1st Inning run scored Yes or No Experiment Daily Chase

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  • superblaaze
    SBR Sharp
    • 12-14-09
    • 498

    #526
    Man I posted the sox and tigers yes 1st then saw bush was pitching and changed it like with in 30 seconds of posting last night
    Comment
    • superblaaze
      SBR Sharp
      • 12-14-09
      • 498

      #527
      My chart is showing 2 games for 7pm

      1... Boston and Cleveland No 7:05 pm

      (this is just for kicks dont play it also shows Nationals and Pirates as No) reason not to play both top 10 teams for scoring and giving 1st inning runs. see yesterdays post.

      this will be the last play if needed

      2 .. Mariners vs Rangers 8:05 NO
      Comment
      • stevex
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 05-02-10
        • 5122

        #528
        Are there any official plays for tonight?
        Comment
        • superblaaze
          SBR Sharp
          • 12-14-09
          • 498

          #529
          Originally posted by stevex
          Are there any official plays for tonight?

          1... Boston and Cleveland No 7:05 pm -130

          2 .. Mariners vs Rangers 8:05 NO Even
          Comment
          • JGSB
            SBR Rookie
            • 06-10-10
            • 10

            #530
            just bet it all on the Boston/Cleveland -NO
            Comment
            • southmadejd
              SBR MVP
              • 08-27-09
              • 1059

              #531
              Thanks Blaaze.
              Comment
              • superblaaze
                SBR Sharp
                • 12-14-09
                • 498

                #532
                Boston starter Jon Lester, who has been virtually un-hittable lately. Lester has allowed a grand total of two earned runs and only 15 hits in 28.1 innings over his last four starts

                Mitch Talbot He is in great current form, with a 2.66 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in his last three starts
                Comment
                • superblaaze
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 12-14-09
                  • 498

                  #533
                  Originally posted by BillAccpetor
                  +

                  Pirates

                  Padres GAME1

                  Marlins

                  All No Runs in 1st Inning
                  Tell us how to play your picks is this a chase system as well ?
                  Comment
                  • bigmonay
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 07-09-09
                    • 181

                    #534
                    hey blaze have u ever tried a chase system with the o/u ON HITS RUNS AND ERRORS... SEEMS LIKE U COULD WIN PRETTY REGULAR BETTING THE UNDERS...?
                    Comment
                    • superblaaze
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 12-14-09
                      • 498

                      #535
                      Originally posted by bigmonay
                      hey blaze have u ever tried a chase system with the o/u ON HITS RUNS AND ERRORS... SEEMS LIKE U COULD WIN PRETTY REGULAR BETTING THE UNDERS...?
                      I have never even looked at that prop to know whats what.
                      Comment
                      • DaBA
                        Restricted User
                        • 04-22-10
                        • 163

                        #536
                        Whats the deal with books not listing Boston or alot of other games? Anybody have the same situation?
                        Comment
                        • BillAccpetor
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 02-07-09
                          • 790

                          #537
                          Originally posted by superblaaze
                          Tell us how to play your picks is this a chase system as well ?
                          Yes
                          Comment
                          • JetDevil74
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 06-08-10
                            • 155

                            #538
                            ...
                            Comment
                            • brko
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 01-28-10
                              • 415

                              #539
                              yes, indeed superblaaze, you said in one of your previous posts that books can't cap this prop you're playing in this thread. hell, yeah! i saw my book had YES (for scores in 1st inning) @ +122, and they make mistakes a lot. i'm just asking (not trying to insult you) - do odds make any impact on your decision? i'm asking that because i don't remember you ever had +odds.
                              Comment
                              • superblaaze
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 12-14-09
                                • 498

                                #540
                                Originally posted by brko
                                yes, indeed superblaaze, you said in one of your previous posts that books can't cap this prop you're playing in this thread. hell, yeah! i saw my book had YES (for scores in 1st inning) @ +122, and they make mistakes a lot. i'm just asking (not trying to insult you) - do odds make any impact on your decision? i'm asking that because i don't remember you ever had +odds.
                                Originally No I use charts.. but sometimes the juice is too high so I make adjustments... all my picks are done way before lines are released. that doesn't mean they are posted.. and your not insulting me. I just cant figure out what the hell is going on. I had 2 picks for 2 pm today 1 won 1 loss I posted the looser. had 2 picks for 7 1 won 1 loss I posted the looser.
                                Comment
                                • JetDevil74
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 06-08-10
                                  • 155

