1. #71
    FUqer
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    Notes: Monday 4/24
    -------------------------
    Cubs @ Pirates

    Cubs 6-2 as AF this season. 66% in 2016, 73% in 2015, and have been even better in that 3 season span inside thier division at 73% avg WP%.
    Brett Anderson lost last 3 team starts on the road.
    Cubs vs Righties L2 Seasons = 87-51 (ROI = +0.4%) (Over ROI = -1.8%)

    Pirates swept Cubs in Chicago earlier this season. 3-11 thier last 14 division games as a home dog.
    Chad Kuhl started out 5-0, 4-7 since, with two of those losses to the Cubs.
    Pirates vs Lefties L2 Seasons = 21-13 (ROI = +23.1%) (Over ROI = +10.8%)

    ----------------

    Reds @ Brewers

    Amir Garrett 2-1 in his young career, but has pitched brilliant in all 3 starts, racking up lots of K's.
    Reds 1-9 SU on the road after a home win since July 18th, 2014. (team=Reds and A and p:HW and date>=20140718)
    Reds vs Righties L2 Seasons = 62-78 (ROI = -1.0%) (Over ROI = +8.5%)

    Matt Garza first start of the year, lost his last 2 starts vs the Reds.
    Brewers are 15-4 SU & RL at Home vs a Left handed starting pitcher since May 13th, 2016. (team=Brewers and H and o:STL and date>=20160513)
    Brewers vs Lefties L2 Seasons = (ROI = +32.8%) (Over ROI = +13.2%)

    ----------------

    Nationals @ Rockies

    Joe Ross is 5-0 in the month of April, 4 of them have been on the road.
    Nationals 21-17 vs Lefties L2 Seasons = (ROI = -0.8%) (Over ROI = -1.3%)

    Tyler Anderson has lost last 7/8, his last 3 home starts.
    Rockies have won last 4/5 vs Nationals.
    Rockies vs Righties L2 Seasons = 61-63 (ROI = -0.3%) (Under ROI = +7.9%)
    ---------------

    Padres @ Diamondbacks

    Jhoulys Chacin has lost his last 4 on the road after winning at home his last start. He is 5-14 on Monday's. He won his last 4 starts vs the D-backs. 1-9 SU his L10 Road starts. (starter = Jhoulys Chacin and A and date>=20160524)
    Padres vs Righties L2 Seasons = 51-79 (ROI = -6.9%) (Over ROI = -2.8%)

    Zack Greinke 11-2 at Home after two str8 losses.
    Zack Greinke is 10-0 SU at Home after losing is last two starts on the road. (starter=Zack Greinke and H and s:AL and ss:AL and date>=20090808)
    Zack Greinke is 5-1 at home vs the Padres, all 1 run wins, only 2 of his 12 wins vs the Padres have been by more than 1 run.
    D-Backs vs Righties L2 Seasons = 53-74 (ROI = -11.2%) (Over ROI = +6.5%)

    ----------------

    Dodgers @ Giants

    Hyun Jin Ryu has lost his last 6 starts. 4-2 in SF.
    Dodgers vs Righties L2 Seasons = 79-52 (ROI = +2.7%) (Under ROI = +1.4%)

    Matt Cain is 1-5 L6 starts vs Dodgers
    Giants have 5 in a row at Home vs the Dodgers, 16-4 at Home vs Dodgers since 2015.
    Giants vs Lefties L2 Seasons = 33-26 (ROI = +9.8%) (Under ROI = -0.6%)

    ----------------

    Royals @ White Sox

    Jason Vargas 11-2 L13 starts. Won 7 of last 8 Monday starts.
    Royals vs Righties L2 Seasons = 64-66 (ROI = -1.6%) (Under ROI = +8.8%)

    Miguel Gonzalez won his last 4 starts, 0-3 after previous 4 game win streaks. 7-1 SU & RL on Monday's
    Miguel Gonzalez 1-9 L10 at Home after winning on the road his previous start.
    Miguel Gonzalez 1-8 vs Royals, lost last 8.

    White Sox 5-15 SU vs Royals L20 meetings. 10-27 at Home vs Royals since 4/4/2013, 9-20 at Home since 2014.
    White Sox vs Lefties L2 Seasons = 24-19 (ROI = +13.1%) (Under ROI = -5.1%)

    ----------------

    Twins @ Rangers

    Twins have won 5 of last 6 vs Rangers, 4/5 on the road.
    Twins vs Lefties L2 Seasons = 25-26 (ROI = +13.1%) (Over ROI = +11.9%)

    Rangers vs Righties L2 Seasons = 76-58 (ROI = +9.9%) (Over ROI = +4.1%)

    ----------------

    Rays @ Orioles

    Chris Archer has won his L5 starts and his L6 April starts.
    Rays vs Righties L2 Seasons = 56-72 (ROI = -12.7%) (Under ROI = -3.8%)

    Ubaldo Jimenez has won his L4 starts and 8/9. 6-2 career vs Rays.
    Orioles vs Righties L2 Seasons = 72-52 (ROI = +13.1%) (Under ROI = +8.5%)

    ----------------

    Blue Jays @ Angels

    Blue Jays vs Righties L2 Seasons = 70-65 (ROI = -8.3%) (Under ROI = +8.6%)

    Ricky Nolasco lost his last 5 Monday starts. 4-1 career vs Blue Jays
    Angels vs Lefties L2 Seasons = 23-24 (ROI = +1.7%) (Under ROI = +16.4%)
    Last edited by FUqer; 04-24-17 at 01:16 AM.

  2. #72
    FUqer
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    Monday 4/24

    --> Cubs -114
    --> Orioles +112
    --> Rangers -126
    --> Nationals -112 ( Canceled due to pitching change)
    _________________________

    I thought it was going to be a good night and then the Marlins get a 6 run inning and I had to settle for a 2-2 night.

    -----------------------------------
    Yesterday

    MLB = 2-2 = -18

    Total

    MLB = 25-30 -492
    NHL = 13-5 +801
    -------------------------
    Cubs 9-0 SU since 09/09/16 on the road after a road loss.

    team=Cubs and A and p:AL and date>=20160909
    SU: 9-0 (3.50, 100.0%) avg line: -147.8 / 135.3 on / against: +$1,021 / -$1,034 ROI: +68.1% / -100.0%
    RL: 7-2 (2.39, 77.8%) avg line: 116.2 / -127.2 on / against: +$657 / -$713 ROI: +67.9% / -59.8%

    Cubs 16-2 SU since 06/26/09 as a Road Favorite after a Road loss and it's the first game of the series.

    team=Cubs and AF and p:AL and FGS and date>=20090626
    SU: 16-2 (2.89, 88.9%) avg line: -154.4 / 140.4 on / against: +$1,368 / -$1,387 ROI: +49.2% / -76.8%

    ------------------------
    Rays 4-15 SU since 06/18/13 on the Road after a Home loss.

    team=Rays and A and p:HL and date>=20130618
    SU: 4-15 (-1.47, 21.1%) avg line: 106.4 / -116.4 on / against: -$1,128 / +$1,053 ROI: -55.8% / +46.3%

    Orioles 16-3 SU since 06/13/13 at Home after a Home loss and it's the first game of the series.

    team=Orioles and H and p:HL and FGS and date>=20130613
    SU: 16-3 (2.37, 84.2%) avg line: -141.1 / 128.2 on / against: +$1,269 / -$1,314 ROI: +47.2% / -68.1%
    ------------------------
    Twins 3-18 SU since 4/24/16 after losing their previous 2 games.

    team=Twins and streak=-2 and date>=20160424
    SU: 3-18 (-2.81, 14.3%) avg line: 124.0 / -134.1 on / against: -$1,467 / +$1,417 ROI: -67.3% / +49.3%

    Twins 1-10 SU since 6/10/15 as a Road dog after a Home loss.

