1. #1
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    MLB - Thursday, 5/17/18

    1 MLB Side Thursday

    Orioles +155 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 142-139-8, +20.69

  2. #2
    44 Mag
    44 Mag's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-14-13
    Posts: 34,470
    Betpoints: 13182

    What's with this kid for SD, Lauer??? ERA is off the charts.....Any insight, I am leaning the over 8 in this game...

  3. #3
    fecgp40
    fecgp40's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-01-11
    Posts: 5,750
    Betpoints: 5185

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    1 MLB Side Thursday

    Orioles +155 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 142-139-8, +20.69
    This play jumped out at me as well. What odds do you get LT? Thanks.

  4. #4
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    What's with this kid for SD, Lauer??? ERA is off the charts.....Any insight, I am leaning the over 8 in this game...
    I wouldn't give up on Lauer just yet, I've had him slightly above average since he came up and we are only looking at 16 innings in majors. I also have Kuhl slightly above average and I have both teams' offensive splits below average (Pads more so). I actually lean UNDER but no play yet.

  5. #5
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I wouldn't give up on Lauer just yet, I've had him slightly above average since he came up and we are only looking at 16 innings in majors. I also have Kuhl slightly above average and I have both teams' offensive splits below average (Pads more so). I actually lean UNDER but no play yet.
    Should add that Lauer has 4.98 xFIP in those 16 innings, which is very weak but still considerably better than the ERA.

  6. #6
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by fecgp40 View Post
    This play jumped out at me as well. What odds do you get LT? Thanks.
    Boston 57% (-133)

    Believe it or not I actually have Gausman rated better than Price right now.

  7. #7
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    3 MLB Plays Thursday

    3 MLB Plays Thursday

    Orioles +155 (5 Dimes)
    Rays / Angels UNDER 7.5 +102 (5 Dimes)
    Tigers / Mariners UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)

  8. #8
    snider
    snider's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-25-17
    Posts: 309

    so whats the percentage on the pirates? thinking of keying them. I watched that cardinals game and maybe shouldnt give up on the lefty yet cause the announcers started saying it doesnt look like he has the stuff to get big leaugers out yet....lol the kid at least made it to the bigs.

  9. #9
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by snider View Post
    so whats the percentage on the pirates? thinking of keying them. I watched that cardinals game and maybe shouldnt give up on the lefty yet cause the announcers started saying it doesnt look like he has the stuff to get big leaugers out yet....lol the kid at least made it to the bigs.
    Only Pirates 56% (-127). Tempted to add Pads, we shall see.

  10. #10
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    We are watching LT closely

  11. #11
    snider
    snider's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-25-17
    Posts: 309

    i'm getting scared off of pitt...kuhls last was vs giants smardjwidereceiver guy and took a lot of action and came in. Now line is dropping a quarter against a guy the cards lit up. SIA is 17 cents off on their run line. Still... missed the boat on the San Diego side.

  12. #12
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    WOW, yes I missed boat on Padres too. Oh well, no bigs.

  13. #13
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    3 MLB Additions

    6 MLB Plays Thursday

    Padres / Pirates UNDER 8 +105 (5 Dimes)
    Athletics +105 (Heritage)

    Orioles +155 (5 Dimes)
    Cubs / Braves UNDER 9 -110 (Heritage)
    Rays / Angels UNDER 7.5 +102 (5 Dimes)
    Tigers / Mariners UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)

  14. #14
    stackz125
    stackz125's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-03-16
    Posts: 6,097
    Betpoints: 412

    What is xFIP?

  15. #15
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by stackz125 View Post
    What is xFIP?
    https://www.fangraphs.com/library/pitching/xfip/

  16. #16
    MMANick
    MMANick's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-16
    Posts: 4,075
    Betpoints: 1831

    What are you showing for my Tigers today, bud? I'm really liking what Boyd is doing this year.

    Good luck today!!

  17. #17
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by MMANick View Post
    What are you showing for my Tigers today, bud? I'm really liking what Boyd is doing this year.

    Good luck today!!
    Seattle 61% (-156)

  18. #18
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    NO ACTION on Braves Under due to pitching change, now down to 5 plays.

  19. #19
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Another MLB Addition

    And we are back to 6.


