this late in the season , nor would the starters . Some pitchers arms may be like jelly and not last long , but what do I know , they refused to answer my calls just now .....
    Going by the # s of bush starts AT Hous , finals were 5 - 4 and 10 - 1 , that is no indicator whatsoever if we had to try and use that .
    If one of the starters get chased early then I would love to be on the over 9 . 5 .
    Astros starter got rocked at home by the nats , did he learn anything from that start , hold on my crystal ball is fizzing ....
    I have no idea how to strongly foresee Gutierrez pitching tonight .
    If you do plz fill me in ?
    I look at houston as a hitters park and someone gave me feedback on here that texas was more of a hitters park than Houston .
    If he thinks houston is indeed a hitters park I have no clue , Wille !!!
    Bush just got lit up the start before last AT CINN a hitters park and he didnt make it past 4 inn last wed at the Pirates giving up 4 runs 5 hits 2 walks .
    Do these facts mean anything tonight ?
    If your answer is yes then the over 9.5 like someone originally posted as a lock seems a good shot .

  8. #8
    WestsidePete
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    MIL/HOU 0-0 after 3...a lock for the over??don't think so...

  9. #9
    dodif
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    only 7 more runs. I got $200,000 and my house on this pick. This is great!!!!

  10. #10
    pokernut9999
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    Got 20 bucks, a carton of cigs, and my trailer on it. Damn I need a miracle.

  11. #11
    WestsidePete
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    another lock pic down the drain...

  12. #12
    MJFtheGenius
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    I had the Under in this one

  13. #13
    dodif
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    winner!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    i bought 5 runs

    lock!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  14. #14
    WestsidePete
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    Quote Originally Posted by MJFtheGenius View Post
    I had the Under in this one
    good pic....

  15. #15
    EJandV
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    My bad , I left out the 3 - 2 result and all the other totaly improbable low scoring results . We never think a 9.5 could be 1 - 0 , 2 - 1 , or friggin 3 - 2 . Amazing . It still could go over though in one of those "NO WAYS" !!!

  16. #16
    pokernut9999
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    Fat Lady has not sung yet !!!!

  17. #17
    WestsidePete
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    wow...BOHICA time for Brad Lidge ..gives up 2 run HR in the 9th 4-4 now...

  18. #18
    pokernut9999
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    my trailer may be safe after all.

  19. #19
    WestsidePete
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    don't forget about the cartoon of cigs...

  20. #20
    pokernut9999
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    Quote Originally Posted by EJandV View Post
    My bad , I left out the 3 - 2 result and all the other totaly improbable low scoring results . We never think a 9.5 could be 1 - 0 , 2 - 1 , or friggin 3 - 2 . Amazing . It still could go over though in one of those "NO WAYS" !!!
    You had it right the first time 5-4

  21. #21
    pokernut9999
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    Quote Originally Posted by WestsidePete View Post
    don't forget about the cartoon of cigs...
    hell smoked half of them sweating this out !!!

  22. #22
    dodif
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    i didnt need to buy 5 runs

    pokernut has the best sig right now

  23. #23
    Pussymagnet
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    I know a lot of us took the over. I went heavy on the over.

    2 MORE RUNS!

  24. #24
    WestsidePete
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    Quote Originally Posted by MJFtheGenius View Post
    I had the Under in this one

    better late then never...

  25. #25
    MJFtheGenius
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    Haha yea I did not think I would have to sweat this one out but a win is a win, and that was my only play today so Im pretty happy not losing today

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