1. #36
    grease lightnin
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    True or you can get a little less conservative and pick your spots and play the -1.5 line and reduce those odds.. It gets sketchy at this point when jumping on board for sure Greaser and you are right about that when playing straight up like I do..

    Seems like the value lies in fading them at this point... how many games in are they now?

  2. #37
    JIBBBY
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    I don't think I ever have seen a -500 line in MLB.. That would be a trip!! .. I'd have to pass if that ever happened I think.. I'd be forced to play the -1.5 line for sure if that happened in this streak..

  3. #38
    Mac4Lyfe
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    Quote Originally Posted by grease lightnin View Post
    At the price for today's game, you would need four or five more wins before the streak ends for it to be profitable
    I think they're winning the next 3. But you don't have to bet every game either. Or you can open parlay as well. They are cooking with hot grease right now. Got to put the fish in the pan while it's hot.

  4. #39
    Mac4Lyfe
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    Quote Originally Posted by grease lightnin View Post
    Seems like the value lies in fading them at this point... how many games in are they now?
    Would you really fade a team on a 17 game winning streak???

    If you flipped a coin 17 times and it came up heads, would you bet tails the next time? Odd's are you are playing with a loaded coin. This Indians team is loaded right now.

  5. #40
    grease lightnin
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mac4Lyfe View Post
    Would you really fade a team on a 17 game winning streak???

    If you flipped a coin 17 times and it came up heads, would you bet tails the next time? Odd's are you are playing with a loaded coin. This Indians team is loaded right now.
    If they beat the A's' streak by one and you get +300 each game, you break even. If they tie, you win

  6. #41
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mac4Lyfe View Post
    Would you really fade a team on a 17 game winning streak???
    That's how you lose money in gambling.. That's like hitting green on the roulette table in Vegas.. It will happen at some point but hitting when it happens is a huge long shot.. Historic trends in this sport can't even dictate that....

  7. #42
    funnyb25
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    Indians win

  8. #43
    Shute
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    Unreal

  9. #44
    Mac4Lyfe
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    19 straight games. I see them getting the win tomorrow easily as well.

  10. #45
    grease lightnin
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    That's how you lose money in gambling.. That's like hitting green on the roulette table in Vegas.. It will happen at some point but hitting when it happens is a huge long shot.. Historic trends in this sport can't even dictate that....


    I didn't say I was gonna do that. Lol

    I just said at the price and at this point in the streak, it seems there is more value in the fade.

    Don't think I will be doing either.

  11. #46
    funnyb25
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    Indians -360 every game now

  12. #47
    Shute
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    Lol
    No way

  13. #48
    Shute
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    What's the highest ML for a baseball game?

  14. #49
    funnyb25
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    Indians closed at -431 today on Heritage


  15. #50
    funnyb25
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    I see Indians -463 tomorrow on a couple....

    This is the record for sure

  16. #51
    Mac4Lyfe
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    Quote Originally Posted by funnyb25 View Post
    I see Indians -463 tomorrow on a couple....
    This is the record for sure
    If I was taking a side, it would definitely be on the Indians. I actually think the Indians are, dare I say it, a lock tomorrow.

  17. #52
    JMobile
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    1 run game.

  18. #53
    MadTiger
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    Two (2) run game.

    39 years as a Tribe fan, so this feels good.

  19. #54
    jjgold
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    Win again!

  20. #55
    JMobile
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    Tomorrow it ends with KC.

  21. #56
    Mac4Lyfe
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    Quote Originally Posted by JMobile View Post
    Tomorrow it ends with KC.
    Kinda feels that way but I ain't fading them. I have to ride the horse I came in with.

  22. #57
    JMobile
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mac4Lyfe View Post
    Kinda feels that way but I ain't fading them. I have to ride the horse I came in with.
    Indians started the line with -245 and now at -220 against the Royals.

  23. #58
    JIBBBY
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    Odds are only -220 today.. Tomlin isn't that great and Junis is a pretty good pitcher for KC.. Indians have their hands full today.. Still in on the Tribe!!! https://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/kansas-...ans-370914105/

    $220.00 $100.00 Pending 9/14/17 7:10pm MLB Baseball 968 Cleveland Indians -220* vs Kansas City Royals (J Junis - R must Start J Tomlin - R must Start)
    Last edited by JIBBBY; 09-14-17 at 11:34 AM.

  24. #59
    grease lightnin
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    Looks to be major steam and RLM on this game.

    Coulda got a better line earlier but I am gonna go with the sharps and fade Cleve today to win 1

  25. #60
    JIBBBY
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    ^^^With all due respect Greaser, I don't understand how anyone can bet against a winning streak like this?? Especially at these skinny odds.. If you're gonna take a shot wait til it the odds are +350 or something like that..
    Points Awarded:

    Mac4Lyfe gave JIBBBY 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  26. #61
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    ^^^With all due respect Greaser, I don't understand how anyone can bet against a winning streak like this?? Especially at these skinny odds.. If you're gonna take a shot wait til it the odds are +350 or something like that..

    You know what steam and reverse line movement are, right?

  27. #62
    CappinTerp
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    Very hard to speculate,when will a hot team loose and when will a cold team win!!

  28. #63
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    Looking at the game, I hate the royals here. Lol

    But the line has moved 50 cents with 70% of the wagers on Cleveland.

    We shall see what happens

  29. #64
    Rich Boy
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    Tomlin will get hammered today

  30. #65
    LT Profits
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    Today could be the day, I am on Royals +195. And no, I have not faded the Indians much during the 21-game win streak, only twice back on Sept 4th and 6th.

  31. #66
    JMobile
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    I'm going big tonight.

  32. #67
    Mac4Lyfe
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Today could be the day, I am on Royals +195. And no, I have not faded the Indians much during the 21-game win streak, only twice back on Sept 4th and 6th.
    I cannot fade a fiery hot team. The Indians aren't just hot, they are on fire. I would rather pass than fade.

  33. #68
    JIBBBY
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    I'm actually a little nervous with this game.. It's gonna take a really good game from Tomlin and the Tribe bats I think to get this down.. GO INDIANS.. Keeping hope alive and the streak ...



  34. #69
    U2.5
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    I'm actually a little nervous with this game.. It's gonna take a really good game from Tomlin and the Tribe bats I think to get this down.. GO INDIANS.. Keeping hope alive and the streak ...



    Wouldn't this logic lead to a bet on the O9 runs? I am not really a baseball fan but the line seems strange to me for a team on this kind of run.

  35. #70
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by U2.5 View Post
    Wouldn't this logic lead to a bet on the O9 runs? I am not really a baseball fan but the line seems strange to me for a team on this kind of run.
    Yes it would and I was thinking about the Over earlier.. Not a bad idea in this game..

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