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Saturday Winners
Well pretty much back to even up 6 units comin into the weekend so have to make big moves tomorow
Yankees first game 24
dbacks 8
Marininer 18
rockies 18
mets 2
brewers 2
reds 12
cards2
yankees second game 16
tigers 8
angels 10
indians 10
orioles 1
astros 2
padres 4
I noticed you have not played on or against the cubs yet, any reason or no???
i think day 1 i had the cubs small. In my head and in my heart the cubs are a great play baseball is streaking game and they are looking like they might not lose for the rest of the season. Their bats are waking up their pitching is coming around and they seem to come through with clutch hits when they need them. Right now im and sticking to my line evaluation system because it has not let me down except for yesterday. Everytime i have done the comparison on the cub games it comes out to a 0 which for me is a leave alone game. Yesterday did me good i needed to be brought back to reality but hopefully after tommorrow i can get bak on my high horse
so your line evaluation has never ever let you down except for yesterday?
you think you might be jinxed by the folks on here?..lol
i know of this guy who was on a winning streak till he posted n started losing...it just reminded me of that incident.
No way dont believe in jinxs only bad picks and i made allot of them yesterday. It has let me down before like i said in earlier post on a day to day bases i win about 50 50 but i always come out ahead cause the losing days are never that bad and the winning days are all pretty good. Yesterday is by far the worst day i have ever had using this system who knows made it went bad like spoiled milk but it has made me enough where i can afford to risk another couple of weeks to see what happens.
I hope you hit the Reds, as I am on them as well.
yea i guess if its gotten you this far, then thats good.
got two plays today. Cardinals +122 and White Sox +163
I am pretty sure one of these will come through for me for a profit for the day.
Strictly i'm pulling for your Yank's Cuz 24 units will hurt you big. Not only you had to pay for your vacation out of your pocket by having a bad day yesterday. You will also loose your pants and shirt on this game. GL bud. You'll need it on this. 2-0 w/ bases loaded.
Originally Posted by strictlywinners
Strictly i'm pulling for your Yank's Cuz 24 units will hurt you big. Not only you had to pay for your vacation out of your pocket by having a bad day yesterday. You will also loose your pants and shirt on this game. GL bud. You'll need it on this. 2-0 w/ bases loaded.LOL get a life bro.
well hopefully i didnt lose to many of my disciples yesterday. Like i said before its a marathon not a race and my picks will continue to lead us to the promise land as long as we stay with them no matter how ridiculous they may seem. Here is how we did on the early games
Yanks 24 win 24
Mariners 18 lose 18 in a heart breaker
Dbacks 8 win 14.6
Congrats to those that used my system on the runline cause u are off to a great start unfortunetly im just on the moneylines today sometimes i do take both.
Up 20.6 on early games today
update on 4 oclock game
Mets 2 lose 2
Breweres 2 lose 2.5
Rockies 18 lose 19.8
We were up 20.6 on the day now we are down 3.7 gotta hit the late night games espicially the reds
Lets go Reds!
YES SIR!!!Lets go Reds!
dam strictly you back from maimi already?
his momma's basement
I think strictly is in his momma's basement.
i still think you should scale down your unit structure. If that means increasing your unit size, so be it, but this unit structure is simply a way to inflate numbers (as you saw yesterday, it can also be a bad thing).
Yankees first game 24 (but you had to bet 43 units)
dbacks 8 to win 12.4 (not sure where you got them at +182.5 because they were listed at +155 at most places)
Mariners 18 to win 20
rockies 18 (bet 21.6)
mets 2 (2.8)
brewers 2 (2.4)
reds 12 to win 15.8
cards 2 to win 2.5
yankees second game 16 (28.8)
tigers 8 (19.2)
angels 10 (10.8)
indians 10 (12.2)
orioles 1 to win 1.85
astros 2 to win 2
padres 4 (4.56)
So you're betting approximately 188 units to win 148.55 units (those numbers are estimates based on the lines I have)
Now, with a scaled down system, you have:
Yankees first game 6 (but you had to bet 10.75 units)
dbacks 2 to win 3.1
Mariners 4.5 to win 5
rockies 4.5 (bet 5.4)
mets .5 (.7)
brewers .5 (.6)
reds 3 to win 3.95
cards .5 to win .625
yankees second game 4 (7.2)
tigers 2 (4.8)
angels 2.5 (2.7)
indians 2.5 (3.05)
orioles .25 to win .4625
astros .5 to win .5
padres 1 (1.14)
So you're basically betting 47 to win 37.1375 (notice both numbers are exactly 1/4 of the numbers above).
