1. #71
    kingdom
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    8/25 Results:

    SEA (W) .76u
    OAK (W) .65u
    CLE (L) -3u
    PHI (L) -2u

    Current Record: 75-8 (+12.36)

    Loss: ATL (5u) HOU (11u) SEA (6.5u) NYY (4.5u) LAD (-6u) HOU (-6u) HOU (-4.1u) MIL (-1.41u)















    Last edited by kingdom; 08-26-18 at 12:54 PM.

  2. #72
    kingdom
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    8/26
    ATL -178 1.2u
    BOS +114 2u
    PHI -115 3.6u
    CLE -225 4u
    ARI -164 1.2u
    Last edited by kingdom; 08-26-18 at 12:49 PM.

  3. #73
    kingdom
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    8/26 Results:

    ATL (W) .67u
    PHI (W)
    ARI (W) .73u
    BOS (L) -2u
    CLE (L) -2.2u

    Current Record: 77-9 (+11.56u)

    Loss: ATL (5u) HOU (11u) SEA (6.5u) NYY (4.5u) LAD (-6u) HOU (-6u) HOU (-4.1u) MIL (-1.41u) CLE (-2.2u)


  4. #74
    kingdom
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    8/27

    PHI +105 1u
    COL -140 1u
    ARI -170 1u

  5. #75
    SAX27
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    Hey, trying to understand your YTD record, are the 9 losses your big plays that lost? Everything else is a 1 unit play?

    Thanks....SAX

  6. #76
    kingdom
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    just like any other chase, the series losses are the L's. And the amount of units loss are the teams listed next to Loss. this is a chase system. So the W is a chase won and the L is a series loss.

  7. #77
    kingdom
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    Quote Originally Posted by kingdom View Post
    I have always been intrigued by the potential success of abc chase systems. I have also been concerned about the size of losses eliminating potential profit. So i have been experimenting with winning mlb teams and the expectation they will win more often than not over a series of games.

    Criteria is teams winning .550 or better on the season and having lost 2 of last 3 games. With many of these teams being large favorites, the design is not always to win a full unit to minimize any potential loss. RL plays will be an option and situation dependent based on line value. There will be variables in place to again minimize potential losses. Every bet will not be designed to win a unit, but remain positive overall. Plays are unit risked. Not to win.


    The amount risk is often line dependent. The idea is to win positive units. There is no one unit standard. Just an attempt to be positive in each chase and if not positive, to minimize the loss. Cleveland is an example. There wasn't a risk to win all 4 units loss in one game. They are a qualifying play and can recoup the -2.2 unit loss.

  8. #78
    kingdom
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    8/27 Results:

    PHI (L) -1u
    ARI (L) -1u
    COL (L) -1u

    Current Record: 77-9 (+11.56u)

  9. #79
    kingdom
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    8/28

    PHI -160 RL 2u
    CLE -110 RL 2u
    BOS -130 RL 2u
    ATL -125 1u
    COL -130 2u
    ARI -104 1u -210 RL 1u

  10. #80
    kingdom
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    8/28 Results:

    PHI (W) .25u
    CLE (W) 1.82u
    COL (W) .54u
    ATL (W) .8u
    BOS (L) -2u
    ARI (L) .52u

    Current Record: 81-9 (+14.97u)

    Loss: ATL (5u) HOU (11u) SEA (6.5u) NYY (4.5u) LAD (-6u) HOU (-6u) HOU (-4.1u) MIL (-1.41u) CLE (-2.2u)

  11. #81
    kingdom
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    8/29

    SEA -108 1u
    BOS -155 RL 3.2u
    MIL +120 RL 1u
    CLE -171 1.2u
    ARI -117 3u

  12. #82
    kingdom
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    8/29 Results:

    ARI (W) 1.04u
    MIL (L) -1u
    CLE (L) -1.2u
    SEA (L) -1u
    BOS (L) -1.94u (Series Loss)

    Current Record: 82-10 (+14.07u)

    Loss: ATL (5u) HOU (11u) SEA (6.5u) NYY (4.5u) LAD (-6u) HOU (-6u) HOU (-4.1u) MIL (-1.41u) CLE (-2.2u) BOS (-1.94u)

  13. #83
    kingdom
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    Just over a month in and +14 units which is beyond my expectation. Houston injuries hurt a bit and i mishandled the first Houston series loss and didn''t minimize the L. I assumed i would need a 10/1 ratio to stay above water but glad to see 8/1 has been holding ok. It's a lot of work and a lot of action, which is cool. Hope it stays consistent and looking forward to a full season next year.

  14. #84
    kingdom
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    8/30

    MIL -128 2u
    CLE -110 RL 2u
    NYY -150 RL 1.5u
    BOS -197 2u
    OAK -133 1u
    SEA -170 RL 1u
    ARI -170 RL 1u
    COL -140 1u

  15. #85
    kingdom
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    8/30 Results:

    ARI (W) .59u
    BOS (W) 1.02u
    CLE (W) .60u
    MIL (W) .56u
    SEA (W) -.41
    COL (L) -1u
    OAK (L) -1u
    NYY (L) -1.5u

    Current Record 86-10 (+16.43u)

    Loss: ATL (5u) HOU (11u) SEA (6.5u) NYY (4.5u) LAD (-6u) HOU (-6u) HOU (-4.1u) MIL (-1.41u) CLE (-2.2u) BOS (-1.94u)

