1. 08-01-18 04:09 PM #1
    Itsamle
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    colorado vs st. louis

    why is st. louis -137 when they have a losing record and weaver is 6-9. vs. colorado freeland who is 9-6? anyone got input on this game ?
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  2. 08-01-18 05:10 PM #2
    Itsamle
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    no one have any input on who they taking?
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  3. 08-01-18 05:58 PM #3
    stackz125
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    I'm rolling the dice with Colorado. Price to good.
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  4. 08-01-18 06:13 PM #4
    LT Profits
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    Weaver is the better pitcher, but yeah, Cards do seem overvalued. I only get St. Louis 53% (-113)
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  5. 08-01-18 06:16 PM #5
    LT Profits
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    I will say Freeland is a prime candidate for regression (in a bad way) with a 4.39 xFIP vs. 3.13 ERA. Still cant bet Cards at the price though.
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  6. 08-01-18 07:01 PM #6
    Itsamle
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    yea i thinking cardinals win today. this was the same thing happen last time when they faced cubs. lester with 9-2 record and got beat
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  7. 08-01-18 07:09 PM #7
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Itsamle View Post
    yea i thinking cardinals win today. this was the same thing happen last time when they faced cubs. lester with 9-2 record and got beat
    Stop looking at W/L record and head-to-head, that crap means nothing. Either sampling is too small or, when sample is larger, it goes back too many years.
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  8. 08-01-18 08:29 PM #8
    frankieunits2685
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Stop looking at W/L record and head-to-head, that crap means nothing. Either sampling is too small or, when sample is larger, it goes back too many years.
    this...

    thanks LT
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