1st Inning run scored Yes or No Experiment Daily Chase

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  • superblaaze
    SBR Sharp
    • 12-14-09
    • 498

    #666
    Originally posted by superblaaze
    Fri Jun,18
    7:05 PM Nationals Yes B Win

    7:10 PM Dodgers Yes B <------day chase as well Win Day chase Win
    8:05 PM Astros Yes A <----- also day chase Loss
    9:10 PM Brewers Yes A <----- also day chase Win

    10:05 PM Padres NO A Juice may be too high usually is with padres

    Day Chase System now 14-2
    Dodgers pending
    Nationals pending
    Astros 1-0
    10:05 PM Padres NO A Juice may be too high usually is with padres..... Juice is too high -160 I am fading and going yes for +130 for 1/2 unit Baltimore is one of the top teams for allowing their opponent to score...
    Last edited by superblaaze; 06-18-10, 08:46 PM.
    Comment
    • superblaaze
      SBR Sharp
      • 12-14-09
      • 498

      #667
      Fridays Re-cap

      1st positive day since inter league started.

      1. Bonus play Angels and Cubs No Win
      2. B bet on Nationals yes Win
      3. B Bet on Dodgers yes Win
      4. 1st Play on the Day Chase Dodgers Yes Win
      5. A Bet on Astros Yes Loss
      6. A Bet on Brewers Yes Win
      7. A Bet on Padres No Win (even though I faded for positive juice.. the No still won)
      8. Run Line Play on Braves Win
      Comment
      • superblaaze
        SBR Sharp
        • 12-14-09
        • 498

        #668
        Saturday 19th Plays

        1. 4;10 pm Nationals Yes Bet A
        2. 4:10 pm Dodgers Yes Bet A
        3. 7:05 pm Astros Yes Bet B
        4. 8:10 pm Brewers Yes Bet A
        5. 8:35 pm Padres No Bet A

        Day Chase

        I would use the Dodgers , Astros and hope one of them 2 win lol 3rd bet hate to say it .. I am not confident in either. you have 2 pitchers in the Brewers game with decent whips. but then you have Milwood 0-8 pitching for Baltimore with a huge whip in his last 5 games. Hopefully the books will see it that way also and lower the Juice on the padres in which case I would go that way.
        Comment
        • apwmel
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 03-26-09
          • 789

          #669
          GL Blaaze.
          Comment
          • superblaaze
            SBR Sharp
            • 12-14-09
            • 498

            #670
            POSTED
            Comment
            • fletch49
              SBR Sharp
              • 04-12-10
              • 407

              #671
              Your five look good enough to me to at least hit on 3 which would be a solid day of chasing. btw...I was following a small forum called This Pro Gambler which had a rather significant contributor who used the moniker blaaze. Suddenly the forum just disappeared and I really liked it. Would you be at all related to that guy called blaaze
              Comment
              • superblaaze
                SBR Sharp
                • 12-14-09
                • 498

                #672
                Originally posted by fletch49
                Your five look good enough to me to at least hit on 3 which would be a solid day of chasing. btw...I was following a small forum called This Pro Gambler which had a rather significant contributor who used the moniker blaaze. Suddenly the forum just disappeared and I really liked it. Would you be at all related to that guy called blaaze
                That would be me yes ... I have no idea what happened to Pro he just disappeared and deleted all content...
                Comment
                • bigmonay
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 07-09-09
                  • 181

                  #673
                  nice day yesterday blaze! lets keep it rolling!
                  Comment
                  • superblaaze
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 12-14-09
                    • 498

                    #674
                    A 2nd run line play came while I was away -1.5 on Padres
                    Comment
                    • superblaaze
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 12-14-09
                      • 498

                      #675
                      Saturday June 19th Re Cap

                      1. 4;10 pm Nationals Yes Bet A Loss
                      2. 4:10 pm Dodgers Yes Bet A Loss
                      3. 7:05 pm Astros Yes Bet B Loss
                      4. 8:10 pm Brewers Yes Bet A Win
                      5. 8:35 pm Padres No Bet A Loss
                      6. Run Line Braves Loss
                      7. Run Line Padres Loss


                      Day Chase
                      Dodgers Loss
                      Astros Loss
                      Brewers Win

                      Sunday June 20th Plays

                      1. 1:35 Pm Nationals Yes Bet B WINNER
                      2. 2:05 Pm Astros Yes Bet C WINNER
                      3. 3:10 Pm Brewers Yes Bet A LOSS
                      4. 4:05 Pm Padres No Bet B LOSS
                      5. 8:00 PM Dodgers Yes Bet B WINNER

                      Day Chase I will be playing in order as soon as one wins will start a 2nd chase...

