1. #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Thursday, 7/27/17

    1 MLB Play Thursday

    Reds +130 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 376-407-25, -11.02

    0-6 Wednesday sets me back a bit.

  2. #2
    NLChad11
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    LT I respect what you do and you have a great attitude in here. But man you really grind it out and at best get just over even. I feel like you only take games because you get a good price, but obviously there needs to be more to it than that. GL to you.

  3. #3
    CTOWNsCAPPIN
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    I said this last year and it's always going to be this way. Waaaaay to many games played. It's insane

  4. #4
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    1 MLB Play Thursday

    Reds +130 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 376-407-25, -11.02

    0-6 Wednesday sets me back a bit.
    What the heck have the Reds shown anybody lately???

  5. #5
    SOSANA
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    When are some of you homo's going to learn that if your model says its a fin play its a fin play.

    I do the same damn thing, some days I have 1 play and other days I have 10 plays. Sometimes you get burned. But by the end of the week or month your in the positive if your playing by the numbers.

    You can only do what you can do with the cards you been dealt.


    BOL LTP

  6. #6
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    What the heck have the Reds shown anybody lately???
    More to do with O'Grady not being worthy of price. I get Miami just 52% (-108).

  7. #7
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by NLChad11 View Post
    LT I respect what you do and you have a great attitude in here. But man you really grind it out and at best get just over even. I feel like you only take games because you get a good price, but obviously there needs to be more to it than that. GL to you.
    Not always. I see you weren't here for my insane +93 unit 2015. Granted I followed that up with modest +5 last year, but hey, still beats losing.

  8. #8
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by CTOWNsCAPPIN View Post
    I said this last year and it's always going to be this way. Waaaaay to many games played. It's insane
    Baseball is the one sport I am most comfortable with playing heavy volume.

  9. #9
    NLChad11
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Not always. I see you weren't here for my insane +93 unit 2015. Granted I followed that up with modest +5 last year, but hey, still beats losing.
    I heard about 2015, you've mentioned before and that's a great year. Haven't bet bases regularly until this year but see you on football and college hoops threads...same story for all and you don't really win in those sports. Baseball was your bread and butter, but obviously 2015 is an outlier year and not your normal. GL anyway buddy

  10. #10
    NLChad11
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    Quote Originally Posted by SOSANA View Post
    When are some of you homo's going to learn that if your model says its a fin play its a fin play.

    I do the same damn thing, some days I have 1 play and other days I have 10 plays. Sometimes you get burned. But by the end of the week or month your in the positive if your playing by the numbers.

    You can only do what you can do with the cards you been dealt.


    BOL LTP
    And guys like this that are derogatory are not good guys. We're all just chatting bro, is name calling necessary? Another teenager on the site apparently.

  11. #11
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by SOSANA View Post
    When are some of you homo's going to learn that if your model says its a fin play its a fin play.

    I do the same d some days I have 1 play and other days I have 10 plays. Sometimes you get burned. But by the end of the week or month your in the positive if your playing by the numbers.
    amn thing,
    You can only do what you can do with the cards you been dealt.


    BOL LTP
    What an ass clown !!!!

  12. #12
    GreatWallofTrump
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    Bullpens kill his model. He should stick to FF. Seems to me his loses come from late game disasters.

  13. #13
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by GreatWallofTrump View Post
    Bullpens kill his model. He should stick to FF. Seems to me his loses come from late game disasters.
    Happened 3 times yesterday.

    But model does incorporate bullpens as well as starters' expected IP.

  14. #14
    dtd069
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    model is outdated buddy.... just saying.. time to join the new school of cappin LT

  15. #15
    Rich Boy
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    LT hangs on to a single fluke season way back in the day and thats enough to convince him he is a winning player. How many more negative seasons will it take before his ego gives up and reality sinks in?

    Delusional old man this guy is

    On Mia ML btw and feel even more confident I see this geriatric on the other side

  16. #16
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rich Boy View Post
    LT hangs on to a single fluke season way back in the day and thats enough to convince him he is a winning player. How many more negative seasons will it take before his ego gives up and reality sinks in?

