4/21/17

19-19-1, RoR +15% (vs 11/10 odds 61.8%)

Brewers, FG, +105, Wainwright / Peralta
Marlins, FG, -114, Conley / Cahill

Talk about backing names and reputations! How can bettors back Wainwright/Cardinals on the road versus a better starter and far better offense? Wainwright has declined steadily for two years and has shown only 1 quality start this year in 3 attempts. He is 0-3 head to head versus the 3 opposing starters he has faced. Peralta has proven himself at 2-1 qs and 3-0 h2h. The Brewers are one of the best offensive teams in baseball and are 7-5 full game versus right handed starters and are 8-4 in the h2h category, determined by when the starters exited the game. No comparison, false favorite.

The Padres have shown flashes of competence so far this season but it won’t continue with matchups like Conley/Cahill and again facing a superior offense. Officially and h2h the Padres are 3-3 versus lefty, but the Marlins are 7-5 officially and 8-3-1 h2h.

BOL