1. #1
    FUqer
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    Mlb 2017

    Sunday 4/9

    -> Blue Jays -109
    -> Yankees +113
    -> Rangers -113
    -> Mariners +115 (Best Bet)
    ------------------------

  2. #2
    FUqer
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    Monday 4/10

    --> Rays +131
    --> Reds +130
    ------------------------
    2-2 yesterday for +0.4

  3. #3
    FUqer
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    Tuesday 4/11

    --> Twins +125
    --> Cardinals +125
    ------------------------
    1-1 yesterday +0.3


    SDQL Trends
    White Sox 16-1 O/U
    Giants 22-4 SU
    Orioles 18-2 SU
    Phillies 1-17 SU

    Last edited by FUqer; 04-11-17 at 09:08 AM.

  4. #4
    FUqer
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    Wednesday 4/12

    --> Pirates -1 -120
    --> Marlins -119
    --> Royals -111
    ------------------------
    0-2 yesterday for -2.0

    Home Favorites are 49-20 (71%) ROI = +17.4%
    Home Teams overall are 71-44 (61.7%) ROI = +13.8%
    O/U for the season is 52-55-8
    Teams off a win are 47-53 ROI = -7.6%
    Teams off a loss are 53-47 ROI = +3.9%
    Teams off Home Win are 31-31 ROI = -4.0%
    Teams off Home Loss are 22-16 ROI = +9.3%
    Teams off Away Win are 16-22 ROI = -13.8%
    Teams off Away Loss are 31-31 ROI = +0.3%

    Teams off back to back losses are 22-17 ROI = +6.2%
    (Blue Jays, White Sox, Braves, Cardinals, Phillies, Pirates, Orioles, Royals)

    Teams off 3 losses in a row are 10-4 ROI = +24.7%
    (Blue Jays, Braves, Cardinals)

    Teams off back to back wins are 19-21 ROI = -5.2%
    (Angels, Cubs, Nationals, Mets, Reds, Tigers, Yankees)

    Teams off 3 wins in a row are 5-10 ROI = -34.5%
    (None)
    ---------------------------------------------------

    The Pirates are 21-0 SU in the last game of a series as a 140-plus favorite when they won by one run in their starters last start, as long as that starter went more than four innings in that start.
    team = Pirates and LGS and line<=-135 and s:margin = 1 and s:SIP>4 and season >= 2013

    The Dodgers are 0-13 SU as a dog off a road game in which they allowed six or fewer hits.
    team = Dodgers and D and p:A and po:hits <= 6 and date >= 20140813
    -----------------------
    The Cardinals are 15-0 OU as a dog off a game as a dog in which they scored in fewer innings than their opponent.
    team = Cardinals and D and p and p:SII < po:SII and date >= 20150711

    The Phillies are 14-0 OU when their line is within 25 cents of pick-em off a home game when their opponents starter has a strike-per-ball ratio greater than 2 on the season
    team = Phillies and -125 <= line <= 125 and p:H and o:STDSSPB>2 and date >= 20130408

    The Giants are 11-0 OU as a home favorite after they loss and never led.
    team = Giants and HF and p:BL = 0 and p:L and date >= 20160421
    -----------------------
    Other Notables

    Blue Jays 1-15 Under

    Dodgers 1-18 SU

    Indians 17-2 SU

    Nationals 35-5 SU

    Padres 2-18 SU

  5. #5
    Nicolas25
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    thanks, very useful

  6. #6
    FUqer
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nicolas25 View Post
    thanks, very useful
    yw, at least I can be somewhat useful when my picks haven't been so good

  7. #7
    FUqer
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    Thursday 4/13

    --> Twins +130
    --> Yankees -125
    --> Brewers -121
    --> Royals -126

    --> Anaheim Ducks (25-0 @ H vs Calgary)
    ------------------------

    0-3 yesterday for -3.5
    ------------------------
    951-564 ROI = +12.1%, applies to Yankees

    The Brewers are 13-0 OU on the road when their line is within 20 cents of pick-em off a game as a dog when their opponents starter has a strike-per-ball ratio less than 1.6 on the season.
    team = Brewers and A and -120 <= line <= 120 and p and o:STDSSPB < 1.6 and date >= 20130809

    The Giants are 14-0 OU in the first game of a home series after scoring 6+ runs at home.
    team = Giants and H and 6 <= p:runs and p:H and SG = 1 and date >= 20121024

