Taking a leap of faith that cards offense will actually score some runs vs a pitcher they havnt seen and not a ton of mlb film on yet... normally i don’t trust cards to score runs in these spots (see under on wed vs tribe rookie) but I think this kid Max Freid sets up well for us. While cards numbers are down again vs lhp they still a lineup that is stacked w righties of which several hit southpaws well. Freid basically fastball/sinker and curve so shouldn’t be a lot of surprises. He walking 5.7 guys per 9 and allowing 2.45 bombs per 9 which plays right into cards hands. His hard contact rate is incredibly high and he sporting maybe the lowest soft contact rate I’ve ever seen!!! Not only do I think cards can knock him around a little I also don’t suspect he will be able to go much deeper than the 5th inning which leaves a lot of a braves pen that been struggling of late.
I believe cards offense gonna have to hang a big number if they want any chance to win as weaver has not pitched well this season. Luke doesn’t have a quality start all month and only 3 or so all season. This month he hasn’t been able to go more than 5.1 innings in any start and has allowed 4 runs in 3 of his 5 starts. This will be the best offense he will have faced in this stretch so I just don’t see him being able to navigate his way thru this braves lineup without getting dinged up. Cards pen has really started rounding into form but like braves I believe they will be asked to get at least 9 outs and more likely 10-12. I like both teams to score 4 minimum in a game I think we see around 6-4. Gl everyone