1. 06-20-17 10:09 AM #1
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,660
    Betpoints: 32291

    Red Sox have a 58 percent chance of winning tonight's game.

    Sale in KC against the scorching hot Royals.

    All the simulations say Boston has a 58 percent chance of winning, but the line is +182/-192 right now.

    For those unfamiliar, Strahm the lefty for KC is an up an comer, sports a 3 and change ERA with a K an inning ratio.
    He ain't Koufax, but kid is good.

    60/40 (60 percent chance of winning) is 3:2 or -150
    58 percent chance of winning is about -148/+158

    I'm getting +182 on a +158 wager.

    Royals 3 units.
    300 gets 540 and change.

    I'm up 12* so far this year and I'm taking my shot, right here, right now.

    KC is hot, Sale is terrific by no means untouchable.
    KC at +182 in this spot can not be passed up in my opinion, if I'm wrong, so be it, but you have to take a shot sometime and I'm taking it.

    Pass, fade, or tail, it's all good to me.

    I'm out until later, peace all.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 06-20-17 10:11 AM #2
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Under 8.5 for me.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 06-20-17 10:16 AM #3
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    KC playing better

    Wrong side
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 06-20-17 10:20 AM #4
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,660
    Betpoints: 32291

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    KC playing better

    Wrong side
    Who's the King of spot plays Coach?

    p.s. typo 58 percent is -148/+138 not +158

    I'm not fading KC right now, they've been there, done that, and everything has been clicking on all 8 cylinders for the past 2 weeks.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 06-20-17 11:18 AM #5
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,073
    Betpoints: 11862

    Yanks rebound at home and the Tribe are killing the ball and on a solid winning streak.. Both win today, parlay them both up and thank me later.....

    The over in the Tribe came today isn't a bad idea either..
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 06-20-17 11:34 AM #6
    pinnerpsk
    pinnerpsk's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-16-09
    Posts: 1,687
    Betpoints: 439

    Saw Strahm pitch last week, he's not bad. I'm parlaying the Angels and Royals.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 06-20-17 03:42 PM #7
    unusialsusp5
    unusialsusp5's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-18-10
    Posts: 4,184
    Betpoints: 3601

    they royals are hot. but not scorching hot. still under .500 but should challenge cleveland for division. red sox are also hot, but not scorching hot having gone 10-6 lately. red sox have injury issues. moreland broken foot. pedroia bruised rib coughing up blood. betts bruised wrist. sandoval put on DL with a cold today. sale definitely overpriced at -180 or so. kc rookie pitcher will only go 5 or 6 anyway. under best bet here.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 06-20-17 03:52 PM #8
    GUMMO77
    Many bags of soup. Many.
    GUMMO77's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-23-10
    Posts: 9,294
    Betpoints: 1726

    Let's do this, Nasherrrrrrr!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 06-20-17 03:59 PM #9
    CamNewtonOutfit
    CamNewtonOutfit's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-26-16
    Posts: 525
    Betpoints: 908

    avoid totally here
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 06-20-17 07:55 PM #10
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 62,660
    Betpoints: 32291

    Sale tried to sneak a fast ball by Moose, Moose was sitting on it.
    Solo shot 1-0 top 3.

    Red Sox have a lead off double, looking to tie it up here.
    Mookie just got a cheap jam shot bloop RBI between second and center.
    1-1.

    I don't understand Sale, he was cruising on nothing but off speed soft serve stuff, then he tries a heater on Moose.
    Bad idea.

    Under looks rock solid here.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 06-21-17 04:16 AM #11
    teecee
    teecee's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-18-09
    Posts: 6,274
    Betpoints: 2879

    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Yanks rebound at home and the Tribe are killing the ball and on a solid winning streak.. Both win today, parlay them both up and thank me later.....

    The over in the Tribe came today isn't a bad idea either..
    Thanks a lot.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | Players Talk | Next Thread »