    team=Twins and AD and p:HL and date>=20150610
    SU: 1-10 (-2.82, 9.1%) avg line: 158.5 / -173.1 on / against: -$838 / +$828 ROI: -76.2% / +43.5%
    -----------------------

    All Leans:

    Orioles & Under 8.5
    Rangers & Over 9.5
    Nationals
    Cubs & Over 8
    Reds & Over 8.5
    D-Backs
    Blue Jays/Angels Under 8
    Royals/White Sox Under 7.5

    SU = 22-9 (3-4)
    OU = 8-9 (2-4-1)
    Last edited by FUqer; 04-24-17 at 02:47 PM. Reason: Nationals Play Canceled

  3. #73
    FUqer
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    SDQL

    Zack Greinke
    is 10-0 SU at Home after losing is last two starts on the road.

    starter=Zack Greinke and H and s:AL and ss:AL and date>=20090808
    SU: 10-0 (2.30, 100.0%) avg line: -159.6 / 146.0 on / against: +$1,020 / -$1,030 ROI: +63.5% / -100.0%
    RL: 7-3 (1.10, 70.0%) avg line: 127.0 / -138.3 on / against: +$542 / -$604 ROI: +52.2% / -42.8%

    The Nationals are 0-15 RL on the road after playing as a road favorite vs a team that has won at least their last three games.

    team = Nationals and A and p:AF and 3 <= o:streak and date >= 20140728
    SU: 4-11 (-2.47, 26.7%) avg line: -111.8 / 100.4 on / against: -$982 / +$919 ROI: -49.6% / +48.9%
    RL: 0-15 (-2.97, 0.0%) avg line: -106.2 / -104.8 on / against: -$1,818 / +$1,746 ROI: -100.0% / +96.0%

    111-227 ROI = -32.4% = Applies to Cubs today

    (so:R1 = 3 or so:R1 = 4) and SG != 2 and 5 > SGS > 1 and s:SRA < 10 and 3 < s:SHA < 10 and s:SWA < 5 and 6 > s:SSO > 1 and starter rest < 17 and s:SPT > 56 and os:SRA < 8 and s:SHRA < 4 and os:SHRA < 2 and os:SPT > 69 and o:starter rest < 18 and p:hits < 12 and 0 < ss:SSO < 12 and ss:SPT > 66 and -8 < os:margin < 6 and tA(hits,N=10) > 6.8 and oA(LOB, N=10) < 18.5 and 1.4 < oA(walks, N=10) < 4.8 and tA(walks, N=10) > 1.7
    SU: 111-227 (-1.21, 32.8%) avg line: 108.7 / -121.5 on / against: -$12,687 / +$11,192 ROI: -32.4% / +24.9%

    --------------

    Brewers are 15-4 SU & RL at Home vs a Left handed starting pitcher since May 13th, 2016.

    team=Brewers and H and o:STL and date>=20160513
    SU: 15-4 (1.58, 78.9%) avg line: 101.0 / -111.0 on / against: +$1,300 / -$1,391 ROI: +59.5% / -60.4%
    RL: 15-4 (1.82, 78.9%) avg line: 105.2 / -117.1 on / against: +$1,365 / -$1,435 ROI: +60.2% / -57.7%

    Reds 1-9 SU on the road after a home win since July 18th, 2014.

    team=Reds and A and p:HW and date>=20140718
    SU: 1-9 (-1.20, 10.0%) avg line: 139.1 / -152.3 on / against: -$815 / +$795 ROI: -76.5% / +48.6%

    Jhoulys Chacin is 1-9 SU his L10 Road starts.

    starter = Jhoulys Chacin and A and date>=20160524
    SU: 1-9 (-3.00, 10.0%) avg line: 155.8 / -170.8 on / against: -$778 / +$765 ROI: -77.6% / +44.8%
    ________________________

  4. #74
    Scrivero
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    THanks man! Liking the new format with the tables! Im gonna start tailing your SDQL again, my fading/streak breaking thread has come to an end and I am starting a tailing thread instead where I will tail all the best.

  5. #75
    FUqer
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    There was a pitching change in the Nationals game so my play has been canceled and I want nothing to do with the new pitching match-up.

  6. #76
    FUqer
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    The Pirates are 10-0-1 OVER as a home dog when playing a team that has a better record since Jun 26, 2016.

    team=Pirates and HD and WP < o:WP and date>=20160626
    OU: 10-0-1 (4.95, 100.0%) avg total: 8.0 over / under: +$1,000 / -$1,070 ROI: +80.0% / -91.1%
    The Orioles are 23-4 SU since 06/25/14 when Ubaldo Jimenez starts at Home and the Total is under 10.

    team=Orioles and H and starter=Ubaldo Jimenez and total<10 and date>=20140625
    SU: 23-4 (2.00, 85.2%) avg line: -124.0 / 114.0 on / against: +$1,808 / -$1,883 ROI: +52.8% / -67.3%
    RL: 17-10 (1.17, 63.0%) avg line: 129.7 / -143.4 on / against: +$1,324 / -$1,505 ROI: +43.7% / -35.7%
    OU: 15-9-3 (0.96, 62.5%) avg total: 8.5 over / under: +$535 / -$812 ROI: +18.5% / -26.6%

  7. #77
    FUqer
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    Quote Originally Posted by FUqer View Post
    Monday 4/24

    All Leans:

    Orioles
    Rangers & Over 9.5
    Cubs & Over 8
    Reds & Over 8.5
    D-Backs
    Blue Jays/Angels Under 8
    Royals/White Sox Under 7.5

    SU = 22-9 (3-4)
    OU = 8-9 (2-4-1)
    I updated my leans by removing the Nationals and the Under in the Rays/Orioles.

  8. #78
    FUqer
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    Quote Originally Posted by FUqer View Post
    Monday 4/24

    --> Cubs -114
    --> Orioles +112
    --> Rangers -126
    --> Cubs/Pirates Over 8 -110
    _________________________
    I added the Cubs/Pirates Over 8

    Another one I found.

    Over is 8-0 L8 times the Pirates faced the Cubs as a Home dog.

    team=Pirates and HD and o:team=Cubs and date>=20160503
    OU: 8-0-0 (3.62, 100.0%) avg total: 8.0 over / under: +$800 / -$885 ROI: +91.4% / -100.0%

  9. #79
    FUqer
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    Rangers -103 and Nationals -116 for tomorrow already in.

  10. #80
    shopbar picks
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    Quote Originally Posted by FUqer View Post
    I added the Cubs/Pirates Over 8.

    Another one I found.

    Over is 8-0 L8 times the Pirates faced the Cubs as a Home dog.

    team=Pirates and HD and o:team=Cubs and date>=20160503
    OU: 8-0-0 (3.62, 100.0%) avg total: 8.0 over / under: +$800 / -$885 ROI: +91.4% / -100.0%
    Amazing to me how technology has changed betting especially to those that know how to use it. Brilliant on your part. Keep up the good work

  11. #81
    FUqer
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    Quote Originally Posted by shopbar picks View Post
    Amazing to me how technology has changed betting especially to those that know how to use it. Brilliant on your part. Keep up the good work
    Thanks you!

  12. #82
    Frosty
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    Keep up the good work, FUqer. I have been tailing a few of your picks. I appreciate your insight and analysis into the games. Great stuff!

  13. #83
    FUqer
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    4/24 Plays = 3-1

    -----------------------------------

    Leans 4/24 Results

    SU = 3-2 (Total 25-11)
    OU = 3-2 (Total 11-11)

    ------------------------------------

    WIN - Orioles

    LOSS - Rangers
    LOSS - & Over 9.5

    WIN - Cubs
    WIN - & Over 8

    LOSS - Reds
    WIN - & Over 8.5

    WIN - D-Backs

    WIN - Blue Jays/Angels Under 8

    LOSS - Royals/White Sox Under 7.5

  14. #84
    FUqer
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    Quote Originally Posted by Frosty View Post
    Keep up the good work, FUqer. I have been tailing a few of your picks. I appreciate your insight and analysis into the games. Great stuff!
    Thank you!

