6/2/17
41-55-4, RoR–8.32% (vs 11/10 odds 48%)
Braves +103, FG,Foltynewicz / Arroyo
Rays -112, FG,Odorizzi / Bergman
BOL
Braves: Foltynewicz has added a lot of consistency to his game but had a tough time of it his last game at San Francisco. I expect a bounce back effort tonight as he has not strung poor efforts back to back, nor has he been a bad road performer. Arroyo is way past his prime and wins only with the help of his offense, which is currently no better than the Braves. I think we have a false favorite here. Teams with losing records are often undervalued on the road.
Rays: I look for two reversals of form in this one with Odorizzi bouncing back from a poor performance and Bergman regressing from one way over his head. The Rays are not to be feared against any right-handed starter as they continue to be MLB’s most consistent producer with a 24-9-5 record versus righty in the starter-starter matchup category. The Rays are 3-2 in Jake’s last 5 road starts and part of Christians mystique is his home 7.1 inning shutout performance versus Oakland, which should surprise no one, his only home start. His win at Boston was also impressive, but he did not fare so well at Toronto and the Nationals really clocked him. Currently, of those four opponents, only the Blue Jays have a higher probability rating on offense than the Rays. |