1. #1
    MrPropBet
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    MLB First Inning Bet * Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays * PropBet.Bet

    Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays Pick

    An inter-league game. The Reds send out Scott Feldman and the Rays starting pitcher will be Jake Odorizzi.The added bonus for this game is the Reds will also get a DH. If he bats in the 1-6 spot this should be an upgrade. Look at the lineup when it is released later today.
    Since I am only concerned with the first inning lets just narrow down the stats. First up. How do these two teams do in the first inning?
    Tampa Bay at home is the best first inning team in baseball. They score 50% of the time. Cincinnati on the road is the worst team in baseball. Giving up a run in the first inning 51% of the time. Good so far. Tampa Bay ranks 23rd by surrendering a first inning run 41% of the time. The Reds rank 5th in first inning scoring on the road with an average of at least one run in 39% of their games. So we have two teams that are ready score. What about the starting pitchers.
    Scott Feldman vs Jake Odorizzi * First Inning Stats

    Scott Feldman for the Reds has a given up 2 first inning home runs so far. An instant winner if you bet a run would be scored. His first inning wOBA is .258 which is pretty good. His xFIP is 2.23 which is also good. In 14 games he has given up a total of 5 first inning runs. On the other side is Jake Odorizzi for the Rays. He has been hit hard in the first inning and has given up 10 runs. Those runs include 3 home runs. He has a wOBA of .324 and an xFIP of 6.222 and very little soft contact (9%).
    On offense. The Rays first inning scoring for 1-6 hitters ranks 5th and the Reds rank 15th in MLB this season. If I just look at home for they Rays. They rank 3rd in MLB in scoring by the 1-6 batters in the first inning. The Reds rank 14th on the road in this situation. Not great but not bad.
    I am betting on a run being scored and on over 3 combined /hits/runs/errors. Since errors count. Tampa Bay ranks as the second worst fielding team in baseball with 52 errors.
    The last detail. The ump for the game will be Tom Hallion. So far this year the overs are 11-3 in his games.

    Player - Team - Bet Line Odds Pick Sportsbook
    Total Hits, Runs and Errors - 1st Inning 3 115 OVER Bovada
    Will there be a first inning run -120 YES William Hill US


  2. #2
    MrPropBet
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    Loooooooooooooooooooosssssssssssssssssss sseeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeerrrrrrrrrrrrrrr rrrr!

    Making the same bet on the Padres vs Cubs game. Yes to a run and over 3 combined hits/runs/errors.

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