                      Nationals 2-0
                      Dodgers 2-0
                      Astros 2 -0
                      Brewers 2-0 (b bet pending)
                      Padres 1-0 (c bet Pending)
                      Last edited by superblaaze; 06-20-10, 07:48 PM.
                      Comment
                      • superblaaze
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 12-14-09
                        • 498

                        #676
                        POSTED
                        Comment
                        • jose21_us
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-24-10
                          • 3844

                          #677
                          gl blaze
                          Comment
                          • spongerat
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-01-08
                            • 2023

                            #678
                            alright good luck
                            Comment
                            • superblaaze
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 12-14-09
                              • 498

                              #679
                              1. 1:35 Pm Nationals Yes Bet B WINNER
                              2. 2:05 Pm Astros Yes Bet C WINNER
                              3. 3:10 Pm Brewers Yes Bet A LOSS
                              4. 4:05 Pm Padres No Bet B LOSS
                              5. 8:00 PM Dodgers Yes Bet B WINNER

                              Plus 3 day chase Winners
                              Last edited by superblaaze; 06-20-10, 07:49 PM.
                              Comment
                              • superblaaze
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 12-14-09
                                • 498

                                #680
                                Bonus Play on Reds vs Mariners Yes
                                Comment
                                • BillAccpetor
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 02-07-09
                                  • 790

                                  #681
                                  Originally posted by BillAccpetor
                                  I will start a 3 Game Chase Series:

                                  V2
                                  Baltimore Orioles @ San Diego Padres - No Run in 1st Inning / X

                                  V3
                                  Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies - No Run in 1st Inning / X
                                  V2 = A won

                                  V3 = C won

                                  Week's record = 12 series winners

                                  Odds : -154 avg.
                                  Comment
                                  • superblaaze
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 12-14-09
                                    • 498

                                    #682
                                    Monday June 21st

                                    Only one Play Washington Bet A Yes at 7:05 pm
                                    Comment
                                    • GGPLAYER
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-26-09
                                      • 2981

                                      #683
                                      Blaaze I've been away for a few days but looking at your past few posts I see this for today:

                                      A Hou - yes
                                      A LAD - yes
                                      B Was - yes
                                      B Mil - yes
                                      C SD - no
                                      Comment
                                      • Sawyer
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 06-01-09
                                        • 7720

                                        #684
                                        Let's chase YES for Milwaukee-Minnesota series. It's a banker

                                        GL Guys!
                                        Comment
                                        • superblaaze
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 12-14-09
                                          • 498

                                          #685
                                          Originally posted by GGPLAYER
                                          Blaaze I've been away for a few days but looking at your past few posts I see this for today:

                                          A Hou - yes
                                          A LAD - yes
                                          B Was - yes
                                          B Mil - yes
                                          C SD - no
                                          That is correct
                                          Comment
                                          • superblaaze
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 12-14-09
                                            • 498

                                            #686
                                            7:05 pm Nationals Bet B
                                            7:10 pm Padres Bet C
                                            8:05 pm Astros Bet A
                                            8:10 pm Brewers Bet B
                                            10:05 pm Dodgers Bet A
                                            Comment
                                            • superblaaze
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 12-14-09
                                              • 498

                                              #687
                                              My day Chase
                                              Nats -105
                                              Astros +135
                                              Dodgers +110
                                              Comment
                                              • bigmonay
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 07-09-09
                                                • 181

                                                #688
                                                hey blaze just a thought... what if we were to simply track the top 3 or 4 teams at scoring in first and vice/versa not scoring... and when they dont do as we expect 2 games in a row... in other words what would be a c bet we jump on and start chasing then... less action on daily basis but seems like lower risk and much safer way! perfect example would be padres tonight... i didnt have them on a or b... so i jumped on them on c for and easy win tonight... and i will jump on nationals and start chasing tom. let me know what u think!
                                                Comment
                                                • makaveli66
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-13-10
                                                  • 1850

                                                  #689
                                                  1st inning run scored is too unpredictable
                                                  Comment
                                                  • superblaaze
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 12-14-09
                                                    • 498

                                                    #690
                                                    Originally posted by bigmonay
                                                    hey blaze just a thought... what if we were to simply track the top 3 or 4 teams at scoring in first and vice/versa not scoring... and when they dont do as we expect 2 games in a row... in other words what would be a c bet we jump on and start chasing then... less action on daily basis but seems like lower risk and much safer way! perfect example would be padres tonight... i didnt have them on a or b... so i jumped on them on c for and easy win tonight... and i will jump on nationals and start chasing tom. let me know what u think!