                                  #541
                                  Blaze, going back to what I said yesterday. A part of me thinks that if there are 3 or 4 "no" picks, the chase would be more effective than if there was a combination of yes/no. I can't verbally explain why I think that, but maybe someone could see what I mean?
                                  Comment
                                  • superblaaze
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 12-14-09
                                    • 498

                                    #542
                                    Originally posted by brko
                                    yes, indeed superblaaze, you said in one of your previous posts that books can't cap this prop you're playing in this thread. hell, yeah! i saw my book had YES (for scores in 1st inning) @ +122, and they make mistakes a lot. i'm just asking (not trying to insult you) - do odds make any impact on your decision? i'm asking that because i don't remember you ever had +odds.
                                    if you look in my spread sheet we have had several + and even wins.. but you are right about the books being on the wrong side a lot
                                    Comment
                                    • superblaaze
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 12-14-09
                                      • 498

                                      #543
                                      Originally posted by JetDevil74
                                      Blaze, going back to what I said yesterday. A part of me thinks that if there are 3 or 4 "no" picks, the chase would be more effective than if there was a combination of yes/no. I can't verbally explain why I think that, but maybe someone could see what I mean?
                                      On any given night it's about 50/50 give or take a few here is the problem the time slots.. example yesterday there was 15 games but 11 of them was in 2 time slots. this is where my problem lies. just like today the 4 games previous That I had if they had been staggered we would be done for the day.
                                      Comment
                                      • chilidog
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 04-05-09
                                        • 10305

                                        #544
                                        here we go ...
                                        Comment
                                        • chilidog
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 04-05-09
                                          • 10305

                                          #545
                                          so far, so good ... seattle had no hits ... c'mon, do the same, texas!
                                          Comment
                                          • chilidog
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 04-05-09
                                            • 10305

                                            #546
                                            dammit, base hit, runner on 1st
                                            Comment
                                            • chilidog
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 04-05-09
                                              • 10305

                                              #547
                                              grr, runners on 1st/now now
                                              Comment
                                              • chilidog
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 04-05-09
                                                • 10305

                                                #548
                                                nooooooo
                                                Comment
                                                • JetDevil74
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 06-08-10
                                                  • 155

                                                  #549
                                                  wow. done.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • superblaaze
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 12-14-09
                                                    • 498

                                                    #550
                                                    Crap... I don't do inter league so no plays till Monday that will be documented as our first series loss... I will be studying what the hell went wrong over the weekend...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • DaBA
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 04-22-10
                                                      • 163

                                                      #551
                                                      The system lives! It is undefeated if not greedy like last night.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • bhikool836
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 03-17-08
                                                        • 266

                                                        #552
                                                        it's alright blaaze. we'll get em back!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DaBA
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 04-22-10
                                                          • 163

                                                          #553
                                                          I took Tex Yes by mistake. The system is hurtin.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • southmadejd
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-27-09
                                                            • 1059

                                                            #554
                                                            Don't worry about it Blaaze.....we will all be back.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Gee
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 04-08-10
                                                              • 4547

                                                              #555
                                                              i've always been intrigued by this type of system.

                                                              i run a similar system to this on the first inning draw, where i like the under (usually i bet hoping for 0-0, but have had 1-1, 2-2, 3-3 etc), but don't have a stack of confidence in the bullpens. i've only been doing it for a few months, but it has been very successful. wish i kept records, but i am far too lazy for that...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • superblaaze
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 12-14-09
                                                                • 498

                                                                #556
                                                                Holy sh__ Inter-league goes for 2 fricken weeks ?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Qman1
                                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                                  • 09-07-09
                                                                  • 58

                                                                  #557
                                                                  Originally posted by superblaaze
                                                                  Holy sh__ Inter-league goes for 2 fricken weeks ?

                                                                  I'll be waiting when you get back
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • superblaaze
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 12-14-09
                                                                    • 498

                                                                    #558
                                                                    System now 12-1 92%
                                                                    Played Picks (12-12) 50%
                                                                    Actual Picks(22-23) 48% <-----------------has to be much better than this
                                                                    Money being tracked in my spreadsheet

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • superblaaze
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 12-14-09
                                                                      • 498

                                                                      #559
                                                                      No picks that was played went 1-5 16%
                                                                      Yes picks that was played went 11-7 61%
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BillAccpetor
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 02-07-09
                                                                        • 790

                                                                        #560
                                                                        Unreal Red Sox did 4 runs in 1st... Btw. they are one of the hottest team to chase "YES Run(s) in 1st"...
                                                                        Comment
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