    Mets 4-23
    team = Mets and D and p:A and p:SO > p:hits and date >= 20150512

    Dodgers 1-13
    team = Dodgers and D and p:A and po:hits <= 6 and date >= 20140813

  8. #8
    FUqer
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    Home Teams

    2017: 71-44 ROI = +13.8%
    2016: 1303-1158 ROI = -2.7%
    2015: 1335-1130 ROI = -0.6%
    2014: 1306-1155 ROI = -2.6%
    2013: 1329-1139 ROI = -2.4%
    2012: 1313-1154 ROI = -2.9%
    ALL: 17366-14761 ROI = -1.7%
    _____________________________________
    Home Favorites

    2017: 49-20 ROI = +17.4%
    2016: 928-652 ROI = -1.8%
    2015: 969-671 ROI = +0.6%
    2014: 946-704 ROI = -2.0%
    2013: 969-684 ROI = -1.9%
    2012: 950-677 ROI = -1.7%
    ALL: 12462-8740 ROI = -1.6%
    ______________________________________
    Home Underdogs

    2017: 20-22 ROI = +6.5%
    2016: 345-481 ROI = -6.1%
    2015: 321-418 ROI = -5.0%
    2014: 310-398 ROI = -4.9%
    2013: 314-419 ROI = -5.3%
    2012: 319-427 ROI = -6.0%
    ALL: 4314-5429 ROI = -1.7%
    ______________________________________
    Away Teams

    2017: 56-74 ROI = -8.5%
    2016: 1158-1303 ROI = -0.8%
    2015: 1130-1335 ROI = -3.3%
    2014: 1155-1306 ROI = -1.1%
    2013: 1139-1329 ROI = -1.6%
    2012: 1154-1313 ROI = -1.0%
    ALL: 14761-17366 ROI = -2.5%
    ______________________________________
    Away Favorites

    2017: 22-20 ROI = -8.7%
    2016: 481-344 ROI = +1.4%
    2015: 418-321 ROI = +0.5%
    2014: 398-309 ROI = +0.5%
    2013: 418-314 ROI = +0.6%
    2012: 426-319 ROI = +1.1%
    ALL: 5427-4312 ROI = -2.2%
    ______________________________________
    Away Underdogs

    2017: 31-52 ROI = -10.0%
    2016: 652-928 ROI = -2.0%
    2015: 671-969 ROI = -5.4%
    2014: 704-946 ROI = -1.8%
    2013: 684-969 ROI = -2.2%
    2012: 678-950 ROI = -2.5%
    ALL: 8741-12462 ROI = -2.7%
    ______________________________________
    Teams off a win

    2017: 47-53 ROI = -7.6%
    2016: 1271-1179 ROI = -0.4%
    2015: 1267-1188 ROI = -0.2%
    2014: 1223-1229 ROI = -2.9%
    2013: 1256-1203 ROI = -2.8%
    2012: 1272-1185 ROI = -0.7%
    ALL: 16344-15619 ROI = -1.7%
    ______________________________________
    Teams off at least back to back wins
    (Astros, Athletics, Brewers, Yankees, Tigers, Mets, Reds )

    2017: 23-24 ROI = -4.2%
    2016: 661-602 ROI = -0.2%
    2015: 683-579 ROI = +3.2%
    2014: 599-620 ROI = -5.1%
    2013: 637-614 ROI = -5.1%
    2012: 659-610 ROI = -1.7%
    ALL: 8413-7852 ROI = -1.9%
    __________________________________
    Teams off at least 3 wins in a row
    (Yankees, Tigers, Mets, Reds, )

    2017: 7-12 ROI = -27.7%
    2016: 346-312 ROI = -0.8%
    2015: 351-329 ROI = -2.0%
    2014: 287-311 ROI = -7.2%
    2013: 332-302 ROI = -3.9%
    2012: 345-312 ROI = -1.4%
    ALL: 4333-4040 ROI = -2.7%
    ___________________________________
    Teams off a loss

    2017: 61-54 ROI = +4.7%
    2016: 1174-1266 ROI = -3.5%
    2015: 1183-1262 ROI = -3.7%
    2014: 1221-1217 ROI = -1.0%
    2013: 1197-1250 ROI = -1.1%
    2012: 1180-1267 ROI = -3.4%
    ALL: 15556-16287 ROI = -2.5%
    ______________________________________
    Teams off at least back to back losses
    (Rays, Twins, Mariners, Blue Jays, Royals, Phillies, Pirates )