  15. #85
    FUqer
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    Tuesday 4/25

    --> Nationals -116
    --> Rangers -103
    _________________________

    Yesterday

    MLB = 3-1 = +186

    Total
    MLB = 28-31 -306
    NHL = 13-5 +801
    -------------------------

    Twins at Rangers

    Ervin Santana: Twins 1-9 SU when he starts on the road after they lost his last home start.
    starter = Ervin Santana and A and s:HL and date>=20140622
    SU: 1-9 (-1.80, 10.0%) avg line: 135.2 / -148.4 on / against: -$763 / +$743 ROI: -75.0% / +48.3%



    The Twins are 16-3 OVER when their line is within 20 cents of pickem after a win in which they drew 5+ walks and it is not the first game of a series.
    team = Twins and line<=120 and p:walks>=5 and p:W and SG > 1 and date >= 20130903
    OU: 16-3-0 (4.34, 84.2%) avg total: 8.8 over / under: +$1,283 / -$1,443 ROI: +61.3% / -69.2%

    Ervin Santana: Twins 1-4 SU L5 times he started vs the Rangers.
    Twins have won 6 of last 7 vs Rangers, 5/6 on the road.
    Twins vs Righties L2 Seasons = 41-84 (ROI = -28.7%) (Over ROI = +9.7%)

    Rangers are batting .308 with 4 HR's in 133 AB's vs Santana.

    Applies to Rangers
    H and (s:SO + os:SO) > 18 and s:SHRA != 2 and p:runs != 3 and op:runs < 9 and os:fly balls > 3 and os:fly balls != 6 and o:team != Cubs and (p:walks + op:walks) < 13 and op:triples < 2 and p:doubles < 5 and 17 > op:hits > 2 and (tA(at bats@team,N=6)<36.5 or tA(at bats@team,N=6)>36.7) and tA(o:at bats@team,N=6)>31 and (tA(SHF,N=8)<26.3 or tA(SHF,N=8)>26.5)

    SU: 952-566 (0.85, 62.7%) avg line: -134.1 / 121.0 on / against: +$25,693 / -$32,631 ROI: +12.0% / -19.6%

    Rangers
    vs Righties L2 Seasons = 76-58 (ROI = +9.9%) (Over ROI = +4.1%)

    ----------------

    Nationals at Rockies

    The Nationals are 16-4 OVER since April 14th 2015 when their line is within 20 cents of pickem after allowing 6+ runs on the road.

    team = Nationals and -120 <= line <= 120 and 6 <= po:runs and p:A and date >= 20150414
    OU: 16-4-0 (4.35, 80.0%) avg total: 7.7 over / under: +$1,185 / -$1,325 ROI: +53.2% / -60.5%

    Joe Ross: Nationals are 5-0 in the month of April when he starts, 4 of them have been on the road.
    Nationals vs Righties L2 Seasons = 85-58 (ROI = +0.3%) (Over ROI = -3.1%)

    Rockies have won last 5/6 vs Nationals.
    Rockies vs Righties L2 Seasons = 61-63 (ROI = -0.3%) (Under ROI = +7.9%)

    ------------------

    Athletics at Angels


    Athletics vs Righties L2 Seasons = 57-71 (ROI = -3.3%) (Under ROI = +12.9%)


    J.C. Ramirez: Angels are 0-2 SU when he starts, this is his 1st Home start.

    Angels 15-6 SU with no rest as a Home Favorite vs a team with one day rest.
    team=Angels and rest=0 and o:rest=1 and HF
    SU: 15-6 (1.14, 71.4%) avg line: -167.8 / 152.4 on / against: +$523 / -$603 ROI: +14.7% / -28.7%
    Angels won last 6/7 at Home vs the A's.

    Angels vs Righties L2 Seasons = 58-71 (ROI = -6.7%) (Under ROI = +0.4%)

    ------------------

    Yankees at Red Sox

    Yankees are batting .301 with 8 HR's in 136 AB's vs Porcello.
    Luis Severino: Yankees 3-12 SU his L15 starts.
    Luis Severino: Yankees 1-6 SU when he starts in April.
    Luis Severino: Yankees 0-3 SU when he starts vs the Red Sox.
    Yankees vs Righties L2 Seasons = 66-56 (ROI = +3.1%) (Under ROI = +5.4%)

    Rick Porcello: Red Sox 13-3 SU when he starts after he lost his last start since 06/26/15.
    Rick Porcello: Red Sox have won 5 of last 6 and 7/10 overall when he starts vs the Yankees at Home.
    Red Sox have won 4 in row at Home vs the Yankees and 8/10.
    Red Sox vs Righties L2 Seasons = 80-59 (ROI = +0.3%) (Under ROI = -2.4%)

    -------------------

    Padres at Diamondbacks

    Clayton Richard
    : Padres are 10-4 SU vs the D-backs when he starts.
    Padres vs Lefties L2 Seasons = 23-25 (ROI = +13.6%) (Under ROI = -1.4%)

    D-backs are batting .325 in 83 AB's vs Richard.
    Patrick Corbin: D-backs 1-10 SU in his last 11 starts.
    Patrick Corbin: D-backs 0-5 SU after they lost in the previous 5 starts by him.
    D-Backs vs Lefties L2 Seasons = 26-24 (ROI = +5.5%) (Over ROI = +13.5%)

    ----------------------

    Rays at Orioles


    Erasmo Ramirez, 11-2 team record when he starts on the road after they won in his last start, 6-0 after it was a Home win.
    The Rays are batting just .222 with 4 HR's in 90 AB's vs Miley.

    The Rays are 11-0 OVER as a road dog after a game as a road favorite in which they struck out at least ten times.
    team = Rays and AD and p:AF and p:SO >= 10 and date >= 20131004
    OU: 11-0-0 (3.41, 100.0%) avg total: 7.7 over / under: +$1,100 / -$1,192 ROI: +89.6% / -100.0%

    Rays vs Lefties L2 Seasons = 20-30 (ROI = -17.5%) (Over ROI = +3.2%)


    The Orioles are batting just .220 with 4 HR's in 132 AB's vs Ramirez.

    The Orioles are 0-14 OU and 12-2 SU as a home favorite of more than 135 after a game in which they hit at least one home run.
    team = Orioles and H and line<-135 and p:HR > 0 and date >= 20160600
    SU: 12-2 (2.36, 85.7%) avg line: -163.9 / 152.4 on / against: +$900 / -$920 ROI: +38.9% / -65.7%
    OU: 0-14-0 (-3.61, 0.0%) avg total: 9.4 over / under: -$1,545 / +$1,400 ROI: -100.0% / +91.2%

    Orioles vs Righties L2 Seasons = 72-52 (ROI = +13.1%) (Under ROI = +8.5%)

    -------------------

    Marlins at Phillies


    Marlins vs Righties L2 Seasons = 64-75 (ROI = -10.3%) (Over ROI = +1.6%)


    Phillies are batting .378 in 82 AB's vs Chen.

