[SsgKen]

GL tonight

Thanks.

[SsgKen]

I missed the UDs ML add 0.20 for Phillies and Twins.

[SsgKen]

Picks for 5/21
928 Tampa Bay Rays +1½ -140*vs Los Angeles Dodgers

928 Tampa Bay Rays +125 $50.00 ---> $62.50

TB as a home dog on the RL 32-7 (3-1 this year)

24-15 on the ML as a home dog (3-1 this year)

The Rays are at home hosting Dodgers.

The Dodgers are 31-17. 1st in NL West. I'm taking the +125 for a half unit.

More later

[SsgKen]

STAT MAN PLAYS

Cleveland Indians -127
Indians are (18-8) in Bauer's last 26 home starts

New York Yankees (-1½) -155
Orioles are (0-11) in Hess' last 11 starts vs team with a winning record

Los Angeles Dodgers -136
Dodgers are (36-15) in Kershaw's last 51 road starts

Milwaukee Brewers -136
Brewers are (6-0) in Gonzalez's last 6 home starts

Houston Astros (-1½) -170
Astros are (7-0) in Verlander's last 7 starts vs team with a losing record

St Louis Cardinals -170
Cardinals are (9-3) in Wacha's last 12 home starts

Arizona Diamondbacks -104
Greinke is (13-2) 2.30 Era in 24 starts vs Padres

[Hman]

GL tonight

[SsgKen]

GL tonight

Thank you. Except for a bad Sunday, he is doing well.4-5.52
I cannot figure out the YTD totals because some some lines were not posted; like "Take the "will a score occur in first inning?" but I never posted the bet. And Red Sox 8-2 in the sixth (dome closed) was for the bet the Sox over 9 but I never posted it.

One of my problems watching winning games is a habit of having too many beers then missing posts the next morning.

[SsgKen]

Follow at your own risk. I am not great but on my own own I am taking;

NEW YORK YANKEES VRS BALTIMORE ORIOLES 2½ RUNLINES

104.00

100.00

• Risk: 104.00 - Win: 100.00
• MLB - New York Yankees vrs Baltimore Orioles 2.5 Runlines
  [10915] New York Yankees -2.5 -104
  ( D German - R / D Hess - R )
  Game start 05/21/2019 06:05 PM
• Ticket #406355147

05/21/2019
12:40 PM

[915] TOTAL O9½+101 (NEW YORK YANKEES VRS BALTIMORE ORIOLES)

100.00

101.00

• Risk: 100.00 - Win: 101.00
• MLB - [915] TOTAL o9.5 +101 (New York Yankees vrs Baltimore Orioles)
  ( D German - R / D Hess - R )
  Game start 05/21/2019 06:05 PM

[SsgKen]

A new leader in my contest has taken the lead.

13-7 +1507

902 Chicago Cubs -136
I took it for 1 unit.

STAT MAN;
(13-7) +1314

[SsgKen]

Is there a way to edit for a minute?

I meant to add;
Another member hits 13-7 +1367

908 Milwaukee ML -140

Milwaukee Brewers
-143
Action

[SsgKen]

Too late to start an NBA thread but this this should win;

Basketball - 503 Milwaukee Bucks -150 for Game

[SsgKen]

Personal picks; I'm never picking until STAT MAN posts his plays again. Personal plays total up $11

928 Tampa Bay Rays +1½ -140
928 Tampa Bay Rays +125 $50.00
NEW YORK YANKEES -2½ Risk: 104.00 - Win: 100.00
I wish there was an alt runline. This game had slaughter written all over it. Two Unit bet next time. Score 11-4. O9½ +101 win 101

New guy Chicago Cubs -136 ----> win 100
Another member Milwaukee Brewers-143
STAT MAN PLAYS total +4 -1.27 up 2.73

Cleveland Indians -127 loser

New York Yankees (-1½) -155 win 100

Los Angeles Dodgers -136 win 100

Milwaukee Brewers -136 win 100

Houston Astros (-1½) -170 win 100

St Louis Cardinals Postponed
good guy Ugly game Bucks -150

Scores
Personal plays total up $11
New guy win 100
good guy Bucks -150
Another member -143
Cleveland Indians -127 loser
STAT MAN up 273

Total
up 384
-150
-143
-127
Down -43 if I scored it right. I personally bet STAT MAN'S personal best bet Brewers 1.5 units big loser in my account.