    2017: 26-21 ROI = +5.2%
    2016: 598-654 ROI = -2.6%
    2015: 605-647 ROI = -2.9%
    2014: 591-615 ROI = -1.5%
    2013: 589-651 ROI = -1.9%
    2012: 604-654 ROI = -2.2%
    ALL: 7741-8393 ROI = -2.6%
    _________________________________
    Teams off at least 3 losses in a row
    (Blue Jays, Royals, Phillies, Pirates)

    2017: 12-5 ROI = +23.0%
    2016: 315-332 ROI = +0.9%
    2015: 299-340 ROI = -5.5%
    2014: 304-305 ROI = +1.0%
    2013: 306-339 ROI = +0.0%
    2012: 310-337 ROI = -1.4%
    ALL: 3893-4403 ROI = -3.4%
    __________________________________
    Teams off Home Win

    2017: 33-38 ROI = -13.2%
    2016: 689-608 ROI = -2.1%
    2015: 709-619 ROI = -1.1%
    2014: 682-620 ROI = -2.1%
    2013: 687-636 ROI = -5.7%
    2012: 697-611 ROI = -2.0%
    ALL: 9238-8042 ROI = -1.8%
    ______________________________________
    Teams off Home Loss

    2017: 23-21 ROI = -2.4%
    2016: 582-564 ROI = -3.6%
    2015: 567-554 ROI = -3.9%
    2014: 598-546 ROI = -1.5%
    2013: 552-578 ROI = -6.6%
    2012: 584-558 ROI = -2.8%
    ALL: 7575-7045 ROI = -2.1%
    ______________________________________
    Teams off Away Win

    2017: 21-23 ROI = -1.2%
    2016: 582-571 ROI = +1.9%
    2015: 558-569 ROI = +1.1%
    2014: 541-609 ROI = -4.0%
    2013: 569-567 ROI = +1.1%
    2012: 575-574 ROI = +1.0%
    ALL: 7106-7577 ROI = -1.5%
    ______________________________________
    Teams off Away Loss

    2017: 38-33 ROI = +9.6%
    2016: 592-702 ROI = -3.4%
    2015: 616-708 ROI = -3.5%
    2014: 623-671 ROI = -0.5%
    2013: 645-672 ROI = +4.2%
    2012: 596-709 ROI = -3.9%
    ALL: 7981-9242 ROI = -2.8%

  9. #9
    FUqer
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    Friday 4/14

    --> Cardinals +133
    --> Tigers +143
    --> Red Sox -126

    --> Pittsburgh Penguins
    ------------------------

    5-0 yesterday
    -----------------------
    Pirates are 0-18 SU after a one run loss as a dog since 8/16/14.

    The Reds are 15-0 SU as a 140+ home favorite vs a team that has won at least their last two games and it is not the first game of a series.

    The Tigers are 14-0 SU in the first game of a series after playing as a home favorite when facing a divisional opponent with fewer wins.

    The Mariners are 13-0 OU as a favorite by more than 135 after a game as a home dog in which they allowed 5-plus walks.

    The Cardinals are 12-0 OU on the road off a game as a dog in which Kolten Wong was hitless in at least three at bats.

    The Twins are 0-13 OU as a favorite after a game as a road dog in which they won by 5+ runs.
    _______
    Others

    Dodgers 21-4 SU
    Padres 1-17 SU
    Royals 19-5 SU
    Giants 11-1 O/U
    ________________________

  10. #10
    FUqer
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    Saturday 4/15

    --> Brewers -102
    --> Padres -105
    --> Rangers +160

    --> Boston Bruins
    --> Anaheim Ducks (26-0 SU @ H vs Calgary)

    ---------------------------------------------------

    2-2 yesterday for a small profit. The Angels are in a real good spot today, being on a -3 losing streak plus being an away favorite, but their pitching match up is a huge turn off for me. I usually like to fade the Cardinals against Lefties but the Yankees and their +5 game streak doesn't have a good track record in this spot.

    ---------------------------------------------------

    SDQL

    The Diamondbacks are 0-18 SU as a 140-plus dog when seeking immediate revenge for a road loss in which they never led.

    The Phillies were 0-14 SU as a 130-plus dog after they had six or fewer hits and it is not a series opener.