    Vince Velasquez: Phillies have lost 4 in a row, and 11 of last 12 when he starts.
    starter = Vince Velasquez and date>=20160719
    SU: 1-11 (-2.50, 8.3%) avg line: 115.8 / -127.3 on / against: -$1,089 / +$1,029 ROI: -83.1% / +63.8%

    Vince Velasquez: Phillies are 0-7 SU his last 7 home starts.
    starter = Vince Velasquez and H and date>=20160719
    SU: 0-7 (-3.57, 0.0%) avg line: 109.6 / -120.9 on / against: -$764 / +$724 ROI: -100.0% / +81.5%

    Phillies 17-5 SU & 14-6 RL at Home vs the Marlins when they start a lefty since 07/29/06.
    team=Phillies and H and o:STL and o:team=Marlins and date>=20060729
    SU: 17-5 (1.86, 77.3%) avg line: -131.2 / 118.2 on / against: +$1,021 / -$1,139 ROI: +34.1% / -48.4%
    RL: 14-6 (1.00, 70.0%) avg line: 105.7 / -118.8 on / against: +$1,082 / -$1,223 ROI: +45.6% / -46.0%

    The Phillies are 15-0 OVER when their line is within 25 cents of pick-em off a home game when their opponents starter has a strike-per-ball ratio greater than 2 on the season.
    team = Phillies and -125 <= line <= 125 and p:H and o:STDSSPB>2 and date >= 20130408
    OU: 15-0-0 (2.93, 100.0%) avg total: 7.6 over / under: +$1,500 / -$1,605 ROI: +88.2% / -100.0%
    Phillies vs Lefties L2 Seasons = 16-19 (ROI = +9.8%) (Under ROI = -4.6%)

    ----------------


    Mariners at Tigers


    Felix Hernandez
    : Mariners 6-1 SU on the Road when he starts after they won at Home in his last start.

    Mariners vs Righties L2 Seasons = 66-49 (ROI = +7.0%) (Over ROI = -2.0%)

    Jordan Zimmermann: Tigers lost 5 of his last 6 starts.Tigers have won 4 in a row at Home vs the Mariners, 6 in a row at Home after their last game was on the road.

    Tigers vs Righties L2 Seasons = 67-60 (ROI = +5.9%) (Over ROI = +6.8%)

    -------------------------

    Blue Jays at Cardinals


    Marco Estrada: Blue Jays have lost 5 out of last 6 starts by him.
    Marco Estrada: Teams are 14-5 SU when he starts on the road after they lost in his last start at Home.
    Blue Jays vs Righties L2 Seasons = 70-65 (ROI = -8.3%) (Under ROI = +8.6%)

    Cardinals are batting .342 in 73 AB's vs Estrada.
    Michael Wacha: Cardinals have won 7 out of 8 when he has started.
    Cardinals vs Righties L2 Seasons = 71-58 (ROI = +1.0%) (Under ROI = -4.1%)

    -------------------

    Royals at White Sox

    Danny Duffy
    : Royals have won the last 5 times he started vs the White Sox and 10/13 overall when he has started.

    The Royals are 20-6 SU since July 5th, 2015 when Danny Duffy is a favorite, lost 5 of last 7 though.
    starter = Danny Duffy and F and date>= 20150705
    SU: 20-6 (1.54, 76.9%) avg line: -136.9 / 126.6 on / against: +$1,151 / -$1,214 ROI: +32.3% / -46.6%

    Royals vs Righties L2 Seasons = 64-66 (ROI = -1.6%) (Under ROI = +8.8%)


    White Sox 6-15 SU vs Royals L21 meetings. 11-27 at Home vs Royals since 4/4/2013, 10-20 at Home since 2014.

    Applies to White Sox
    (p:margin = Maximum(margin@date)[date-1] and p:date=date-1 and p:margin>1 and SG<4 and conference=AL and op:runs<8 and line<200) and (p:BL = Maximum(BL@date)[date-1] and p:date=date-1 and p:margin>1 and SG<4 and conference=AL and op:runs<8 and line<200)
    SU: 526-364 (0.85, 59.1%) avg line: -120.9 / 108.1 on / against: +$12,288 / -$16,543 ROI: +10.5% / -16.2%

    White Sox vs Lefties L2 Seasons = 24-19 (ROI = +13.1%) (Under ROI = -5.1%)

    -----------------------

    Cubs at Pirates

    Kyle Kendricks: Cubs are 12-3 SU when he starts on the Road after he they won in his last start, since 08/01/15.
    Kyle Kendricks: Cubs have won 5 out last 6 of his starts vs the Pirates.
    Cubs 7-2 as AF this season. 66% in 2016, 73% in 2015, and have been even better in that 3 season span inside their division at 73% avg WP%.
    Cubs vs Righties L2 Seasons = 87-51 (ROI = +0.4%) (Over ROI = -1.8%)

    Gerrit Cole: Pirates are 2-8 SU his L10 starts after they lost his last start.

    The Pirates are 11-0-1 OVER (4.95 ppg) as a home dog when playing a team that has a better record since Jun 26, 2016.
    team=Pirates and HD and WP < o:WP and date>=20160626
    OU: 11-0-1 (5.25, 100.0%) avg total: 8.0 over / under: +$1,100 / -$1,190 ROI: +81.5% / -91.9%

    Pirates vs Righties L2 Seasons = 63-79 (ROI = -14.8%) (Over ROI = +2.6%)

    ---------------------

    Dodgers at Giants

    Clayton Kershaw: Dodgers lost 4 of last 5 times he started on the Road after winning his last start at Home.
    Clayton Kershaw: Dodgers won 6 of last 7 times he started vs the Giants.

    The Dodgers are 34-5 SU as a 135+ favorite when seeking immediate revenge for a loss in which they had 6 or fewer hits.
    team = Dodgers and line<=-135 and p:hits <= 6 and p:L and SG > 1 and date >= 20140720
    SU: 34-5 (1.92, 87.2%) avg line: -187.7 / 171.3 on / against: +$2,512 / -$2,575 ROI: +34.5% / -66.0%

    Dodgers vs Lefties L2 Seasons = 25-33 (ROI = -20.7%) (Under ROI = +8.9%)


    The Giants are batting just .160 with 2 HR's in 356 AB's vs Kershaw.
    Giants have won 6 in a row at Home vs the Dodgers, 17-4 at Home vs Dodgers since 2015.
    Giants vs Lefties L2 Seasons = 33-26 (ROI = +9.8%) (Under ROI = -0.6%)

    --------------------

    Reds at Brewers

    Reds vs Righties L2 Seasons = 62-78 (ROI = -1.0%) (Over ROI = +8.5%)


    The Brewers are 3-14 SU & 1-16 RL since June 26th, 2013 as a favorite after a 4+ run win after a home game and it is not the first game of a series.
    team=Brewers and F and p:margin>=4 and p:H and SG>1 and date>=20130626
    SU: 3-14 (-2.88, 17.6%) avg line: -133.0 / 123.0 on / against: -$1,552 / +$1,415 ROI: -68.4% / +83.1%
    RL: 1-16 (-4.38, 5.9%) avg line: 161.4 / -176.1 on / against: -$1,423 / +$1,407 ROI: -83.7% / +47.0%

    Brewers vs Righties L2 Seasons = 49-75 (ROI = -12.5%) (Under ROI = +4.7%)

    -------------------

    Braves at Mets

    Julio Teheran: Braves are 3-14 SU when he starts after a loss at Home his last start since 06/16/15.
    starter = Julio Teheran and s:HL and date>=20150616
    SU: 3-14 (-2.12, 17.6%) avg line: 142.2 / -154.1 on / against: -$986 / +$926 ROI: -56.4% / +34.6%

    Julio Teheran: Braves are 1-10 SU in April when he starts since 04/23/15.
    starter = Julio Teheran and month=4 and date>=20150423
    SU: 1-10 (-3.27, 9.1%) avg line: 128.3 / -139.5 on / against: -$915 / +$905 ROI: -79.2% / +57.3%

    Braves vs Righties L2 Seasons = 57-70 (ROI = +6.7%) (Over ROI = +2.9%)


    The Mets are batting just .181 with 4 HR's vs Teheran.
    Robert Gsellman: Mets won 4 of last 5 of his starts.
    Mets 2-7 L9 Home games vs Braves.
    Mets vs Righties L2 Seasons = 74-61 (ROI = -4.7%) (Under ROI = +3.9%)

    ------------------

    Astros at Indians

    Dallas Keuchel
    : Astros 17-5 SU and 15-6 RL when he starts after they won his previous 2 starts, since 09/07/14.
    Astros vs Righties L2 Seasons = 64-53 (ROI = +2.0%) (Under ROI = +5.0%)

    Indians are batting .320 in 97 AB's vs Keuchel.
    Indians vs Lefties L2 Seasons = 36-25 (ROI = +3.3%) (Under ROI = +5.6%)

  16. #86
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    Quote Originally Posted by FUqer View Post
    Tuesday 4/25

    --> Nationals -116
    --> Rangers -103
    --> Mariners -125

    --> Royals/White Sox Under 8 +100
    --> Padres/D-back Over 9.5 -105
    _________________________
    Added Mariners and two totals.

