1. 07-15-19 06:59 AM #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Monday, 7/15/19

    1 MLB Play Monday

    Braves / Brewers UNDER 10 +100 (Heritage)


    YTD: 187-214-10, -22.66


    Record at All-Star Break: 183-208-10, -21.46
    Last edited by LT Profits; 07-15-19 at 10:00 AM. Reason: Under 10 should be +100
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  2. 07-15-19 10:00 AM #2
    LT Profits
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    Sorry I shortchanged myself on Brewers Under, correct odds I bet it at were +100.
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  3. 07-15-19 10:03 AM #3
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    1 MLB Addition

    2 MLB Plays Monday

    Blue Jays / Red Sox UNDER 10.5 +100 (Heritage)
    Braves / Brewers UNDER 10 +100 (Heritage)
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  4. 07-15-19 10:32 AM #4
    stackz125
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    White sox?
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  5. 07-15-19 11:34 AM #5
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by stackz125 View Post
    White sox?
    Not for me, I only get ChiSox 52% (-108)

    And yes I finally have Giolito above average.
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  6. 07-15-19 11:35 AM #6
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    MLB 5-Inning Addition

    3 MLB Plays Monday

    Blue Jays / Red Sox UNDER 10.5 +100 (Heritage)
    Blue Jays / Red Sox UNDER 6 -115 (5 innings) (Heritage)
    Braves / Brewers UNDER 10 +100 (Heritage)
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  7. 07-15-19 01:22 PM #7
    qtip0711
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    I like braves brewers un
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  8. 07-15-19 01:39 PM #8
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Not for me, I only get ChiSox 52% (-108)

    And yes I finally have Giolito above average.
    Wow, only 1/2 season later.
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  9. 07-15-19 03:06 PM #9
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    Wow, only 1/2 season later.
    He had so far to come, I literally had him as the worst starter in the majors last August I think and I never adjust much for each start.
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  10. 07-15-19 03:08 PM #10
    2daBank
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    Crazy thing is he hasn’t been nearly as sharp (on the surface anyways) lately, you might be dropping him back down in no time!! Lol
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  11. 07-15-19 03:15 PM #11
    Conqueror
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    He had so far to come, I literally had him as the worst starter in the majors last August I think and I never adjust much for each start.
    Are you insisting that an 11-3 record with an ERA of 3.15 is just pure luck?
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  12. 07-15-19 04:06 PM #12
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Conqueror View Post
    Are you insisting that an 11-3 record with an ERA of 3.15 is just pure luck?
    He is still outperforming his 3.93 xFIP

    He still deserves credit though going from where he was to where he is in about 5 baseball months, that is not easy considering how I do ratings (i.e,, never over-adjust for short term).
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  13. 07-15-19 05:08 PM #13
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    2 Last MLB Additions

    5 MLB Plays Monday

    Blue Jays / Red Sox UNDER 10.5 +100 (Heritage)
    Blue Jays / Red Sox UNDER 6 -115 (5 innings) (Heritage)
    Braves / Brewers UNDER 10 +100 (Heritage)
    Giants +125 (Game 2) (Heritage)
    Astros / Angels UNDER 9.5 +100 (Heritage)
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  14. 07-15-19 06:24 PM #14
    DrunkHorseplayer
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    Giolito's recent hot streak is simply to good to be true and should be ignored. His career ERA prior to this season was roughly 6.00 and if you toss his streak, his ERA this season is about the same. I think you're making a mistake and he should be considered a 6.00 ERA pitcher.
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  15. 07-15-19 06:59 PM #15
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrunkHorseplayer View Post
    Giolito's recent hot streak is simply to good to be true and should be ignored. His career ERA prior to this season was roughly 6.00 and if you toss his streak, his ERA this season is about the same. I think you're making a mistake and he should be considered a 6.00 ERA pitcher.
    I didn't adjust due to "recent streak", I have been slowly adjusting and he has been much improved for five months now (last two months last year and YTD this season). With that said, I only have him about 5% above average, note the still high-ish 3.93 xFIP.
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