    _______
    Others

    Cardinals 15-1 Over
    Cardinals 12-1 Over

  11. #11
    Louisvillekid1
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    nice thread

  12. #12
    FUqer
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    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    nice thread
    Thank You!

  13. #13
    FUqer
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    Streak = +3

    2016: 175-138 ROI = +5.9%
    2015: 171-159 ROI = -0.5%
    2014: 146-166 ROI = -8.8%
    ALL: 2097-1961 ROI = -1.5%

    Streak = -3

    2016: 150-169 ROI = -4.6%
    2015: 143-160 ROI = -5.5%
    2014: 147-160 ROI = -3.5%
    ALL: 1901-2047 ROI = -2.6%

    Streak = -2

    2016: 283-322 ROI = -6.2%
    2015: 306-307 ROI = -0.1%
    2014: 287-297 ROI = -3.9%
    ALL: 3848-3990 ROI = -1.7%
    ___________________________________

    Streak -3, Below .500, Underdog

    2017: 4-2 ROI = +60.8% (6-0 RL)
    2016: 49-73 ROI = -6.3%
    2015: 54-74 ROI = -2.7%
    ALL: 648-952 ROI = -4.1%
    ____________________________
    Streak -2, Below .500, Underdog

    2017: 4-9 ROI = -21.2%
    2016: 81-124 ROI = -4.9%
    2015: 94-127 ROI = -1.8%
    ALL: 1122-1596 ROI = -2.1%
    ____________________________
    Streak +3, Favorites

    2017: 3-5 ROI = -36.1% (0-8 RL)
    2016: 106-73 ROI = -0.1%
    2015: 105-75 ROI = +0.0%
    ALL: 1307-943 ROI = -1.7%
    ____________________________
    2017

    Loss by 9 or more = 1-1 ROI = +16.4%
    Loss by 8 or more = 2-2 ROI = -5.7%
    Loss by 7 or more = 3-5 ROI = -24.1%
    Loss by 6 or more = 5-5 ROI = -2.2%
    Loss by 5 or more = 8-8 ROI = +2.3%
    Loss by 4 or more = 13-11 ROI = +8.5%
    Loss by 3 or more = 19-17 ROI = +1.7%
    Loss by 2 or more = 27-22 ROI = +7.7%
    Loss by 1 or more = 39-32 ROI = +8.6%

    Loss by 9 = 1-1 ROI = -25.4%
    Loss by 8 = 1-3 ROI = -49.1%
    Loss by 7 = 2-0 ROI = +71.9%
    Loss by 6 = 3-3 ROI = +10.1%
    Loss by 5 = 5-3 ROI = +22.1%
    Loss by 4 = 6-6 ROI = -10.0%
    Loss by 3 = 8-5 ROI = +26.5%
    Loss by 2 = 12-10 ROI = +10.7%
    Loss by 1 = 14-15 ROI = -6.9%

    2016

    Loss by 9 or more = 39-46 ROI = -3.3%
    Loss by 8 or more = 58-73 ROI = -7.5%
    Loss by 7 or more = 86-114 ROI = -12.2%
    Loss by 6 or more = 142-178 ROI = -9.6%
    Loss by 5 or more = 208-250 ROI = -7.0%
    Loss by 4 or more = 297-364 ROI = -8.1%
    Loss by 3 or more = 438-502 ROI = -5.4%
    Loss by 2 or more = 602-701 ROI = -6.7%
    Loss by 1 or more = 840-909 ROI = -3.3%

    Loss by 9 = 19-27 ROI = -15.3%
    Loss by 8 = 28-41 ROI = -20.4%
    Loss by 7 = 56-64 ROI = -5.3%
    Loss by 6 = 66-72 ROI = -0.8%
    Loss by 5 = 89-114 ROI = -10.6%
    Loss by 4 = 141-138 ROI = +0.9%
    Loss by 3 = 164-199 ROI = -9.9%
    Loss by 2 = 238-208 ROI = +6.6%
    Loss by 1 = 334-357 ROI = -4.0%
    ----------------------------

    Last edited by FUqer; 04-15-17 at 12:43 PM.

  14. #14
    FUqer
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    Sunday 4/16

    --> Blue Jays -107
    --> Brewers -109
    --> Royals +103
    --> Athletics -106
    --> Rockies +123
    --> Twins -127
    --> Rangers -110

    --> Pittsburgh Penguins
    --> Edmonton Oilers

    ___________________________
    Terrible night in MLB, split in NHL. Big day today. Happy Easter!
    ___________________________
    SDQL

    The Athletics are 13-0 OU as a favorite in the last game of a series after a home loss in which they scored first.