                                                    That is sorta what I been doing with other teams except I wait till a D or a E bet on them. and it would for sure work with the teams I have listed but I feel you would be leaving a-lot of money on the table. example in the last 36 games the brewers have been to a C bet once. so you would have missed out on 24 wins. That was the padres 1st C bet in 21 games. you might revise it a bit and start chasing after a Loss as the 5 teams I have listed rarely actually get to a C bet. and is not unusual for them to reel off 5-10 win's in a row.

                                                    Tampa is on a D bet for Yes against the Padres .. a quick note the Padres after a C Bet win which there has only been 4 of them this season has had a run scored in each of the Games following the C bet Win
                                                    Tampa had been to this point 4 times winning 3 and loosing 1 ... so if we get positive juice I will be fading the Padres no bet tonight.
                                                    Last edited by superblaaze; 06-23-10, 07:38 AM.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • superblaaze
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 12-14-09
                                                      • 498

                                                      #691

                                                      Brewers 3-0 Next Bet A
                                                      Padres 2-0 Next Bet A
                                                      Dodgers 2-0 Next Bet B
                                                      Astros 2-0 Next Bet B

                                                      Nationals 2-0 Next Bet C Nationals are a 60% Yes Team and Royals are a 50% Yes /No back and forth Team Royals have been to this point (C Bet) 10 times winning 5 with Strasburg Pitching and the Nationals in a drought of not scoring themselves.. I may sit this one out and cut my loss's early.
                                                      Last edited by superblaaze; 06-23-10, 08:03 AM.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • swngus44
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 04-26-10
                                                        • 1824

                                                        #692
                                                        Originally posted by makaveli66
                                                        1st inning run scored is too unpredictable
                                                        Why don"t you read the whole thread and then comment.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • floridagolfer
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-19-08
                                                          • 2757

                                                          #693
                                                          Wondering if someone can answer a question for me. When considering whether to play a score-in-the-first-inning wager, what is considered a long streak?

                                                          If a team has scored in the first, or allowed the opposing team to score in the first, in, say, five games in a row, is that rather commonplace or is that a long streak? What's typical?

                                                          Thanks.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • fletch49
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 04-12-10
                                                            • 407

                                                            #694
                                                            Originally posted by superblaaze
                                                            Brewers 3-0 Next Bet A Padres 2-0 Next Bet A Dodgers 2-0 Next Bet B Astros 2-0 Next Bet B Nationals 2-0 Next Bet C Nationals are a 60% Yes Team and Royals are a 50% Yes /No back and forth Team Royals have been to this point (C Bet) 10 times winning 5 with Strasburg Pitching and the Nationals in a drought of not scoring themselves.. I may sit this one out and cut my loss's early.
                                                            Are all of these YES games except the Padres? For those of us who can't get your picks every day it is a bit confusing without a YES/NO indicator.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • bigmonay
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 07-09-09
                                                              • 181

                                                              #695
                                                              blaze i like you thinking.. and starting your chase on B seems more reasonable after seeing the numbers... thanks alot! tonight i will be on Dodgers , Astro, and Padres... all Yes... BOL Blaze! lets make some more cash!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • swngus44
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 04-26-10
                                                                • 1824

                                                                #696
                                                                Originally posted by fletch49
                                                                Are all of these YES games except the Padres? For those of us who can't get your picks every day it is a bit confusing without a YES/NO indicator.
                                                                Why don"t you take the time and read backwards on the thread. That's what everybody else does. It's really not that hard. Please!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • superblaaze
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 12-14-09
                                                                  • 498

                                                                  #697
                                                                  Originally posted by floridagolfer
                                                                  Wondering if someone can answer a question for me. When considering whether to play a score-in-the-first-inning wager, what is considered a long streak?

                                                                  If a team has scored in the first, or allowed the opposing team to score in the first, in, say, five games in a row, is that rather commonplace or is that a long streak? What's typical?

                                                                  Thanks.
                                                                  depends on whether it is yes or no not uncommon in the no department but is on yes only a few teams have those kinds of streaks with yes but realistically most teams are just above or below 50% either way and you cant really get a read on which way they will go consistently..
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • superblaaze
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 12-14-09
                                                                    • 498

                                                                    #698
                                                                    Originally posted by fletch49
                                                                    Are all of these YES games except the Padres? For those of us who can't get your picks every day it is a bit confusing without a YES/NO indicator.
                                                                    Only No team that is listed is Padres right now
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • swngus44
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-26-10
                                                                      • 1824

                                                                      #699
                                                                      I really like this thread. Hope you're still making $, like you hoped you would when you started this thread. Are you still making these bets, blaaze? Did you change your A bet for SD to a yes yesterday?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • swngus44
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 04-26-10
                                                                        • 1824

                                                                        #700
                                                                        Are you just doing a team chase now? I didn't see anything posted for a day chase yesterday? The day chase was a loss 2 days ago. So, I figured you might have decided to give up on the day chase.
                                                                        Comment
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