1. #246
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by JassieJames View Post
    When are you going to consider the TT an official play, DD?
    At least 2 factors, a significant sample size and winning consistently.
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  2. #247
    JassieJames
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    Quote Originally Posted by doubledime View Post
    At least 2 factors, a significant sample size and winning consistently.
    Great, Thank you!!

  3. #248
    doubledime
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    Points Awarded:
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    Thanks JJ

  4. #249
    doubledime
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    Good morning,

    Reliever Plays:

    Yesterday: 2-1
    YTD: 17-16

    Regular Plays:

    Yesterday 0
    YTD: 0-5

    Team Totals:

    Yesterday: 0-4 (this is why we are just tracking these for now)
    YTD: 8-12

    Good luck

  5. #250
    doubledime
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    Good morning,

    The early Reliever Play for Saturday:

    Cubs/Reds over 7 - 7.5 (spiting it 1/2 and 1/2)

    Back later

    Good luck

  6. #251
    Raiderguy101
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    Quote Originally Posted by doubledime View Post
    Good morning,

    The early Reliever Play for Saturday:

    Cubs/Reds over 7 - 7.5 (spiting it 1/2 and 1/2)

    Back later

    Good luck
    How do you grade it then if you split it? Because you don't put the vig and seem to grade it all on an average juice.

    GL on the season and hope you catch a nice hot streak.

  7. #252
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by Raiderguy101 View Post
    How do you grade it then if you split it? Because you don't put the vig and seem to grade it all on an average juice.

    GL on the season and hope you catch a nice hot streak.
    For grading purposes I use the higher number since some people are unable to buy points.

  8. #253
    doubledime
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    Good afternoon,

    No Regular Plays:

    The Reliever Plays for Saturday:

    St. L/Milw over 9
    Tor/LAA over 8.5 (bought the 1/2 to -120)


    Team Totals:

    WSox under 3
    LAA over 4.5


    Good luck
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  9. #254
    doubledime
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    Good morning,

    Reliever Plays:

    Yesterday: 2-1
    YTD: 19-17

    Regular Plays:

    Yesterday 0
    YTD: 0-5

    Team Totals:

    Yesterday: 2-0
    YTD: 10-12

  10. #255
    doubledime
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    Points Awarded:
    PokeyAristocrat gave doubledime 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Thank you Pokey

  11. #256
    doubledime
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    Good morning,

    The Regular Play for Sunday:

    LAD/AZ over 9 -120 (be careful, we're 0-5 on regular plays )

    The Reliever Plays:

    Cubs/Reds over 9
    St. L/Milw over 8.5
    Det/Min over 8.5
    Seat/Oak over 8


    Team Totals:

    Cubs over 5
    Oak over 4


    Good luck
    Last edited by doubledime; 04-23-17 at 08:39 AM.
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    Fabiodog gave doubledime 25 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  12. #257
    Fabiodog
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    Even 8 on Oakland game?,thanks for all your work

  13. #258
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fabiodog View Post
    Even 8 on Oakland game?,thanks for all your work
    Not sure of your question

  14. #259
    Fabiodog
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    You did not put over or under

  15. #260
    juicername
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fabiodog View Post
    You did not put over or under
    Both bullpens have logged 11 innings L3 games so my bet would be over.

  16. #261
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fabiodog View Post
    You did not put over or under
    Over is the play. As the younger generation says...."My Bad" Fixed now, thanks and thanks juice

  17. #262
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by juicername View Post
    Both bullpens have logged 11 innings L3 games so my bet would be over.
    Juice is correct but here is some more info:


    Seattle Bullpen use:1 day: 2 pitchers, 72 pitches, 15 outs 3 days: 7 pitchers, 178 pitches, 34 outs
    Oakland Bullpen use:1 day: 4 pitchers, 48 pitches, 9 outs 3 days: 7 pitchers, 176 pitches, 33 outs

    Seattle Bullpen ERA 5.97
    Oakland Bullpen ERA 3.80

  18. #263
    juicername
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    Quote Originally Posted by doubledime View Post
    Juice is correct but here is some more info:


    Seattle Bullpen use:1 day: 2 pitchers, 72 pitches, 15 outs 3 days: 7 pitchers, 178 pitches, 34 outs
    Oakland Bullpen use:1 day: 4 pitchers, 48 pitches, 9 outs 3 days: 7 pitchers, 176 pitches, 33 outs

    Seattle Bullpen ERA 5.97
    Oakland Bullpen ERA 3.80


    Just curious; have you checked moneyline results for teams with rested bullpen vs. team with exhausted bullpen?

