Originally Posted by
Dark Horse
Do games with RF/HD (road faves/home dogs) show an edge towards the over, and games with HF/RD towards the under?
The RF/HD game should have a bottom of the 9th more often than the HF/RD game, so the extra 1/2 inning should produce more runs.
Just wondering if the percentages are known.
From the 1999 - 2006 seasons and using covers.com historical da, there were 18,992 games where one team was favored over the other.
Of the 11,017 games in which the home team was favored, the game went over 46.46% of the time, went under 48.86% of the time, and pushed against the total 4.67% of the time.
Of the 7,975 games in which the road team was favored, the game went over 47.39% of the time, went under 48.18% of the time, and pushed against the total 4.43% of the time.