1. 05-04-17 10:10 AM #1
    Swinging Johnson
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    Rangers Have Value This Afternoon

    I realize the Rangers got pummeled last night but their starter AJ Griffin is a perfect 7-0 against Houston (his teams' record). Yes, he's coming off rehab (2 weeks) for an ankle injury but the value is there and I like the price.
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  2. 05-04-17 10:19 AM #2
    RangeFinder
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    Griffin having trouble going deep into games, which means 2nd and 3rd time through the order either he's not adjusting, or the hitters are. Good pitcher when he's on, though. Question here, can you trust the Rangers bullpen?
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  3. 05-04-17 10:28 AM #3
    Swinging Johnson
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    Quote Originally Posted by RangeFinder View Post
    Griffin having trouble going deep into games, which means 2nd and 3rd time through the order either he's not adjusting, or the hitters are. Good pitcher when he's on, though. Question here, can you trust the Rangers bullpen?
    That's an excellent point Ranger. I am hoping that Griffin goes six before the pen comes out as he has done in his last two outings.
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  4. 05-04-17 10:31 AM #4
    Pinoy-T-X
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    Quote Originally Posted by Swinging Johnson View Post
    That's an excellent point Ranger. I am hoping that Griffin goes six before the pen comes out as he has done in his last two outings.
    Instead of the game, maybe 5 innings is the pick here.
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  5. 05-04-17 10:37 AM #5
    Swinging Johnson
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pinoy-T-X View Post
    Instead of the game, maybe 5 innings is the pick here.
    SBR has some very sharp posters.
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  6. 05-04-17 10:45 AM #6
    FUqer
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    Musgrove the starter for last two Home losses for Astros and 3 out of last 5 Home losses. I jumped on Texas last night and thought about FF, but it isn't available as early as I play.
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  7. 05-04-17 10:46 AM #7
    FUqer
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    The Rangers are 11-0 SU & RL since Apr 21, 2016 when AJ Griffin starts when the total is no more than 10 after they scored first in his last start.

    team=Rangers and starter=AJ Griffin and s:SF > 0 and total<=10 and date>=20160421

    SU: 11-0 (3.64, 100.0%) avg line: 116.5 / -127.2 on / against: +$1,367 / -$1,452 ROI: +112.8% / -100.0%
    RL: 11-0 (4.05, 100.0%) avg line: -116.8 / 116.4 on / against: +$1,293 / -$1,263 ROI: +89.8% / -100.0%
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  8. 05-04-17 10:51 AM #8
    Swinging Johnson
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    Quote Originally Posted by FUqer View Post
    The Rangers are 11-0 SU & RL since Apr 21, 2016 when AJ Griffin starts when the total is no more than 10 after they scored first in his last start.

    team=Rangers and starter=AJ Griffin and s:SF > 0 and total<=10 and date>=20160421

    SU: 11-0 (3.64, 100.0%) avg line: 116.5 / -127.2 on / against: +$1,367 / -$1,452 ROI: +112.8% / -100.0%
    RL: 11-0 (4.05, 100.0%) avg line: -116.8 / 116.4 on / against: +$1,293 / -$1,263 ROI: +89.8% / -100.0%
    Excellent stat Fuquer.
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  9. 05-04-17 10:53 AM #9
    jjgold
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    good luck guy

    We are all guessing and I hope you guess right
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  10. 05-04-17 10:55 AM #10
    Swinging Johnson
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    good luck guy

    We are all guessing and I hope you guess right
    Thanks Double J. Good luck.
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  11. 05-04-17 11:02 AM #11
    RangeFinder
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    JJ,

    It's all guess work for the most part. But the key is, and it was mentioned on the head of this thread, is "Value". At +145 this isn't a bad play at all, in fact, I think it's +EV at +135 or higher.

    Doesn't really much matter whether today's game wins or not, but does it show profit over the course of 100's, or 1000's of plays. This one I think does.

    Nice find , Johnson.
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  12. 05-04-17 11:07 AM #12
    jjgold
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    Ranger I do not know anymore

    + EV plays are not as valuable as they were once was. It use to be Automatic profit at end of year tailing Pinnacle lean and now that gets crushed vs other books long run.

    Parity in sports is running rampant which is making it harder and harder to handicap
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  13. 05-04-17 11:58 AM #13
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by FUqer View Post
    The Rangers are 11-0 SU & RL since Apr 21, 2016 when AJ Griffin starts when the total is no more than 10 after they scored first in his last start.

    team=Rangers and starter=AJ Griffin and s:SF > 0 and total<=10 and date>=20160421

    SU: 11-0 (3.64, 100.0%) avg line: 116.5 / -127.2 on / against: +$1,367 / -$1,452 ROI: +112.8% / -100.0%
    RL: 11-0 (4.05, 100.0%) avg line: -116.8 / 116.4 on / against: +$1,293 / -$1,263 ROI: +89.8% / -100.0%
    Quote Originally Posted by Swinging Johnson View Post
    Excellent stat Fuquer.
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  14. 05-04-17 12:20 PM #14
    Swinging Johnson
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    https://www.sportsbookreview.com/pic...ay-may-4/79481 I like the Mets too.
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  15. 05-04-17 12:22 PM #15
    DwightShrute
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    I like it SJ

    see ya at the ticket window
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  16. 05-04-17 12:25 PM #16
    Swinging Johnson
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    Quote Originally Posted by DwightShrute View Post
    I like it SJ

    see ya at the ticket window
    Let's get this DS!
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  17. 05-04-17 12:47 PM #17
    jjgold
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    Controversy

    Who will win?
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  18. 05-04-17 01:27 PM #18
    DwightShrute
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    Quote Originally Posted by Swinging Johnson View Post
    Let's get this DS!
    good start!
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  19. 05-04-17 05:10 PM #19
    Swinging Johnson
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    Big hound howls! Let's get the 2nd game https://www.sportsbookreview.com/pic...ay-may-4/79481
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  20. 05-04-17 05:11 PM #20
    jjgold
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    Good call
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  21. 05-04-17 05:25 PM #21
    RangeFinder
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    Nice job SJ.
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  22. 05-04-17 05:36 PM #22
    Swinging Johnson
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    Thanks boys. Let's get the Mets tonight. Mets are dogs too so even at a worst case 1-1, we make $$.
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  23. 05-04-17 05:41 PM #23
    Swinging Johnson
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    Be still my heart...its In Action Girl spreading her love and good tidings! Thanks IAG for da luv!
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  24. 05-04-17 05:47 PM #24
    IAG
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    Quote Originally Posted by Swinging Johnson View Post
    Be still my heart...its In Action Girl spreading her love and good tidings! Thanks IAG for da luv!

    Great call today my friend. I tailed! Always good seeing you old friend!
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