5/31/17
41-54-4, RoR–7.49% (vs 11/10 odds 48.5%)
Red Sox -126, FG, Rodriguez / Miley
BOL
Red Sox: Rodriguez is the unheralded member of the BoSox rotation, but takes a back seat to no one. His 72.8 rating and 6-3 quality start record make him clearly superior to Miley, 65.9 and 5-4. The Orioles hold the edge in wins versus starters in the left-handed category, 11-7 to 3-5, but I think that is in for some reversal as well, and Paul Simon would tell you that advantage is “slip-sliding away.” Some folks might suggest a run line play here, at +$, but I don’t agree. The Orioles and Miley are still winners, and any win against them is a good one, let’s not get greedy here.