    Nationals 30-3 SU
    Phillies 1-18 SU
    Phillies 1-14 SU
    Yankees 14-1 SU
    Athletics 1-12 SU

    Twins 16-1 OVER
    Giants 12-1 OVER

  15. #15
    Scrivero
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    Love your SDQL stuff man. I will be stopping by every now and then.

  16. #16
    FUqer
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    Monday 4/17

    --> Angels +143
    --> Marlins +131

    --> Washington Capitals
    --> Anaheim Ducks
    _________________________
    Yesterday
    MLB = 3-3 = -18
    NHL = 2-0 = +220
    ALL = 5-3 = +202
    ------------------------
    SDQL

    The Rangers are 0-14 SU as a road dog after a game in which they had a higher team-left-on-base than their opponent.
    team = Rangers and AD and po:TLOB < p:TLOB and date >= 20160702The Dodgers are 16-0 SU in franchise history as a 120+ favorite off a home game in which Corey Seager was hitless in at least three at bats.team = Dodgers and line<=-120 and p:H and Corey Seager:at bats>=3 and Corey Seager:hits = 0

    The Cardinals are 0-13 RL as a home favorite off a loss as a dog in which they held the lead.
    team = Cardinals and HF and p:LD and p:BL > 0 and date >= 20110502

    The Yankees are 18-0 SU since April 30th 2012, as a Home Favorite of -140 or more in the first game of a series after scoring more than 6 run in hier last game.
    team = Yankees and line<=-140 and HF and p:runs>=6 and FGS and date >= 20120430
    ---------------------------
    The Dodgers are 34-4 SU as a 135+ favorite when seeking immediate revenge for a loss in which they had 6 or fewer hits.
    team = Dodgers and line<=-135 and p:hits <= 6 and p:L and SG > 1 and date >= 20140720

    The White Sox are 19-2 OU as a dog after a win in which they left 18+ men on base.
    team = White Sox and D and p:LOB>=18 and p:W and date >= 20150622

    The Mariners are 13-1 OU as a favorite by more than 135 after a game as a home dog in which they allowed 5-plus walks.
    team = Mariners and line<-135 and p:HD and 5 <= po:walks and date >= 20090519
    ________________________

  17. #17
    trobin31
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    Starter=AJ Griffin and D and s:SF and s:SHA<6

    SU: 13-0
    RL: 13-0

  18. #18
    FUqer
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    Quote Originally Posted by trobin31 View Post
    Starter=AJ Griffin and D and s:SF and s:SHA<6

    SU: 13-0
    RL: 13-0
    Thanks, more reason for me not to plat the A's.

  19. #19
    FUqer
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    Tuesday 4/18
    --> Rangers -124
    --> Indians -115
    _________________________
    Yesterday
    MLB = 0-2 = -200
    NHL = 1-1 = -25
    ALL = 1-3 = -225
    ______________

  20. #20
    FUqer
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    Quote Originally Posted by FUqer View Post
    Tuesday 4/18

    --> Rangers -124
    --> Indians -115

    --> Cardinals -1 +110

    --> San Jose Sharks
    _________________________

    Yesterday
    MLB = 0-2 = -200
    NHL = 1-1 = -25
    ALL = 1-3 = -225
    ______________
    Didn't Make The Cut

    Tigers +107
    Phillies +156
    Braves +174
    Marlins -102
    Phillies/Mets Over 7.5
    Oilers/Sharks Under 5

    _____________________________
    SDQL

    The Red Sox are 0-16 OU as a dog after a one-run win at home and the total is 10 or less.
    team = Red Sox and D and p:margin = 1 and p:H and total<=10 and date >= 20081001



    The Dodgers are 0-13 RL as a home 140-plus favorite off a game as a favorite in which they allowed 5-plus walks.
    team = Dodgers and H and line <= -140 and p:F and 5 <= po:walks and date >= 20140425



    The White Sox are 19-0 RL as a 160+ dog after allowing 6+ runs.
    team=White Sox and line>=160 and 6<=po:runs and date>=20130709