Bottom line: too many bets make a bad day.

[SsgKen]

NEW YORK YANKEES

• 30-17
• 1st in AL East
• lean to an over 10.5+100
  New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles
  D Straily - R / C Sabathia - L
  Risk $1 Win $1 test bet

There is something about going against the Baltimore Orioles' inexperienced pitching staff that just seems to make the New York Yankees hit home runs.
The Yankees smacked three more Tuesday in an 11-4 victory at Baltimore, and New York now has 29 this season against the Orioles. The Yankees will try and keep up that power display when the teams face off again on Wednesday night.

[FOREVER HUSKERS]

SsgKen Yanks have played Balt 10X so far this year and tne teams have scored 113 runs Ave of 11.3. 10.0 on sportsbook. So you have a slight edge GL

[FOREVER HUSKERS]

Live 50 miles from Balt weather good for hitting 73 degrees and partly cloudy for 7:00 start GL.

[SsgKen]

NEW YORK YANKEES

• 30-17
• 1st in AL East
• lean to an over 10.5 +100
  New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles
  D Straily - R / C Sabathia - L
  Risk $1 Win $1 test bet

There is something about going against the Baltimore Orioles' inexperienced pitching staff that just seems to make the New York Yankees hit home runs. The Yankees smacked three more Tuesday in an 11-4 victory at Baltimore, and New York now has 29 this season against the Orioles. The Yankees will try and keep up that power display when the teams face off again on Wednesday night.

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Over 9.5 -105
Risk $1.05 Win $1.00 test bet
The winner may be Sox or Jays but some team wacks some homers for an over. Waiting nervously for the other pickers. Some nice games starting in 2 hours.
STAT MAN NOW (13-8) after losing Brewers picks Boston Red Sox -155 I agree.
Boston Red Sox -155 Action Risk $155.00 Win $100.00

Adding real money bet Over 9.5-105Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue JaysRisk $105.00 Win $100.00

[SsgKen]

FOREVER HUSKERS thanks

STAT MAN plays
Stat Plays (126-82) +32.57

Milwaukee Brewers -105
Brewers are (4-0) in Davies' last 4 home starts vs Reds
St Louis Cardinals (GM1) -172
Royals are (14-42) in their last 56 road games vs right-handed starter
Baltimore Orioles +210 (STAT MAN is 180 degrees against me on Yanks. Glad I only bet a buck.
Yankees are (5-11) in Sabathia's last 16 starts vs Orioles
Boston Red Sox -150
Red Sox are (9-3) in Porcello's last 12 road starts vs team with a losing record
Minnesota Twins -109
Twins are (15-1) in their last 16 road games vs team with a losing record
Atlanta Braves -159
Braves are (5-1) in Fried's last 6 starts with 4 days of rest
Parlay = Chicago Cubs -158 - Houston Astros -330 ---> +112
Cubs are (12-3) in their last 15 home games vs team with a winning record

[SsgKen]

There were two trends broken yesterday;

TB as a home dog on the RL 32-7 (3-1 this year)

24-15 on the ML as a home dog (3-1 this year) These 2 cost me.

There were three trends broken today:

Seattle OVER 17-6-1. score now 1-2 in top of eighth.
Cincy UNDER vs (R) 24-12-1. score 8-11 no need to check the line.
KC interleague UNDER today was 9.5 18-4. score now 10.

I cannot explain these. Some hitters are getting tuned up by their batting coaches. Some pitchers may be finding weak spots in a hitter like he sucks for low and outside on 2-2 pitch.

games;

Milwaukee Brewers -105 win 11-9

Parlay = Chicago Cubs -158 - Houston Astros -330 ---> +112 winner

Red Sox vs Blue JaysRisk $105.00 Win $100.00

Minnesota Twins -109 winner

Boston Red Sox over winner

Atlanta Braves -159 loser

St Louis Cardinals (GM1) -172 loser

Boston Red Sox -150 loser

[SsgKen]

Only taking three today with no or little vig.