Again, my general thinking is that most people don't bet 188 units per day. If it gets to that point, I think you'd instead raise your unit size because your bankroll can handle it. So, if a $25 a unit player raised his unit size to $100 in an effort to reduce the number of units he was playing, then you'd get identical results (the $25 unit player playing the 188 units to win 148.55 units or $3713.75 and the $100 unit player playing the 47 units to win 37.1375 units or, voila, $3713.75. The exact same payouts based on a scaled down, more realistic unit structure. Would a $100 a unit player be willing to risk $18,800 a day playing MLB? In most cases, that is asinine. If they were going to wager $18,800 they'd probably raise their unit size significantly, as you generally don't want 1 unit equaling 1/188th of your daily total wagers based on incremental unit betting. Even in the most extreme circumstances, that sounds weird. The only reason to play with significantly scaled UP unit structure is to inflate winnings to the point where, if you have a few good days, you can say "I'm up 109 units" instead of saying "I'm up 27.25 units". It just sounds better. Again, why not scale it up further, say by a factor of 4 on top of your inflated structure? Then you would be up 436 units!!! Obviously, it's magnified by bad losing days (like yesterday) so it evens out in the end. My point is: most people don;t bet 188 units per day. Yeah, if someone is going to play your system, they can scale down their unit size (in my example, a $100 unit player scaled down to $25 a unit). But, it just seems much more practical to scale down your unit structure yourself. It's easier to scale up than down. My 2 cents and I'll shut up about it from here on out. Promise.
i didnt get them at 182.5 ur math is really off my friend 8 units at +150 wins u 12 and 8 units at 156 gives u 12.4
I've also noticed that apparently, your lines are much better than any I've seen around. I haven;t seen the D-Backs anywhere near +182.5 which is what you are implying you got. Also, the Rockies went off at -120, though I did see it at around -112 so you could have gotten it at -110 which you are implying. I guess it would be beneficial to post the lines you're playing, as that could have a significant impact on others' betting strategies. I mean, if i was getting AZ at +182.5 instead of +155, I may see more value in it...
Yes, but you had them at 8 to win 14.6.
also i dont know where ur gettin ur lines but yankees was risking 50 not 43 and mets were a dawg so i only lost 2
See what I mean. could have been a typo, though.
my lines are actually usually allot worse book i go threw is terrible with that. Looking for where i said i hit for 14.6 cause if i said that its my fault its supposed to be 12.4. i will start to post lines next to plays from now on.
actually im in boca now at my girlfriends house. She works at a bar called porterhouse down here she is gettin ready to go to work
Ah, you're right, I used game 2 of the Yankees as my game one line also. And yes, I meant 2 to win 2.8 on the Mets game. I was in a hurry, but I believe they went off around +140 (+136-138). my bad on my typos/miscommunication.
for the record my dbacks post of 14.6 is incorrect it is only
12.4
update on the day
yanks 24 win 24
dbacks 8 win 12.4
mariners 18 lose 18
mets 2 lose 2
brewers 2 lose 3
rockies 18 lose 20
Down 6.6 on the day going into the night games
Best of luck on the night games (especially the Tigers who I have as the last to hit in a 3-team parlay (LAD RL/Under of SF/Mil and Det RL)... I'm terrified of Detroit only winning by 1.
You don't have to worry about Det winning by 1, KC is going to win.
looks like im about to take another beating tommorrow is last chance to have winning week.
night games let me down.
Angels 10 lose 12.3
reds 12 lose 12
atros 2 lose 2
cards 2 lose 2
yankees 16 win 16
put us down another 12.3 which makes grand total for day down 20 with the indians lookin really bad
i'm so sorry about this strictly.
have u ever had 2 losing days in a row using your system?
But you hit 8 with the Tigers, dude. Add in 8 total units won.
of course i have 2 losing days today is the type of losing day i usually have where i flirt with even all day. Noone needs to apologize to me my week all comes down to tommorw. Congrats baba on ur 2 run dinger i had feeling u were gonna get it
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