    ---------------------------

    The Dodgers are 16-1 SU in franchise history as a 120+ favorite off a home game in which Corey Seager was hitless in at least three at bats.
    team = Dodgers and line<=-120 and p:H and Corey Seager:at bats>=3 and Corey Seager:hits = 0

    The Rangers are 16-2 SU since May 11th 2013 as an Away Favorite vs a team with a losing streak of at least -2 and it's not the first game of a series.
    team = Rangers and AF and o:streak<=-2 and SG >1and date >= 20130511

    The Pirates are 1-18 SU since August 16th 2014 after a one run loss as a dog.
    team = Pirates and p and p:margin = -1 and date >= 20140816

    The Giants are 1-15 RL & 3-13 SU in the first game of a series after a one-run loss at home.
    team = Giants and p:margin = -1 and p:H and SG = 1 and date >= 20110722

    The Braves are 2-22 RL in a home series opener after a home game in which they hit at least one home run.
    team=Braves and H and p:HR>0 and p:H and SG=1 and date>=20130729

    ________________________

  21. #21
    FUqer
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    Quote Originally Posted by FUqer View Post
    Tuesday 4/18

    --> Rangers -124
    --> Indians -115

    --> Cardinals -1 +110

    --> Angels +133

    --> San Jose Sharks
    _________________________
    Added Angels for spot related to their -6 streak.

  22. #22
    FUqer
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    Wednesday 4/19
    --> Mets -122
    ------------------------
    Yesterday

    MLB = 2-1 = +109
    NHL = 1-0 = +100
    ALL = 3-1 = +209
    --------------------------

    Vince Velasquez 1-10 ROI -81.7% since July 19th 2016.
    starter = Vince Velasquez and date >= 20160719

    63-31 ROI +11.4%
    streak = -4 and HF and o:streak = 1 and SG = 2

    36-15 ROI +14.8%
    streak = -4 and HF and o:streak = 1 and SG = 2 and DIV

  23. #23
    FUqer
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    Quote Originally Posted by FUqer View Post
    Wednesday 4/19

    --> Mets -122
    ------------------------
    Yesterday

    MLB = 2-1 = +109
    NHL = 1-0 = +100
    ALL = 3-1 = +209
    --------------------------

    Vince Velasquez 1-10 ROI -81.7% since July 19th 2016.
    starter = Vince Velasquez and date >= 20160719

    63-31 ROI +11.4%
    streak = -4 and HF and o:streak = 1 and SG = 2

    36-15 ROI +14.8%
    streak = -4 and HF and o:streak = 1 and SG = 2 and DIV

    SDQL

    The Marlins are 0-18 SU as a 135-plus dog when their opponent is seeking immediate revenge for a loss in which they never led.
    team = Marlins and SG > 1 and line>=135 and po:BL = 0 and p:W and date >= 20140626

    The Cubs are 0-11 OU in the last game of a home series off a game in which their opponent scored at least the first four runs of the game and their starter allowed at least four runs.
    team = Cubs and LGS and H and po:SF>=4 and p:SRA>3 and date >= 20130600

    The Yankees are 0-11 RL as a favorite off a game as a favorite in which they did not hit a home run and it is not a series opener.
    team = Yankees and SG > 1 and F and p:F and p:HR = 0 and date >= 20150929

    The White Sox are 18-0 RL as a road dog after they hit multiple home runs and it is not a series opener.
    team = White Sox and SG > 1 and A and D and p:HR > 1 and date >= 20150604


    ---------------------------

    The Phillies are 1-19 SU since May 02, 2016 off a game as a dog in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits.
    team = Phillies and p and po:hits <= 6 and date >= 20160502

    The Pirates are 1-19 SU off a one-run loss as a dog.
    team = Pirates and p and p:margin = -1 and date >= 20140816

    The Athletics are 1-17 RL as a home favorite after a win in which they scored in at most two separate innings.
    team=Athletics and HF and p:SII<=2 and p:W and date>=20140820

  24. #24
    Scrivero
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    Quote Originally Posted by FUqer View Post
    SDQL

    The Marlins are 0-18 SU as a 135-plus dog when their opponent is seeking immediate revenge for a loss in which they never led.
    team = Marlins and SG > 1 and line>=135 and po:BL = 0 and p:W and date >= 20140626

    The Cubs are 0-11 OU in the last game of a home series off a game in which their opponent scored at least the first four runs of the game and their starter allowed at least four runs.
    team = Cubs and LGS and H and po:SF>=4 and p:SRA>3 and date >= 20130600