  17. #87
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    Quote Originally Posted by FUqer View Post
    Tuesday 4/25

    --> Nationals -116
    --> Rangers -103
    --> Mariners -125
    --> Royals -117
    --> Angels -124

    --> Royals/White Sox Under 8 +100
    --> Padres/D-backs Over 9.5 -105
    --> Rays/Orioles Under 8 -110
    _________________________
    Added Royals , Angels and Rays/Orioles Under.

  18. #88
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    The Rays are 0-11 SU since Apr 15, 2016 as a dog vs a lefty after facing three straight righties.

    team=Rays and D and o:STL and po:STR and ppo:STR and pppo:STR and date>=20160415
    SU: 0-11 (-2.27, 0.0%) avg line: 129.0 / -135.5 on / against: -$1,100 / +$1,100 ROI: -100.0% / +74.8%

    -----------------------------------
    The Royals are 12-0-2 OU (3.00 ppg) in not the first game of a series as a favorite off a road game in which they had more strikeouts than hits - since Aug 17, 2014.

    team=Royals and F and p:A and SG > 1 and p:SO > p:hits and date>=20140817
    OU: 12-0-2 (3.00, 100.0%) avg total: 8.1 over / under: +$1,200 / -$1,307 ROI: +77.3% / -85.3%

    -------------------------------
    The Padres are 0-12-1 OU (-3.50 ppg) on the road after Wil Myers hit a home run - since Apr 10, 2016.

    team=Padres and A and Padres:Wil Myers:HR>0 and date>=20160410
    OU: 0-12-1 (-3.50, 0.0%) avg total: 9.9 over / under: -$1,298 / +$1,200 ROI: -91.9% / +82.9%

    -------------------------------
    The Pirates are 9-0 Over L9 times they faced the Cubs as a Home dog.

    team=Pirates and HD and o:team=Cubs and date>=20160503

    OU: 9-0-0 (4.17, 100.0%) avg total: 8.1 over / under: +$900 / -$1,005 ROI: +92.3% / -100.0%

    ---------------------------

    The Orioles are 14-0 UNDER and 12-2 SU as a home favorite of more than 135 after a game in which they hit at least one home run.

    team = Orioles and H and line<-135 and p:HR > 0 and date >= 20160600
    OU: 0-14-0 (-3.61, 0.0%) avg total: 9.4 over / under: -$1,545 / +$1,400 ROI: -100.0% / +91.2%

    --------------------------
    The Rays are 11-0 OVER as a road dog after a game as a road favorite in which they struck out at least ten times.

    team = Rays and AD and p:AF and p:SO >= 10 and date >= 20131004
    OU: 11-0-0 (3.41, 100.0%) avg total: 7.7 over / under: +$1,100 / -$1,192 ROI: +89.6% / -100.0%
    -------------------------
    The Phillies are 15-0 OVER when their line is within 25 cents of pick-em off a home game when their opponents starter has a strike-per-ball ratio greater than 2 on the season.

    team = Phillies and -125 <= line <= 125 and p:H and o:STDSSPB>2 and date >= 20130408
    OU: 15-0-0 (2.93, 100.0%) avg total: 7.6 over / under: +$1,500 / -$1,605 ROI: +88.2% / -100.0%
    ------------------------
    The Pirates are 11-0-1 OVER as a home dog when playing a team that has a better record since Jun 26, 2016.

    team=Pirates and HD and WP < o:WP and date>=20160626

    OU: 11-0-1 (5.25, 100.0%) avg total: 8.0 over / under: +$1,100 / -$1,190 ROI: +81.5% / -91.9%
    Last edited by FUqer; 04-25-17 at 02:57 PM.

  19. #89
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    All Leans 4/25

    SU = 3-2 (Total 25-11)
    OU = 3-2 (Total 11-11)

    ----------------------------
    Rangers
    Nationals
    Mariners
    Angels
    Royals
    Dodgers
    Cardinals

    Royals/White Sox Under 8
    Padres/D-backs Over 9.5
    Rays/Orioles Under 8
    Cubs/Pirates Over 7.5
    Blue Jays/Cardinals Under 7.5

  20. #90
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    ___________________________________
    Losing Streaks

    Braves -6 Road Dog (ROI +3.5%)
    Mets -4 Home Fav (ROI -0.8%) Mets 1-16 RL in spot
    Padres -3 Road Dog (ROI -3.2%) Padres lost 7/8 in spot

    Royals -5 Road Fav (ROI +7.7%)

    streak=-5 and AF
    SU: 60-39 (1.38, 60.6%) avg line: -130.4 / 120.1 on / against: +$990 / -$1,380 ROI: +7.7% / -13.9%


    ____________________________

    Winning Streaks

    Phillies +4 Home Fav (ROI -2.7%) Phillies 19-10 in spot
    Cardinals +3 Home Fav (ROI -1.3%) Cardinals 11-1 L12 in spot

    Rockies +4 Home Dog (ROI -15.6%) Rockies 1-5 in spot

    streak=4 and HD
    SU: 105-168 (-1.16, 38.5%) avg line: 122.5 / -133.4 on / against: -$4,257 / +$3,156 ROI: -15.6% / +8.7%

    _____________________________

  21. #91
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    Early leans for Wednesday 4/25
    -------------------------------------
    Giants -125 vs Dodgers
    Astros -111 at Indians
    Tigers +103 vs Mariners
    Royals +126 at White Sox

  22. #92
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    Wednesday 4/25

    --> Giants +110
    --> Royals +135
    --> Tigers +130
    --> Orioles -1 -105
    --> Astros -102
    --> Rockies -105

    --> Royals/White Sox Under 8 +100
    --> Mariners/Tigers Under 8 +100
    --> Twins/Rangers Over 9 +100
    --> Astros/Indians Under 9 -115
    ---------------------------

    Yesterday


    MLB = 4-4 = -45


    Total


    MLB = 32-35 -351
    NHL = 13-5 +801
    -------------------------

    I felt lucky to escape at 4-4 tonight after starting the night out 1-4. I think I've been spending to much time on posting information and it has taken some time away from analyzing, so I need to cut back a bit.

    I'm taking a look at at the Home teams in NHL tonight.

    -------------------------
    Last edited by FUqer; 04-26-17 at 01:57 PM.

