1. 07-21-18 06:55 AM #1
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    MLB - Saturday, 7/21/18

    5 MLB Plays Saturday

    Orioles +169 (Heritage)
    Mets +208 (5 Dimes)
    Tigers +1.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Royals +122 (Bookmaker)
    White Sox +1.5 +100 (Heritage)


    YTD: 276-285-13, +15.61
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 07-21-18 08:07 AM #2
    MontrealCrw
    MontrealCrw's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-07-18
    Posts: 283
    Betpoints: 270

    O's
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 07-21-18 08:09 AM #3
    hit_me90
    hit_me90's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-18-16
    Posts: 618
    Betpoints: 4389

    LT, Total on yanks and mets game please
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 07-21-18 08:28 AM #4
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by hit_me90 View Post
    LT, Total on yanks and mets game please
    9.8

    Over would be a consideration if you can find a 9 -105ish. but best I see right now is -115
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 07-21-18 08:41 AM #5
    rookieclapper
    rookieclapper's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-21-17
    Posts: 129
    Betpoints: 1484

    Can I ask why the O’s today?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 07-21-18 08:50 AM #6
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by rookieclapper View Post
    Can I ask why the O’s today?
    Not enough separation between the starters to justify the big odds, I send up with Toronto 58% (-138).

    For future reference, both starters are candidates for good regression. Each have an xFIP nearly 2 full runs lower than ERA.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 07-21-18 10:51 AM #7
    Crusherrr
    Please don't feed the trolls
    Crusherrr's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 06-27-16
    Posts: 3,574
    Betpoints: 13851

    Went with Mets ML Yesterday when I saw you liked them +1.5 and I'm going with them today. I got them at +226 though. Great price. I think Mets may get out to another early lead today. GL LT
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 07-21-18 11:12 AM #8
    snider
    snider's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-25-17
    Posts: 309
    Betpoints: 6

    LT do you look much at the SiEra? Matz is dominant over this pinstriper
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 07-21-18 11:14 AM #9
    snider
    snider's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-25-17
    Posts: 309
    Betpoints: 6

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Not enough separation between the starters to justify the big odds, I send up with Toronto 58% (-138).

    For future reference, both starters are candidates for good regression. Each have an xFIP nearly 2 full runs lower than ERA.
    then the oddsmaker is wise and didnt allow value to the Total? regress in this case means improve, i think?!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 07-21-18 11:30 AM #10
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by snider View Post
    then the oddsmaker is wise and didnt allow value to the Total? regress in this case means improve, i think?!
    Total seems tight as I get 8.8. And yes, I did say "good" regression.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 07-21-18 11:31 AM #11
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by snider View Post
    LT do you look much at the SiEra? Matz is dominant over this pinstriper
    I look at it occasionally sure, but the components of my model are more in line with the components of xFIP.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 07-21-18 11:32 AM #12
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    1 MLB Addition

    6 MLB Plays Saturday

    Orioles +169 (Heritage)
    Mets +208 (5 Dimes)
    Tigers +1.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Cardinals +131 (Game #2) (Heritage)
    Royals +122 (Bookmaker)
    White Sox +1.5 +100 (Heritage)
    Points Awarded:

    Doogie M.D. gave LT Profits 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 07-21-18 01:31 PM #13
    tripled83
    tripled83's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-11
    Posts: 203
    Betpoints: 1898

    Do you know what your record is on betting overs vs unders?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 07-21-18 02:23 PM #14
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Another MLB Addition

    7 MLB Plays Saturday

    Orioles +169 (Heritage)
    Mets +208 (5 Dimes)
    Tigers +1.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Pirates / Reds UNDER 9 +100 (Heritage)
    Cardinals +131 (Game #2) (Heritage)
    Royals +122 (Bookmaker)
    White Sox +1.5 +100 (Heritage)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 07-21-18 03:08 PM #15
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by tripled83 View Post
    Do you know what your record is on betting overs vs unders?
    Excluding Pushes:

    OVER: 34-25, +7.15
    UNDER: 86-77, +4.85
    Total: 120-102, +12.00
    Points Awarded:

    MontrealCrw gave LT Profits 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.

    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: MontrealCrw
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote 1
  16. 07-21-18 05:47 PM #16
    44 Mag
    44 Mag's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-14-13
    Posts: 34,470
    Betpoints: 13182

    Isn't it odd how overs dominate, by your unit count.......LOL.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | Baseball Betting | Next Thread »