1. #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Monday, 4/30/18

    2 MLB Plays Monday

    Rays -113 (5 Dimes)
    Rays / Tigers UNDER 9 +100 (Heritage)


    YTD: 101-98-4, +18.94

  2. #2
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    2 MLB Plays Monday

    Rays -113 (5 Dimes)
    Rays / Tigers UNDER 9 +100 (Heritage)


    YTD: 101-98-4, +18.94
    I was thinking over (go figure) with these two gas cans on the mound???

  3. #3
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    I was thinking over (go figure) with these two gas cans on the mound???
    Faria is actually good when he is not walking people and his last 3 starts (18 Ks vs. 6 BBs in 15.2 IP) are a truer indication of his ability. Zimmermann is pretty bad but he actually has a good K/BB ratio so there is room for positive regression from his 7+ ERA.

    Plus I do not have Rays offense rated that highly vs. righties on road, main reason for Tampa Bay side play is Rays' pitching advantage.

  4. #4
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Faria is actually good when he is not walking people and his last 3 starts (18 Ks vs. 6 BBs in 15.2 IP) are a truer indication of his ability. Zimmermann is pretty bad but he actually has a good K/BB ratio so there is room for positive regression from his 7+ ERA.

    Plus I do not have Rays offense rated that highly vs. righties on road, main reason for Tampa Bay side play is Rays' pitching advantage.
    Thanks Boss.

  5. #5
    LT Profits
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    2 MLB Additions

    4 MLB Plays Monday

    Marlins +131 (Heritage)
    Rays -113 (5 Dimes)
    Rays / Tigers UNDER 9 +100 (Heritage)
    Dodgers +119 (Heritage)

  6. #6
    fecgp40
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    Why Marlins LT? I was actually liking Phillies here. Straily not so good numbers against Philly. You think Jake is over-valued?

  7. #7
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by fecgp40 View Post
    Why Marlins LT? I was actually liking Phillies here. Straily not so good numbers against Philly. You think Jake is over-valued?
    Yes, I only get Phils 54% (-117) so took shot at the price. And I actually have Straily rated just a shade above average, I don't put much stock in pitcher vs. team numbers, I am a full body of work guy.

  8. #8
    fecgp40
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Yes, I only get Phils 54% (-117) so took shot at the price. And I actually have Straily rated just a shade above average, I don't put much stock in pitcher vs. team numbers, I am a full body of work guy.
    Thanks for the input. Always like to hear your reasoning behind a play. So do you ever look at player's numbers in a lineup for a given game vs. the starter they are facing?

  9. #9
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by fecgp40 View Post
    Thanks for the input. Always like to hear your reasoning behind a play. So do you ever look at player's numbers in a lineup for a given game vs. the starter they are facing?
    Same answer as pitcher vs. team, usually too small a sampling to be meaningful and prone to variance.

  10. #10
    7Faces
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    Tailed your SD -1,5 play Saturday. Want to give the favor back. Twins UNDER. Total is brutally inflated! Debating to go all the way to 7,5.
    When you have a strong lean what is your approach just look for the +100 (double) or do you lay let say 5 units on the double and 2 on the "long shot" ?

  11. #11
    High3rEl3m3nt
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    terrific job so far, LT

    Envious

  12. #12
    LT Profits
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    1 Last MLB Addition

    5 MLB Plays Monday

    Pirates / Nationals OVER 8 -105 (Heritage)
    Marlins +131 (Heritage)
    Rays -113 (5 Dimes)
    Rays / Tigers UNDER 9 +100 (Heritage)
    Dodgers +119 (Heritage)

  13. #13
    stackz125
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    Damn I took a shot with philly -1...

  14. #14
    Conqueror
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Faria is actually good when he is not walking people and his last 3 starts (18 Ks vs. 6 BBs in 15.2 IP) are a truer indication of his ability. Zimmermann is pretty bad but he actually has a good K/BB ratio so there is room for positive regression from his 7+ ERA.

    Plus I do not have Rays offense rated that highly vs. righties on road, main reason for Tampa Bay side play is Rays' pitching advantage.
    This is why it's so good to have you here. Your picks are always soundly justified.

  15. #15
    KANSAS24
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