Chicago Cubs -110

Lester is (8-0) with a 1.49 Era in 10 starts vs Phillies

San Francisco Giants +104

Braves are (2-6) in their last 8 road games vs left-handed starter

Minnesota Twins -136

Twins are (15-1) in their last 16 road games vs team with a losing record

[SsgKen]

Chicago Cubs -110 loser
San Francisco Giants +104 loser Minnesota Twins -136 winner

I am taking some days off to allow new trends to develop.

See you all later

[SsgKen]

While he is way up, I did not know how good he was until after the contest started. His early days were commonly 4-2 or better. His two UD bets yesterday were both losers.

Stat Plays (131-89) +28.68

Chicago Cubs -160 (best bet)
Reds are (1-5) in DeSclafani's last 6 starts vs National League Central
Reds are (2-5) in DeSclafani's last 7 starts vs Cubs
Cubs are (5-2) in Hendricks' last 7 home starts vs Reds
Cubs are (10-1) in Hendricks' last 11 starts with 4 days of rest

New York Mets (-1½) -135
Tigers are (3-13) in their last 16 vs team with a losing record
Tigers are (1-7) in their last 8 interleague games vs right-handed starter
Mets are (5-0) in their last 5 home games vs left-handed starter
Mets are (10-2) in Syndergaard's last 12 starts vs team with a losing record

Milwaukee Brewers -125
Phillies are (3-13) in Eickhoff's last 16 road starts
Phillies are (1-5) in Eickhoff's last 6 road starts vs team with a winning record
Brewers are (20-6) in their last 26 games following an off day
Brewers are (42-20) in their last 62 home games vs right-handed starter

Minnesota Twins (-1½) -110
White Sox are (1-5) in Lopez's last 6 road starts vs team with a winning record
Twins are (14-3) in Berrios' last 17 home starts vs team with a losing record
Twins are (24-6) in Berrios' last 30 home starts
Twins are (6-0) in Berrios' last 6 starts vs White Sox

Boston Red Sox -139
Red Sox are (5-0) in the last 5 meetings in Houston
Red Sox are (7-3) in Sale's last 10 road starts
Red Sox are (5-1) in their last 6 road games
Red Sox are (5-0) in Sale's last 5 Friday starts

St Louis Cardinals -158
Braves are (0-7) in Foltynewicz's last 7 starts
Braves are (1-4) in Foltynewicz's last 5 starts vs Cardinals
Cardinals are (7-0) in Mikolas' last 7 starts vs National League East
Cardinals are (10-1) in Mikolas' last 11 starts vs team with a winning record

Arizona Diamondbacks -117
Diamondbacks are (4-1) in Rays last 5 road starts vs Giants
Diamondbacks are (6-0) in their last 6 games following an off day
Ray is (9-1) in road night games over the last 2 seasons (Team Record)
Giants are (3-8) in their last 11 home games vs left-handed starter

No bet for me. FYI only.

[SsgKen]

Seattle OVER 16-5-1 when away as of 5/20. I'm taking over 9.5 -105 bookmaker.

[SsgKen]

While he is way up, I did not know how good he was until after the contest started. His early days were commonly 4-2 or better. His two UD bets yesterday were both losers.

Seattle over loser
Stat Plays (131-89) +28.68
today (133-94) +23.51

No bet for me. FYI only. The trends have changed. A computer picked winner Oakland last night. Today it picked ATLANTA -115 M. SORKA must start

[SsgKen]

My favorite picker of after All Starts game posts

Yu Darvish 13-1 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 to -200 over the last 3 seasons.


​Cincinnati Reds(T. Mahle -R) VS Chicago Cubs(Y. Darvish -R)Cubs -141

[SsgKen]

Cincinnati Reds(T. Mahle -R) VS Chicago Cubs(Y. Darvish -R)Under 10½ +108(T. Mahle and Y. Darvish listed)

[SsgKen]

My favorite picker of after All Starts game posts. Yu Darvish 13-1 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 to -200 over the last 3 seasons.

I bet Reds to win which won. Trend bet of under loses. Computer now 1-1.

I am taking some days off to allow new trends to develop. No one is winning, keeping my bankroll for later.

See you all later

​Cincinnati Reds(T. Mahle -R) VS Chicago Cubs(Y. Darvish -R)Cubs -141

[Hman]

Best of luck

[SsgKen]

Castillo, Gray lead Reds vs. Pirates in DH.

It is common for the loser of game one to win game 2. Last year this bet was overwhelmingly successful.