  16. #86
    kingdom
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    8/30
    ATL -124 1u
    NYY -160 RL 2.5u
    HOU +110 RL 1u
    SEA -170 RL 1u
    OAK -135 1.5u
    COL -117 2u

  17. #87
    kingdom
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    8/30 Results:

    NYY (W) .06
    OAK (W) .11
    ATL (L) -1u
    HOU (L) -1u
    SEA (L) -1u
    COL (L) -2u

    Current Record: 88-10 (+16.6u)

  18. #88
    kingdom
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    9/1

    NYY -340 2u
    CHC -137 1u
    ATL -135 2u
    HOU -175 2u
    COL +115 RL 3u
    SEA -117 2u
    OAK -150 RL 1u

  19. #89
    kingdom
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    Awesome day and sweep. 5 of the 7 were come from behind wins including COL to win a c bet on RL and Oak to make a RL comeback, but Sea still getting the W in a b bet. all worked out. We rolling.

  20. #90
    kingdom
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    9/1 Results:

    NYY (W) .59u
    SEA (W) .30u
    COL (W) .45u
    ATL (W) .48u
    HOU (W) .14u
    CHC (W) .73u
    OAK (W) .67u

    Current Record 95-10 (+19.96u)

    Loss: ATL (5u) HOU (11u) SEA (6.5u) NYY (4.5u) LAD (-6u) HOU (-6u) HOU (-4.1u) MIL (-1.41u) CLE (-2.2u) BOS (-1.94u)

  21. #91
    kingdom
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    9/2

    OAK -130 .5u
    ARI +161 1u
    COL -142 .5u
    ATL -142 1u
    HOU -180 1u

  22. #92
    kingdom
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    9/2 Results:

    OAK (W) .38u
    COL (W) .35u
    ATL (W) .70u
    HOU (W) .56u
    ARI (L) -1u

    Current Record: 99-10 (+21.95u)

    Loss: ATL (5u) HOU (11u) SEA (6.5u) NYY (4.5u) LAD (-6u) HOU (-6u) HOU (-4.1u) MIL (-1.41u) CLE (-2.2u) BOS (-1.94u)

  23. #93
    kingdom
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    9/3

    STL +171 1u
    BOS -121 1u
    CLE -185 1u
    ARI -245 2u
    SEA +100 RL 1u

  24. #94
    kingdom
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    9/3 Results:

    BOS (W) .83u
    STL (L) -1u
    CLE (L) -1u
    ARI (L) -2u
    SEA (L) -1u

    Current Record: 100-10 (+22.78u)

    Loss: ATL (5u) HOU (11u) SEA (6.5u) NYY (4.5u) LAD (-6u) HOU (-6u) HOU (-4.1u) MIL (-1.41u) CLE (-2.2u) BOS (-1.94u)

  25. #95
    kingdom
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    9/4

    STL +105 2u
    CLE -115 RL 2u
    ARI +125 RL 3u
    NYY -118 1u
    SEA +105 RL 2u

  26. #96
    kingdom
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    9/4 Results:

    STL (W) 1.1u
    CLE (W) .74u
    ARI (W) .75u
    NYY (W) .85u
    SEA(L) -2u

    Current Record: 104-10 (+26.22u)

    Loss: ATL (5u) HOU (11u) SEA (6.5u) NYY (4.5u) LAD (-6u) HOU (-6u) HOU (-4.1u) MIL (-1.41u) CLE (-2.2u) BOS (-1.94u)

  27. #97
    kingdom
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    9/5

    ATL -165 RL 1u
    CLE -330 2u

    Early games. More to come when i figure out later plays.

  28. #98
    kingdom
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    9/5

    STL +108 1u
    CHC -200 RL 1u
    NYY -160 1u
    SEA -110 RL 3.5u

  29. #99
    kingdom
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    9/5 Results:





    STL (W) 1.08
    CHC (W) .5u
    SEA (W) .18u
    ATL (W) .61u
    CLE (W) .61u
    NYY (L) -1u



    Current Record: 109-10 (29.20u) AKA Red Hot

    Loss: ATL (5u) HOU (11u) SEA (6.5u) NYY (4.5u) LAD (-6u) HOU (-6u) HOU (-4.1u) MIL (-1.41u) CLE (-2.2u) BOS (-1.94u)

  30. #100
    kingdom
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    9/7

    ATL +152 1u
    ARI +140 1u

  31. #101
    kingdom
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    9/6 Results:

    ATL (W) 1.52u
    ARI (L) -1u

    Current Record: 110-10 (+30.72u)

  32. #102
    kingdom
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    28 Series wins in a row (+16.65u) and that's just since 8/30. Seems like in September these teams are playing hard for the wins and these plays are reaping the benefits. Hope things hold up with call ups during this month. The action has been pretty awesome and fun.

  33. #103
    kingdom
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    9/7

    LAD -140 1u
    ATL -150 RL 1u
    ARI +140 RL 1u
    NYY -210 RL 2.1u

  34. #104
    kingdom
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    9/7 Results:

    LAD (W) .71u
    ARI (W) .40u
    NYY (W)
    ATL (L) -1u

    Current Record: 112-10 (+31.83u)

    Loss: ATL (5u) HOU (11u) SEA (6.5u) NYY (4.5u) LAD (-6u) HOU (-6u) HOU (-4.1u) MIL (-1.41u) CLE (-2.2u) BOS (-1.94u)

  35. #105
    kingdom
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    9/8

    ATL +117 1u -175 RL 1u
    NYY -112 .5u
    SEA -150 RL 1u

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