    6 MLB Plays Thursday

    Padres / Pirates UNDER 8 +105 (5 Dimes)
    Athletics +105 (Heritage)
    Orioles +155 (5 Dimes)
    Rays / Angels UNDER 7.5 +102 (5 Dimes)
    Tigers / Mariners UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)
    Rockies / Giants UNDER 8 +100 (Heritage)

  20. #20
    sourtwist
    not a non pro
    sourtwist's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-09-12
    Posts: 9,364
    Betpoints: 548

    Like the A's and O's

    Hope you have a good day

  21. #21
    RavensFan2k3
    Handicappin' like I'm Trappin'
    RavensFan2k3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-12
    Posts: 17,377
    Betpoints: 18710

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Seattle 61% (-156)
    Lol what...How?

  22. #22
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Lol what...How?
    What do you mean? Are you saying too low or too high?

  23. #23
    TheLock
    TheLock's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-06-08
    Posts: 14,429
    Betpoints: 7931

    I’ve been contemplating the Padres all day.

  24. #24
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    1 Last MLB Addition

    7 MLB Plays Thursday

    Padres / Pirates UNDER 8 +105 (5 Dimes)
    Athletics +105 (Heritage)
    Athletics / Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
    Orioles +155 (5 Dimes)
    Rays / Angels UNDER 7.5 +102 (5 Dimes)
    Tigers / Mariners UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)
    Rockies / Giants UNDER 8 +100 (Heritage)

  25. #25
    Conqueror
    Conqueror's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-08-13
    Posts: 16,125
    Betpoints: 5700

    You're back to the UNDER-loving LT we're used to.

  26. #26
    DavidGoliath5003
    DavidGoliath5003's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-20-18
    Posts: 4,100
    Betpoints: 3319

    I watched Price’s last start, The Blue Jays let him off the hook, multiple warning track shots

  27. #27
    RavensFan2k3
    Handicappin' like I'm Trappin'
    RavensFan2k3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-12
    Posts: 17,377
    Betpoints: 18710

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    What do you mean? Are you saying too low or too high?
    Too high in my opinion

  28. #28
    RangeFinder
    RangeFinder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-16
    Posts: 8,040
    Betpoints: 2697

    LT,

    My saber numbers have the Oak-Tor game going Over 9.5. Just wondering what saber numbers besides xfip you used. Thank you

  29. #29
    DavidGoliath5003
    DavidGoliath5003's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-20-18
    Posts: 4,100
    Betpoints: 3319

    Jays Win this.. Sanchez is just starting to heat up for the Jays + their bullpen is miles better

  30. #30
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Too high in my opinion
    Detroit closed +165 so I had the right team showing value, unfortunately not enough value for a play. I say unfortunately because Tigers won.

  31. #31
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Quote Originally Posted by DavidGoliath5003 View Post
    Jays Win this.. Sanchez is just starting to heat up for the Jays + their bullpen is miles better
    Sanchez got smashed, pen crushed. Jays jizzed on. Just maybe let OP make the plays in his thread and start your own w more spot on predictions.

  32. #32
    bballs84
    bballs84's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-11-09
    Posts: 5,461
    Betpoints: 40233

    What up BAnker.. Hope you’re crushing bases.. Headed to Vegas this morning, plan on putting a hurtin on the books!! BoL keep making $

  33. #33
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Quote Originally Posted by bballs84 View Post
    What up BAnker.. Hope you’re crushing bases.. Headed to Vegas this morning, plan on putting a hurtin on the books!! BoL keep making $
    Going much better than NCAA hoops did! Lol. Just a shade above 50%, you know me that on pretty much all dogs so all well (posting a play almost daily in "dog of day" thread, stop by!). Have a good time, crush the man, and be safe buddy!!
    Points Awarded:

    bballs84 gave 2daBank 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  34. #34
    bballs84
    bballs84's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-11-09
    Posts: 5,461
    Betpoints: 40233

    Appreciate it Bank

  35. #35
    RavensFan2k3
    Handicappin' like I'm Trappin'
    RavensFan2k3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-12
    Posts: 17,377
    Betpoints: 18710

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Detroit closed +165 so I had the right team showing value, unfortunately not enough value for a play. I say unfortunately because Tigers won.
    I understand, I played Detroit which is why I was thinking you had it too high for Seattle

12 Last
Top