    The Yankees are 0-11 RL as a favorite off a game as a favorite in which they did not hit a home run and it is not a series opener.
    team = Yankees and SG > 1 and F and p:F and p:HR = 0 and date >= 20150929

    The White Sox are 18-0 RL as a road dog after they hit multiple home runs and it is not a series opener.
    team = White Sox and SG > 1 and A and D and p:HR > 1 and date >= 20150604


    ---------------------------

    The Phillies are 1-19 SU since May 02, 2016 off a game as a dog in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits.
    team = Phillies and p and po:hits <= 6 and date >= 20160502

    The Pirates are 1-19 SU off a one-run loss as a dog.
    team = Pirates and p and p:margin = -1 and date >= 20140816

    The Athletics are 1-17 RL as a home favorite after a win in which they scored in at most two separate innings.
    team=Athletics and HF and p:SII<=2 and p:W and date>=20140820
    Sounds great but just to see if I got this right. The plays for today would be:

    1. Seattle SU (fade the Marlins)
    2. Milwaukee-Cubs Under
    3. White Sox RL +1,5 (fade the Yankees)
    4. Mets SU (fade the Phillies)
    5. St Louis SU (fade the Pirates)
    6. Texas RL +1,5 (fade the Athletics)

    Did I get it right? Could one also play e.g. Texas as SU or with reverse RL of -1,5? E.g. the Athletics are 3-15 SU and 7-11 RL (-1,5). SU has a better ROI than just RL (+1,5) and -1,5 has ROI that is pretty equal to +1,5. What do you think and what do you think about just choosing the best ROI option each time?
    In any case, awesome awesome finds, I have no idea how you come up with those combos to SDQL query

  25. #25
    FUqer
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    Quote Originally Posted by Scrivero View Post
    Sounds great but just to see if I got this right. The plays for today would be:

    1. Seattle SU (fade the Marlins)
    2. Milwaukee-Cubs Under
    3. White Sox RL +1,5 (fade the Yankees)
    4. Mets SU (fade the Phillies)
    5. St Louis SU (fade the Pirates)
    6. Texas RL +1,5 (fade the Athletics)

    Did I get it right? Could one also play e.g. Texas as SU or with reverse RL of -1,5? E.g. the Athletics are 3-15 SU and 7-11 RL (-1,5). SU has a better ROI than just RL (+1,5) and -1,5 has ROI that is pretty equal to +1,5. What do you think and what do you think about just choosing the best ROI option each time?
    In any case, awesome awesome finds, I have no idea how you come up with those combos to SDQL query
    Yep, that looks right.

    A's lost by 2 or more 75% of the time in that spot, so a reverse RL of Texas -1.5 might be ok, but of course Texas SU will be safer. It all depends on how risky your feeling and what price is better for you. Personally, I wouldn't do a reverse RL of -1.5 over a SU, unless I was extra confident it was going to be a blowout, not just a win. I'm not playing Texas because the A's bat .306 vs Perez and they screwed my perfect night last night.

  26. #26
    Scrivero
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    Quote Originally Posted by FUqer View Post
    Yep, that looks right.

    A's lost by 2 or more 75% of the time in that spot, so a reverse RL of Texas -1.5 might be ok, but of course Texas SU will be safer. It all depends on how risky your feeling and what price is better for you. Personally, I wouldn't do a reverse RL of -1.5 over a SU, unless I was extra confident it was going to be a blowout, not just a win. I'm not playing Texas because the A's bat .306 vs Perez and they screwed my perfect night last night.
    Thanks for the reply and for the insight!

  27. #27
    FUqer
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    Quote Originally Posted by Scrivero View Post
    Thanks for the reply and for the insight!
    Your welcome, GL!

  28. #28
    FUqer
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    Quote Originally Posted by FUqer View Post
    Wednesday 4/19
    --> Mets -122

    --> Washington Capitals
    --> Boston Bruins
    --> Minnesota Wild
    --> Anaheim Ducks


    --------------------------
    Added NHL Plays for the night, opening it up a bit tonight, 8-2 in playoffs +6.71. NHL is my best sport, I didn't run a NHL thread this year, that is why I still post my plays in here. I'm going to double check MLB and see if I'm going to pull the trigger on the Padres, White Sox, Angels, or Twins. GL ALL!