    Delusional old man this guy is

    On Mia ML btw and feel even more confident I see this geriatric on the other side
    Um, when was last time I had losing MLB season? Sure, I will never duplicate 2015 but when was last time I didn't finish MLB in the black, even if it was single-digit units?

  17. #17
    FUqer
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    Maybe the internet information boom and the beat down that LT and others gave the books in 2015 made the books change their ways and now it's a fine line between value and the books just taking a side.

    I have a model but use it in more ways than just for value, for my model, teams with a better starting pitcher and showing negative value are 68-36 since the break and 23-7 if the value is -20 or more. While teams with better pitchers and + value are just 42-31 and the lower the value the better the record.

  18. #18
    Rich Boy
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Um, when was last time I had losing MLB season? Sure, I will never duplicate 2015 but when was last time I didn't finish MLB in the black, even if it was single-digit units?
    Im talking about every other sport you post plays in. Would love to see a comprehensive list of your yearly unit totals of all sports in the past 2 years.

  19. #19
    LT Profits
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    I know I lost in every other sport besides MLB this past season, but that has nothing to do with the MLB model.

  20. #20
    dtd069
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    don't quit day job LT

  21. #21
    Rambone
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    LT, do appreciate your inputs and thanks for sharing your picks with us.

    I give you 2 thumbs up.....just look at my avitar.

  22. #22
    LT Profits
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    It is a rare day for me, just the one play.

  23. #23
    pilebuck13
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Um, when was last time I had losing MLB season? Sure, I will never duplicate 2015 but when was last time I didn't finish MLB in the black, even if it was single-digit units?
    To bet baseball daily and end up plus units is extremely good

  24. #24
    skinhead
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rambone View Post
    LT, do appreciate your inputs and thanks for sharing your picks with us.

    I give you 2 thumbs up.....just look at my avitar.
    i give 4 thumbs too
    waiting for new picks

  25. #25
    CTOWNsCAPPIN
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Not always. I see you weren't here for my insane +93 unit 2015. Granted I followed that up with modest +5 last year, but hey, still beats losing.
    you did finish strong last year to break out ahead

  26. #26
    tradeout
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    Quote Originally Posted by pilebuck13 View Post
    To bet baseball daily and end up plus units is extremely good
    you are absolutely right. however, there is a huge difference between making picks + keeping a record as opposed to investing real cash.

  27. #27
    jjgold
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    LT is taking tremendous heat and It could be affecting his handicapping

  28. #28
    Rich Boy
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    Hes taking heat because his picks suck

  29. #29
    philliesfinest
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    appreciate your time and thoughts ,why others worry about ur picks is beyond me

  30. #30
    crackerjack
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    If people aren't picking winners daily they get slammed by the peanut gallery. If they pick winners, they get slammed just the same only for different reasons. No one can win by posting plays at SBR. I don't know why anyone bothers posting any plays...they are just inviting criticism. It's like holding up a sign that says Roast Me.
    Points Awarded:

    Shute gave crackerjack 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  31. #31
    Easy-Rider 66
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    Give LT a lot of credit for keeping track of results. Funny and Sam as well to name a couple of others. The Haters are going to hate.

  32. #32
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Easy-Rider 66 View Post
    Give LT a lot of credit for keeping track of results. Funny and Sam as well to name a couple of others. The Haters are going to hate.
    44Mag also.

  33. #33
    Shute
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    I admire your record keeping LT.
    It's just not for me.
    Maybe fade the chalk today?

  34. #34
    dtd069
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    Quote Originally Posted by crackerjack View Post
    If people aren't picking winners daily they get slammed by the peanut gallery. If they pick winners, they get slammed just the same only for different reasons. No one can win by posting plays at SBR. I don't know why anyone bothers posting any plays...they are just inviting criticism. It's like holding up a sign that says Roast Me.
    I'm heating up cracker

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