[SsgKen]

Our big player picked yesterday;

Pirates OVER 3.5 @ -126 $5000.00 winners
Twins RL @ -135 $5000.00

today;

Pirates OVER 3.5 @ -126 $5000.00
Twins RL @ -135 $5000.00

QUESTION: Line moved?

Reply the Reds game one has now changed to 5.5 @ +108

I like the reds to score 7-8 runs here.

[SsgKen]

Our big player picked yesterday;

Pirates OVER 3.5 @ -126 $5000.00 winners
Twins RL @ -135 $5000.00

today;

Guys we are winning money today....

Game#1 Reds Team total OVER 4.5 $5000.00 PENDING
KC Team total OVER 4.5 $5000.00 PENDING

If these two are winners I will stack all on last game
Athletics team total OVER 4.5 $10000.00

Again thank you veterans / God Bless America love this country
__________________

QUESTION: Line moved?
Reply the Reds game one has now changed to 5.5 @ +108
I like the reds to score 7-8 runs here.

Adding one more play yesterday:

Over 9 Pirates / Dodgers $2500

I put in yesterday's picks twice. This is correct.

[SsgKen]

On my own memory; it is a nice sunny day in NYC. The Yanks like to play to the fans.

San Diego Padres(M. Strahm -L) VS New York Yankees(C. Green -R)
	Over	10	-102
	(M. Strahm and C. Green listed)
	Risk 204.00 To Win 200.00 2 units

San Diego Padres(M. Strahm -L) VS New York Yankees(C. Green -R)
	Over	10	-102
	(M. Strahm and C. Green listed)
	Risk 204.00 To Win 200.00

[SsgKen]

Sorting it all out; big bettor up 2-0-no action up $10,000

Posted 05-27-2019, 09:03 AM

Game#1 Reds Team total OVER 4.5 $5000.00 winner
Athletics team total OVER 4.5 $5000.00 winner

KC Team total OVER 4.5 $5000.00 Postponed

My pick of York Yankees Over 10 -102 loser[

QUESTION: Who takes your action? Looks like you may have moved the market.

I have a local book he takes action through two apps

Betlefty.com

Pig11.com

online bookmaker has ~$650 limit bets on team totals. I'm not going to take a line that moved off his number.

[SsgKen]

Our big bettor has;


TB Rays RL 1.5 @ -101 $2000.00
TB Rays Team Total OVER 4.5 @ -118 $3500.00

ATL first five +.5 @ -140 $1500.00

White Sox ML @ -163 $1000.00
White Sox RL -1.5 @ +119 $1000.00
White Sox OVER 4.5 @ +105 $2000.00

[SsgKen]

The player with a 20-6-1 win/loss ratio has played;

Cubs / Astros Over 9 -103 two units

[SsgKen]

Wrap up of yesterday:

The player with a (now) 21-6-1 win/loss ratio has played;

Cubs / Astros Over 9 -103 two units easy 9-6 winner +2
________________________________________ _________

big bettor

TB Rays RL -1.5 @ -101 $2000.00 win 3-1 winner

ATL first five +.5 @ -140 $1500.00 -wins bet 2-1 in F5

White Sox ML @ -163 $1000.00 winner 4-3


White Sox RL -1.5 @ +119 $1000.00 loser
White Sox OVER 4.5 @ +105 $2000.00 loser
TB Rays Team Total OVER 4.5 @ -118 $3500.00 loser with 4.

$2000+1000+1500=4500 up
-$3500-2000-1000=6500 down
__________________________

loss on day $2000
===============

Scoring the bets in units of $100 for best bettor
+200

Scoring the bets in units of $100 for big bettor
$450 up
$650 down
down 200 plus best bettor up 200=0; break even day if followed exactly. I did not count vig.

[SsgKen]

I will be using this player after All Star game when the trends are more solid.

With vig

30* Milw -110 lose -33

28* Miami-105 win 28

26* Seattle-150 lose -39

20* Det -120 win 20

20* Wash -110 F5 innings lose -22

18* Under 8 wsox win 18

12* Stl +110 lose -12

10* Mets +180 win 18
28+20+18+18=86
-----------------------
-33-39-22-12=106
86-106=-20
loss on day 20 Just an example of a typical day. Another day he was 16-3. Cold and hot.