Originally Posted by
Combato
Very interesting approach using CLV as the ultimate endpoint as opposed to W/L pt or Units Won or Lost.I believe that one naturally leads to the other, but not vice versa. short term winner (2, 3 months) with -CLV is either the most genius, intelligent bettor ever created or just plain lucky. also feel like the numbers quoted over the 4200 games proves this out as well, the +CLV being up a lot of units, the flat and -CLV being down monster amounts.
5 Dimes - I assume you are using this because reduced juice option gets best value. Also, reduced juice attracts sharper players at the early numbers?? Correct, only to take advantage of the reduced juice until 8 a.m. it attracted me, do not consider myself sharp bettor. plus the low, low limits probably keep a lot of sharp action away. but those limits should work for 99% of those of us on SBR.
Do you ever consider early amount of money bet on the side you like? I would think this would be possible way to support your plays that are favored by early line movement? When you are looking at the 5 Dimes lines, at what point to do you decide a game is a play? Or is it more of a "look and feel" as opposed to a specific number? These are not my plays. i don't check anything as fair as % or $ bet on one side or the other. this is as close to profitable, auto pilot approach i could find. i wake up, compare openers to current, place a few bets. check the line 5 or 10 minutes before first pitch and take action or not. so i am betting the early line movement.