  23. #93
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    All Leans 4/26

    SU = Yesterday 3-4 (Total 28-15)
    OU = Yesterday 2-3 (Total 13-14)

    Giants
    Tigers
    Rockies
    Royals
    Astros
    Cubs
    Orioles
    Cardinals
    Brewers
    Phillies
    Mets
    Padres
    Red Sox
    Twins
    Angels

    Padres/D-backs Over 9.5
    Reds/Brewers Over 9
    Cubs/Pirates Over 8
    Rays/Orioles Under 8
    Yankees/Red Sox Under 7.5
    Athletics/Angels Under 8
    Marlins/Phillies Over 8
    Nationals/Rockies Under 11.5
    Dodgers/Giants Over 7
    Royals/White Sox Under 8
    Astros/Indians Under 8.5
    Braves/Mets Under 6.5
    Mariners/Tigers Under 8.5
    Twins/Rangers Over 9
    Blue Jays/Cardinals Under 8
    Last edited by FUqer; 04-26-17 at 03:37 PM. Reason: Changed Red to Brewers, Royals Over to Under, Rangers Under to Over: Edit 4:37 PM -> Changed Yankees Over to Under

  24. #94
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    SDQL 4/26

    The Orioles are 19-0 SU at home as a favorite after a home loss in which they did not score after the third inning.
    team = Orioles and HF and p:HL and p:S3 = p:runs and date >= 20120926
    SU: 19-0 (3.11, 100.0%) avg line: -147.3 / 134.1 on / against: +$1,900 / -$1,900 ROI: +67.6% / -100.0%


    The Orioles are 11-0 SU since Sep 26, 2012 as a home favorite off a home game in which they were shutout.
    team = Orioles and HF and p:H and p:runs = 0 and date >= 20120926
    SU: 11-0 (2.82, 100.0%) avg line: -154.0 / 139.0 on / against: +$1,100 / -$1,100 ROI: +64.3% / -100.0%


    The Orioles are 24-1 SU since Aug 07, 2012 as a home favorite off a home game in which they did not score after the third inning.
    team = Orioles and HF and p:H and p:S3 = p:runs and date >= 20120807
    SU: 24-1 (2.92, 96.0%) avg line: -144.2 / 131.7 on / against: +$2,274 / -$2,284 ROI: +62.9% / -91.4%


    The Orioles are 18-3 SU since May 22, 2015 after a game as a home favorite in which they allowed 5+ walks.
    team = Orioles and p:HF and 5 <= po:walks and date >= 20150522
    SU: 18-3 (2.10, 85.7%) avg line: -117.4 / 107.2 on / against: +$1,577 / -$1,631 ROI: +61.5% / -71.4%


    The White Sox are 0-23 OU in franchise history with Jose Quintana when their line is from a 165 favorite through a 120 underdog when he gave up six or fewer hits in his last start and they lost.
    team = White Sox and starter = Jose Quintana and -165<=line<=120 and s:L and s:SHA<=6
    OU: 0-23-0 (-2.98, 0.0%) avg total: 8.2 over / under: -$2,510 / +$2,305 ROI: -100.0% / +90.0%


    The White Sox are 13-0 OU as a favorite off a game as a dog in which they held a multiple-run lead and it is not a series opener.
    team = White Sox and SG > 1 and F and p and p:BL > 1 and date >= 20150718
    OU: 13-0-0 (5.77, 100.0%) avg total: 8.1 over / under: +$1,305 / -$1,485 ROI: +94.6% / -100.0%


    The Phillies are 15-0 OU when their line is within 25 cents of pick-em off a home game when their opponents starter has a strike-per-ball ratio greater than 2 on the season
    team = Phillies and -125 <= line <= 125 and p:H and o:STDSSPB>2 and date >= 20130408
    OU: 15-0-0 (2.93, 100.0%) avg total: 7.6 over / under: +$1,500 / -$1,605 ROI: +88.2% / -100.0%


    The Twins are 11-0 OU on the road when they won their last two games and the opponent lost their last two games.
    team = Twins and A and p:W and p2:W and op:L and op2:L and date >= 20150826
    OU: 11-0-0 (2.64, 100.0%) avg total: 8.3 over / under: +$1,105 / -$1,220 ROI: +91.5% / -100.0%


    The Pirates are 2-20 SU off a one-run loss as a dog.
    team = Pirates and p and p:margin = -1 and date >= 20140816
    SU: 2-20 (-2.18, 9.1%) avg line: 119.3 / -130.6 on / against: -$1,923 / +$1,850 ROI: -80.5% / +62.3%


    The Angels are 19-2 SU since September 25th, 2013 as a favorite after a win in which they left fewer than 10 men on base and it is not the first game of a series.
    team=Angels and F and p:LOB<10 and p:W and SG>1 and date>=20130925
    SU: 19-2 (2.52, 90.5%) avg line: -138.6 / 128.5 on / against: +$1,641 / -$1,663 ROI: +56.4% / -79.1%


    The Cubs are 15-1 OU as a road favorite after a game as a road favorite in which they had more strikeouts than hits.
    team = Cubs and SG > 1 and A and F and p:A and p:F and p:SO > p:hits and date >= 20160608
    OU: 15-1-0 (4.31, 93.8%) avg total: 7.9 over / under: +$1,395 / -$1,560 ROI: +78.4% / -88.1%


    The Pirates are 11-1-1 OU as a home dog when playing a team that has a better record since Jun 26, 2016.
    team=Pirates and HD and WP < o:WP and date>=20160626
    OU: 11-1-1 (4.35, 91.7%) avg total: 8.0 over / under: +$988 / -$1,090 ROI: +67.6% / -77.7%


    The Athletics are 1-13 O/U since May 07, 2014 in not the first game of a series off a game as a dog in which they played extra innings.
    team = Athletics and p and p:X and SG > 1 and date >= 20140507
    OU: 1-13-0 (-1.86, 7.1%) avg total: 7.9 over / under: -$1,325 / +$1,185 ROI: -86.9% / +76.0%


    The Nationals are 17-4 OU since April 14th 2015 when their line is within 20 cents of pickem after allowing 6+ runs on the road.
    team = Nationals and -120 <= line <= 120 and 6 <= po:runs and p:A and date >= 20150414
    OU: 17-4-0 (4.90, 81.0%) avg total: 7.9 over / under: +$1,285 / -$1,440 ROI: +55.1% / -62.5%


    Applies to Brewers
    SU: 952-567 (0.84, 62.7%) avg line: -134.1 / 121.0 on / against: +$25,593 / -$32,531 ROI: +12.0% / -19.6%

  25. #95
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    updated plays with Orioles -1

  26. #96
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    Quote Originally Posted by FUqer View Post
    Wednesday 4/25

    --> Giants +110
    --> Royals +135
    --> Tigers +130
    --> Orioles -1 -105
    --> Astros -102
    --> Rockies -105

    --> Royals/White Sox Under 8 +100
    --> Mariners/Tigers Under 8 +100
    --> Twins/Rangers Over 9 +100
    --> Astros/Indians Under 9 -115

    --> St. Louis Blues
    --> Anaheim Ducks
    ---------------------------
    Card completed.

  27. #97
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    do you put 1 unit on each or do you ever vary your bets based on data/confidence? Maybe you posted the answer to this in another earlier thread and I didn't see. Keep up the great work, I read it daily. Thanks! BOL

  28. #98
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    Quote Originally Posted by Frosty View Post
    do you put 1 unit on each or do you ever vary your bets based on data/confidence? Maybe you posted the answer to this in another earlier thread and I didn't see. Keep up the great work, I read it daily. Thanks! BOL
    same % on each.

