MLB PLAYOFF SYSTEMS BY SERIES STATUS /Scoring Totals
Home teams that have taken a 1-0 lead in any round MLB playoff series are on a 27-12 (+13.5 units) run in Game 2. R.O.I. on this is 34.5%
Home teams that are down 2-1 in any round MLB playoff series have struggled, going 10-20 (-14.2 units) run in Game 4. R.O.I. on this is 47.3%
Home teams in closeout games in the divisional round are just 14-25 (-17.1 units) over the L10 seasons. R.O.I. on this is -43.8%
Home teams trying to close out series in the LCS or World Series rounds are 18-7 (+10 units). R.O.I on this is 40%.
The magic run total scored for home teams in the MLB playoffs over the L10 seasons has been four runs. Home teams that have scored four or more are 152-33 (+114.3 units). Home teams that have scored three runs or less are just 43-119 (-111.3 units) in that span.
The magic run total allowed for home teams in the MLB playoffs over the L10 seasons has been two runs. Home teams that have allowed two or fewer are 112-13 (+96.4 units). Home teams that have allowed three runs or more are just 83-139 (-93.4 units) in that span.