[LT Profits]

3 MLB Sides Wednesday

Cubs +154 (5 Dimes)
Rangers +102 (Heritage)
White Sox +123 (5 Dimes)


YTD: 291-308-16, -3.80

Totals Coming

[LT Profits]

6 MLB Plays Wednesday

Cubs +154 (5 Dimes)
Brewers / Reds OVER 9.5 -105 (Heritage)
Rangers +102 (Heritage)
Rangers / Indians UNDER 9 -105 (Heritage)
White Sox +123 (5 Dimes)
Dodgers / Angels UNDER 8.5 +100 (Heritage)

[jjgold]

LT you just cannot get going

It is amazing how hard to win when you track every play

[RavensFan2k3]

Can you tell me about the Rangers play?

[LT Profits]

LT you just cannot get going

It is amazing how hard to win when you track every play

I am like a hovercraft, not getting down too much but unable to get over the hump, hovering in the even to -5 range

[LT Profits]

Can you tell me about the Rangers play?

Simple, Darvish is one of my top rated pitchers in the American League nearly 30% above average. This is no knock on Bauer as he is actually a prime candidate for GOOD regression given he rates slightly above average despite an ERA in the 5.00s (vs. a 3.64 xFIP), but vs. Darvish I get Texas 54% (-117).

[Waterstpub87]

Lt, do you look at contact statistics for pitchers?

If I look at Darvish, he tends to give up line drives at a very high rate. Line drives turn into hits and double frequently. Also, higher than average hard hit balls.

[LT Profits]

Lt, do you look at contact statistics for pitchers?

If I look at Darvish, he tends to give up line drives at a very high rate. Line drives turn into hits and double frequently. Also, higher than average hard hit balls.

Not specifically no, but high strikeout rates cover up a lot of faults and xFIP normalizes flyball rate to expected home runs allowed. So as long as xFIP is down, I can live with the line drives that stay in the park.

[LT Profits]

8 MLB Plays Wednesday

Giants +113 (Bookmaker)
Cubs +154 (5 Dimes)
Brewers / Reds OVER 9.5 -105 (Heritage)
Rangers +102 (Heritage)
Rangers / Indians UNDER 9 -105 (Heritage)
White Sox +123 (5 Dimes)
Cardinals +126 (Bookmaker)
Dodgers / Angels UNDER 8.5 +100 (Heritage)

[DigBick86]

Lets get them LT, Tailing Cubs and Rangers and putting qa little on the Royals as well lets get a sweep tonight

[RavensFan2k3]

Simple, Darvish is one of my top rated pitchers in the American League nearly 30% above average. This is no knock on Bauer as he is actually a prime candidate for GOOD regression given he rates slightly above average despite an ERA in the 5.00s (vs. a 3.64 xFIP), but vs. Darvish I get Texas 54% (-117).

Smh

[LT Profits]

Smh

You can't judge by one game and Darvish wasn't even that bad. It's just that Bauer was better, which was certainly a possibility based on what I said about his good regression. (roughly a 46% possibility ).

And overall night wasn't a loss at 4-4, +0.34. NEXT!