  29. #99
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    Thanks. BOL

  30. #100
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    Thursday 4/27

    --> Giants +115
    --> Athletics +119
    --> Astros +160
    _________________________
    Yesterday

    MLB = 3-5-2 = -212
    NHL = 0-2 = -240

    Total

    MLB = 35-40 -563
    NHL = 13-7 +561
    -------------------------
    All Leans 4/27


    SU = Yesterday 6-8 (Total 34-23)
    OU = Yesterday 8-5-1 (Total 21-19)

    SDQL = Yesterday 12-2

    -------------------------

    Giants
    Athletics
    Astros
    Cardinals
    Blue Jays
    Red Sox
    Marlins
    D-Backs
    Rockies


    Mariners/Tigers Under 8.5
    Athletics/Angels Under 8
    Astros/Indians Over 8.5 (Changed at 5:50 PM from Under)
    Dodger/Giants Over 7.5
    Nationals/Rockies Under 11
    Padres/D-Backs Over 10.5
    Marlins/Phillies Over 8.5
    Yankees/Red Sox Under 7.5
    Blue Jays/Cards Over 8 Game #1
    Blue Jays/Cards Under 8.5 Game #2


    Rangers/Senators Under 5
    __________________________________

    SDQL

    The Yankees are 0-12 SU as a 125+ dog after they had five or fewer hits

    team=Yankees and line>=125 and p:hits<=5 and date>=20130800

    SU: 0-12 (-3.25, 0.0%) avg line: 155.8 / -167.4 on / against: -$1,200 / +$1,200 ROI: -100.0% / +60.0%
    RL: 2-10 (-1.75, 16.7%) avg line: -135.1 / 124.1 on / against: -$1,087 / +$982 ROI: -67.1% / +81.8%


    The Marlins are 16-0 RL as a dog after a game as a road favorite in which they allowed six-plus runs and it is not a series opener.


    team = Marlins and SG > 1 and D and p:A and p:F and 6 <= po:runs and date >= 20090805


    SU: 11-5 (1.25, 68.8%) avg line: 115.6 / -125.6 on / against: +$761 / -$873 ROI: +47.5% / -43.1%
    RL: 16-0 (2.75, 100.0%) avg line: -184.4 / 168.8 on / against: +$1,600 / -$1,600 ROI: +54.2% / -100.0%

    --------------

    Applies to D-Backs and Indians


    SU: 953-567 (0.84, 62.7%) avg line: -134.1 / 121.0 on / against: +$25,693 / -$32,631 ROI: +12.0% / -19.6%
    Last edited by FUqer; 04-27-17 at 04:50 PM. Reason: Edit: 1-> 12:32 AM: Added Astros. Edit:2-> 3:17AM Phillies Canceled. Edit:3-> 6:05 AM Added Leans for all games & SDQL.

  31. #101
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    Quote Originally Posted by FUqer View Post
    SDQL 4/26

    The Orioles are 19-0 SU at home as a favorite after a home loss in which they did not score after the third inning.
    team = Orioles and HF and p:HL and p:S3 = p:runs and date >= 20120926
    SU: 19-0 (3.11, 100.0%) avg line: -147.3 / 134.1 on / against: +$1,900 / -$1,900 ROI: +67.6% / -100.0%


    The Orioles are 11-0 SU since Sep 26, 2012 as a home favorite off a home game in which they were shutout.
    team = Orioles and HF and p:H and p:runs = 0 and date >= 20120926
    SU: 11-0 (2.82, 100.0%) avg line: -154.0 / 139.0 on / against: +$1,100 / -$1,100 ROI: +64.3% / -100.0%


    The Orioles are 24-1 SU since Aug 07, 2012 as a home favorite off a home game in which they did not score after the third inning.
    team = Orioles and HF and p:H and p:S3 = p:runs and date >= 20120807
    SU: 24-1 (2.92, 96.0%) avg line: -144.2 / 131.7 on / against: +$2,274 / -$2,284 ROI: +62.9% / -91.4%


    The Orioles are 18-3 SU since May 22, 2015 after a game as a home favorite in which they allowed 5+ walks.
    team = Orioles and p:HF and 5 <= po:walks and date >= 20150522
    SU: 18-3 (2.10, 85.7%) avg line: -117.4 / 107.2 on / against: +$1,577 / -$1,631 ROI: +61.5% / -71.4%


    The White Sox are 0-23 OU in franchise history with Jose Quintana when their line is from a 165 favorite through a 120 underdog when he gave up six or fewer hits in his last start and they lost.
    team = White Sox and starter = Jose Quintana and -165<=line<=120 and s:L and s:SHA<=6
    OU: 0-23-0 (-2.98, 0.0%) avg total: 8.2 over / under: -$2,510 / +$2,305 ROI: -100.0% / +90.0%


    The White Sox are 13-0 OU as a favorite off a game as a dog in which they held a multiple-run lead and it is not a series opener.
    team = White Sox and SG > 1 and F and p and p:BL > 1 and date >= 20150718
    OU: 13-0-0 (5.77, 100.0%) avg total: 8.1 over / under: +$1,305 / -$1,485 ROI: +94.6% / -100.0%


    The Phillies are 15-0 OU when their line is within 25 cents of pick-em off a home game when their opponents starter has a strike-per-ball ratio greater than 2 on the season
    team = Phillies and -125 <= line <= 125 and p:H and o:STDSSPB>2 and date >= 20130408
    OU: 15-0-0 (2.93, 100.0%) avg total: 7.6 over / under: +$1,500 / -$1,605 ROI: +88.2% / -100.0%


    The Twins are 11-0 OU on the road when they won their last two games and the opponent lost their last two games.
    team = Twins and A and p:W and p2:W and op:L and op2:L and date >= 20150826
    OU: 11-0-0 (2.64, 100.0%) avg total: 8.3 over / under: +$1,105 / -$1,220 ROI: +91.5% / -100.0%


    The Pirates are 2-20 SU off a one-run loss as a dog.
    team = Pirates and p and p:margin = -1 and date >= 20140816
    SU: 2-20 (-2.18, 9.1%) avg line: 119.3 / -130.6 on / against: -$1,923 / +$1,850 ROI: -80.5% / +62.3%


    The Angels are 19-2 SU since September 25th, 2013 as a favorite after a win in which they left fewer than 10 men on base and it is not the first game of a series.
    team=Angels and F and p:LOB<10 and p:W and SG>1 and date>=20130925
    SU: 19-2 (2.52, 90.5%) avg line: -138.6 / 128.5 on / against: +$1,641 / -$1,663 ROI: +56.4% / -79.1%


    The Cubs are 15-1 OU as a road favorite after a game as a road favorite in which they had more strikeouts than hits.
    team = Cubs and SG > 1 and A and F and p:A and p:F and p:SO > p:hits and date >= 20160608
    OU: 15-1-0 (4.31, 93.8%) avg total: 7.9 over / under: +$1,395 / -$1,560 ROI: +78.4% / -88.1%


    The Pirates are 11-1-1 OU as a home dog when playing a team that has a better record since Jun 26, 2016.
    team=Pirates and HD and WP < o:WP and date>=20160626
    OU: 11-1-1 (4.35, 91.7%) avg total: 8.0 over / under: +$988 / -$1,090 ROI: +67.6% / -77.7%


    The Athletics are 1-13 O/U since May 07, 2014 in not the first game of a series off a game as a dog in which they played extra innings.
    team = Athletics and p and p:X and SG > 1 and date >= 20140507
    OU: 1-13-0 (-1.86, 7.1%) avg total: 7.9 over / under: -$1,325 / +$1,185 ROI: -86.9% / +76.0%


    The Nationals are 17-4 OU since April 14th 2015 when their line is within 20 cents of pickem after allowing 6+ runs on the road.
    team = Nationals and -120 <= line <= 120 and 6 <= po:runs and p:A and date >= 20150414
    OU: 17-4-0 (4.90, 81.0%) avg total: 7.9 over / under: +$1,285 / -$1,440 ROI: +55.1% / -62.5%


    Applies to Brewers
    SU: 952-567 (0.84, 62.7%) avg line: -134.1 / 121.0 on / against: +$25,593 / -$32,531 ROI: +12.0% / -19.6%
    I should of leaned more heavily on SDQL tonight. 3-5-2 in MLB for me, I apologize for the forced NHL plays tonight also, I will be very selective the remainder of the NHL playoffs, I've lost 3 in a row to fall to 13-7, worst playoffs for me now in my 3 years of betting, I still can't complain though.

  32. #102
    kilopro
    kilopro's Avatar Become A Pro!
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    3 years of betting?? Man in a relatively short amount of time you are doing good work with a solid analytical approach. Tomorrow is another day.