  29. #29
    Scrivero
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    Quote Originally Posted by FUqer View Post
    Added NHL Plays for the night, opening it up a bit tonight, 8-2 in playoffs +6.71. NHL is my best sport, I didn't run a NHL thread this year, that is why I still post my plays in here. I'm going to double check MLB and see if I'm going to pull the trigger on the Padres, White Sox, Angels, or Twins. GL ALL!
    I played all the MLB ones and Im gonna just go on a limb and tail your NHL picks too. Thanks!

  30. #30
    FUqer
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    MLB Wednesday 4/19


    --> Mets -122
    --> Reds -102
    --> Nationals -121
    --> Red Sox -110

    --------------------------

    I couldn't pull the trigger on the big dogs today, pitching match-ups are too unfavorable, IMO.

  31. #31
    kilopro
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    Man I thought I posted something on here and now it's gone. Thanks Fuqer for the good info. Your name looks familiar from other forums possibly but I could be wrong. I've dabbled with the SDQL for several years and still trying to find the winning formulas!

  32. #32
    FUqer
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    Quote Originally Posted by kilopro View Post
    Man I thought I posted something on here and now it's gone. Thanks Fuqer for the good info. Your name looks familiar from other forums possibly but I could be wrong. I've dabbled with the SDQL for several years and still trying to find the winning formulas!
    That's funny cuz I saw your post about WF one second and it was gone the next. Yes, that's me from WF. IT might of got deleted for mentioned another site. You're welcome and thanks for the post.
    Last edited by FUqer; 04-20-17 at 05:31 AM.

  33. #33
    FUqer
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    Thursday 4/20

    --> Angels +155
    --> Royals -110
    --> Nationals/Braves Over 7.5

    --> Nashville Predators
    --> Blackhawks/Predators Under 5
    --> San Jose Sharks
    _________________________

    Yesterday

    MLB = 2-2 = -12
    NHL = 3-1 = +140
    ______________________
    SDQL

    The Cardinals are 0-14 SU+RL as a road favorite after a home win in which they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent.
    team = Cardinals and AF and p:HW and p:TLOB < po:TLOB and date >= 20110912

    The Nationals are 12-0 OU as a road 140-plus favorite off a road game in which Ryan Zimmerman hit a home run.
    team = Nationals and A and line<=-140 and p:A and Ryan Zimmerman:home runs > 0 and date >= 20100613

    The Braves are 13-0 OU at home after they allowed 12-plus hits.
    team = Braves and H and 12 <= po:hits and date >= 20160612

    The Braves are 14-0 OU off a loss as a dog in which they held the lead.
    team = Braves and p and p:BL > 0 and p:L and date >= 20160803

    The Braves and Nationals are 14-1 O/U last 15 meetings.
    team=Braves and o:team=Nationals and date>=20160414

    ---------------------------

    The Mets are 20-2 SU as a favorite in the last game of a series after a one-run win.
    team = Mets and F and p:margin = 1 and LGS and date >= 20110901

    The Nationals are 31-3 SU since May 7th, 2014 as a favorite in the last game of a series when they came back from a deficit to win in their starters last start.
    team = Nationals and F and s:W and so:BL > 0 and LGS and date >= 20140507

    The Nationals are 35-6 SU since July 4th, 2013 as a 140+ favorite in the last game of a series after a game in which they hit more home runs than their opponent.
    team = Nationals and line<=-140 and p:HR > po:HR and LGS and date >= 20130704

    The Braves are 1-12 SU since Aug 05, 2015 in not the first game of a series after a game as a home dog in which they lost by 5+ runs
    team = Braves and p:HD and p:margin <= -5 and SG > 1 and date >= 20150805

    The Royals are 20-5 SU since July 5th, 2015 when Danny Duffy is a favorite at home.
    starter = Danny Duffy and F and date>= 20150705

    The Royals are 23-7 SU when Danny Duffy won his last 2 starts.
    starter = Danny Duffy and s:W and ss:W
    ________________________

  34. #34
    Scrivero
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    Thanks! I played everything again I will keep doing it until it gives me a losing day (or two).

  35. #35
    Scrivero
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    And when I mean everything I mean all your NHL picks and all the SDQL plays, but none of the other MLB picks, such as Angels tonight. Havent followed your other MLB picks, but like you said, NHL is your best skill, and I just love the SDQL stuff you have so theres the reasoning. I hope you continue winning man.

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