[KeyElement]

4/24/17

19-22-3, RoR +6.58% (vs 11/10 odds 55.9%)

Blue Jays, Full game, +121, Liriano / Chavez

Almost back to ground 0 after a horrible week. It must be bounce back time but that does not mean it is time to lay the heavy juice with big favorites, looking for wins instead of profit. Mathematical facts like odds and probability are constants, they do not change. Luck, streaks, bad hops, shoddy bullpen performance, etc., etc., are the variables that do change, but eventually everything comes back to what it should be, and what should happen, happens.

The Jays are probably not going to finish 45-117 and set a record for losses. They are also not likely to win only 22% of their road games. Too many factors would have to conspire to make those things happen. In the meantime, all the losing to date has conspired to make them what? Undervalued, and that is a word we are always looking for.

Liriano, with only one hiccup, has been solid for the Jays. He also enjoys the advantage tonight of being a lefty on the left coast, where the Marine Layer and prevailing winds usually work to a lefties advantage.
Chavez, as is his history, has been up, down, up, and there is no reason why the fourth game in the sequence should not be down. In the first 5 innings, which is basically starter versus starter, the Jays are only 1-11-1, not a pretty picture, but also a stat that simply cannot continue. The Angels do not look so hot themselves at only 1-3 versus lefty, and I have higher probability numbers on the Jays versus righty than the Angels versus lefty.

BOL

[newbie64]

Over is the play can't trust the jays winning 2 in a row good luck with your play

[KeyElement]

Over is the play can't trust the jays winning 2 in a row good luck with your play

Over? I don't know how you arrived at that conclusion but it is irrelevant now.