  33. #103
    FUqer
    FUqer's Avatar Become A Pro!
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    The Astros are 11-0-1 OU in the last game of a series as a dog after they allowed 6+ runs since Jul 24, 2014.

    team=Astros and D and LGS and 6 <= po:runs and date>=20140714

    OU: 11-0-1 (2.96, 100.0%) avg total: 8.2 over / under: +$1,100 / -$1,190 ROI: +82.7% / -90.2%


    The Indians are 10-0 since Jun 22, 2013 when Corey Kluber starts as a home favorite when they won in his last start in which he had a WHIP of less than 1.

    team=Indians and HF and starter=Corey Kluber and s:W and s:SWHIP < 1 and date>=20130622

    SU: 10-0 (4.00, 100.0%) avg line: -171.7 / 154.9 on / against: +$1,000 / -$1,000 ROI: +57.8% / -100.0%
    RL: 7-3 (2.50, 70.0%) avg line: 129.1 / -141.0 on / against: +$532 / -$593 ROI: +52.3% / -42.1%
    OU: 8-2-0 (2.65, 80.0%) avg total: 7.5 over / under: +$585 / -$670 ROI: +52.9% / -61.2%

  34. #104
    FUqer
    FUqer's Avatar Become A Pro!
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    Quote Originally Posted by FUqer View Post
    Thursday 4/27

    --> Giants +115
    --> Athletics +119
    --> Astros +160

    --> Astros/Indians Over 8.5
    _________________________
    Added Astros/Indians Over

  35. #105
    FUqer
    FUqer's Avatar Become A Pro!
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    Friday 4/28

    --> Cubs RL +135
    --> Marlins RL +190
    --> Angels RL +145
    --> Brewers RL +155
    --> Cardinals RL +145
    --> Rockies +144
    --> Padres +160

    --> Rays/Blue Jays Under 8.5 -117
    --> Rockies/D-backs Over 9 -115
    _________________________
    I gotta switch it up a bit after I keep getting close to even, only to fall back down again. Hasn't even been 3 weeks into the season yet for me, still trying to get into a rhythm. Hopefully people are mostly just checking this thread for the SDQL right now until I get going.

    -----------------------------------
    Yesterday

    MLB = 0-4 = -410

    Total

    MLB = 35-44 -976
    NHL = 13-7 +561
    -------------------------

    All Leans 4/28

    SU = Yesterday 3-7 (Total 37-30)
    OU = Yesterday 4-6 (Total 25-25)
    SDQL = Yesterday 4-2 (Total 16-4)

    ----------------------------------

    Brewers
    Padres
    Cardinals
    Marlins
    Angels
    Rockies
    Cubs
    Tigers
    Dodgers
    Astros
    Blue Jays
    Orioles
    Twins
    Indians
    Nationals

    Rockies/D-backs Over 9
    Rays/Blue Jays Under 8.5
    Twins/Royals Under 8.5
    Braves/Brewers Over 8.5
    Mariners/Indians Over 8.5
    Padres/Giants Under 8
    Pirates/Marlins Over 7.5
    Cubs/Red Sox Under 8.5
    Rangers/Angels Over 9.5
    Orioles/Yankees Under 9
    Mets/National Under 7
    White Sox/Tigers Over 9
    Red/Cardinals Over 8
    Phillies/Dodgers Over 8
    Athletics/Astros Under 8.5
    __________________________________

    SDQL

    The Cardinals are 18-0 SU in the first game of a home series as a favorite by more than 130 after playing as a home favorite when facing a team that has lost at least their last three games.

    team = Cardinals and FGS and H and line<-130 and p:HF and o:streak <= -3

    SU: 18-0 (4.67, 100.0%) avg line: -185.4 / 166.8 on / against: +$1,800 / -$1,800 ROI: +53.3% / -100.0%

    --------------------
    The Tigers are 17-0 SU as a home favorite in the first game of a series off a home game when playing a team that has a better record.

    team = Tigers and FGS and H and F and p:H and WP < o:WP and date >= 20120619

    SU: 17-0 (3.59, 100.0%) avg line: -142.6 / 132.3 on / against: +$1,700 / -$1,700 ROI: +70.1% / -100.0%
    --------------------
    The Pirates are 0-17 SU since Sep 15, 2008 in the first game of a series after a game as a home dog in which they had multiple multiple-run innings.

    team = Pirates and p:HD and p:MRI > 1 and SG = 1 and date >= 20080915

    SU: 0-17 (-4.18, 0.0%) avg line: 132.9 / -147.3 on / against: -$1,711 / +$1,700 ROI: -100.0% / +66.7%
    --------------------
    The Angels are 12-0 SU & RL on the road after a game as a home favorite in which they did not score after the third inning.

    team = Angels and A and p:HF and p:S3 = p:runs and date >= 20070629

    SU: 12-0 (4.33, 100.0%) avg line: -105.0 / -108.1 on / against: +$1,402 / -$1,492 ROI: +96.6% / -100.0%
    RL: 12-0 (4.08, 100.0%) avg line: -106.5 / -107.5 on / against: +$1,398 / -$1,494 ROI: +94.7% / -100.0%
    --------------------
    Cubs 10-0 SU since 09/09/16 on the road after a road loss.

    team=Cubs and A and p:AL and date>=20160909

    SU: 10-0 (4.18, 100.0%) avg line: -144.8 / 132.7 on / against: +$1,121 / -$1,134 ROI: +68.2% / -100.0%
    RL: 8-2 (3.10, 80.0%) avg line: 116.6 / -127.5 on / against: +$777 / -$843 ROI: +72.8% / -63.8%
    --------------------
    The Diamondbacks are 0-14 RL as a favorite off a home win in which their opponent left fewer than ten men on base.

    team = Diamondbacks and F and po:LOB < 10 and p:HW and date >= 20130714

    RL: 0-14 (-3.14, 0.0%) avg line: 161.1 / -175.5 on / against: -$1,400 / +$1,400 ROI: -100.0% / +57.0%
    --------------------
    The Giants are 0-13 RL in the first game of a series as a home favorite off a home game in which they allowed 5-plus walks.

    team = Giants and FGS and H and F and p:H and 5 <= po:walks and date >= 20100827

    RL: 0-13 (-4.96, 0.0%) avg line: 162.5 / -177.4 on / against: -$1,300 / +$1,300 ROI: -100.0% / +56.4%
    --------------------
    The Mariners are 14-0 OU as a 170+ dog after a win in which they had 7 or fewer hits and 7 or fewer walks.

    team = Mariners and line>=170 and p:hits<=7 and p:W and p:walks<=7 and season >= 2007

    OU: 14-0-0 (4.43, 100.0%) avg total: 8.1 over / under: +$1,400 / -$1,550 ROI: +91.5% / -100.0%
    --------------------
    The Rays are 0-13 OU on the road after a game as a road dog in which they played extra innings.

    team = Rays and A and p:ADX and date >= 20100702

    OU: 0-13-0 (-4.04, 0.0%) avg total: 7.8 over / under: -$1,402 / +$1,300 ROI: -100.0% / +88.9%
    --------------------
    The Diamondback and Rockies have went OVER the last 11 meetings.

    team=Diamondbacks and o:team=Rockies and date>=20160511
    OU: 11-0-0 (5.14, 100.0%) avg total: 11.2 over / under: +$1,100 / -$1,178 ROI: +88.6% / -100.0%
    --------------
    The Mets are 1-17 SU since September 1st, 2013 as a dog of more than 130 after a game in which they had multiple multiple-run innings.

    team=Mets and line>130 and p:MRI>=2 and date>=20130900

    SU: 1-17 (-3.11, 5.6%) avg line: 155.8 / -168.5 on / against: -$1,520 / +$1,505 ROI: -84.4% / +49.4%
    Last edited by FUqer; 04-28-17 at 04:46 AM. Reason: changed a lean

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