  19. #264
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by juicername View Post


    Just curious; have you checked moneyline results for teams with rested bullpen vs. team with exhausted bullpen?
    I have not. Giving it a quick look, today the biggest disparity is Washington and the Mets. Washington with the advantage in the bullpen.


  20. #265
    HeeluvaGuy
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    BOL today DD. I have been laying low and am off to a slow start (at least posting-wise) in MLB, but I have been following your thread. Now that we're close to a month in, I think things will pick up a bit.

    Time permitting, I'm going to try to figure out a way to qualify (as opposed to just quantify) bullpen usage. I'm a big believer in your reliever approach, but I think you would agree that not every reliever pitch has the same value.

    Along those lines, if anyone had a list of #1 setup guys and #1 closers by team I would appreciate you sharing.

  21. #266
    bballs84
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    Quote Originally Posted by doubledime View Post
    Juice is correct but here is some more info:


    Seattle Bullpen use:1 day: 2 pitchers, 72 pitches, 15 outs 3 days: 7 pitchers, 178 pitches, 34 outs
    Oakland Bullpen use:1 day: 4 pitchers, 48 pitches, 9 outs 3 days: 7 pitchers, 176 pitches, 33 outs

    Seattle Bullpen ERA 5.97
    Oakland Bullpen ERA 3.80
    These numbers a little deceiving no? As rested their top 3 in pen yesterday and still got W

  22. #267
    SpookyFellow
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    Yes

  23. #268
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by HeeluvaGuy View Post
    BOL today DD. I have been laying low and am off to a slow start (at least posting-wise) in MLB, but I have been following your thread. Now that we're close to a month in, I think things will pick up a bit.

    Time permitting, I'm going to try to figure out a way to qualify (as opposed to just quantify) bullpen usage. I'm a big believer in your reliever approach, but I think you would agree that not every reliever pitch has the same value.

    Along those lines, if anyone had a list of #1 setup guys and #1 closers by team I would appreciate you sharing.
    Thanks HG. As you know the Reliever Plays are just a one dimensional look at a game. Any input from you to be more targeted (therefore a higher winning percentage) would be greatly appreciated as always!!!

  24. #269
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by bballs84 View Post
    These numbers a little deceiving no? As rested their top 3 in pen yesterday and still got W
    Good information for sure BB, but there are are only so many hours in a day, and I do do have another life and have to use my limited time to look at stats with a "broad brush" approach with my Reliever Plays. However, I encourage anyone who can contribute this type of information, to do so. Our goal should always be to strive for more winning plays
    DD

  25. #270
    bballs84
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    No problem BOL Dime

  26. #271
    HeeluvaGuy
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    Quote Originally Posted by bballs84 View Post
    These numbers a little deceiving no? As rested their top 3 in pen yesterday and still got W
    This is one of the things I'm interested in looking into. The ultimate question is: Will it improve results? Logically it should, but it may require some subjective analysis, which poses its own challenges. As I understand DD's current approach, he had a threshold number of pitches that qualifies/disqualifies a play. If nothing else, that approach is easily measured.

  27. #272
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by HeeluvaGuy View Post
    This is one of the things I'm interested in looking into. The ultimate question is: Will it improve results? Logically it should, but it may require some subjective analysis, which poses its own challenges. As I understand DD's current approach, he had a threshold number of pitches that qualifies/disqualifies a play. If nothing else, that approach is easily measured.
    I look at number of pitches and the number of relievers used the last one day and last three days. Also, I look at the ERA of the bullpen and and rating of the closers. Finally, I look at the average pitch count of the starting pitcher which should be a factor on how early the relievers enter the game.

  28. #273
    Fabiodog
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    Awesome job today with the totals

  29. #274
    JassieJames
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    Clean Sweep???????

  30. #275
    doubledime
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    Fabiodog gave doubledime 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.
    Fabiodog gave doubledime 25 Betpoint(s) for this post.


    Thank you Fabio for the generous points, appreciate them.

  31. #276
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fabiodog View Post
    Awesome job today with the totals
    Wish we could have won the Regular Play
    Points Awarded:

    wlulaxer gave doubledime 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  32. #277
    wlulaxer
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    Thanks for posting DD, always enjoy the threads

  33. #278
    doubledime
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    Quote Originally Posted by wlulaxer View Post
    Thanks for posting DD, always enjoy the threads

    Thanks wlulaxer and thanks for the points.

  34. #279
    doubledime
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    Good morning,

    Reliever Plays:

    Yesterday: 4-0
    YTD: 23-17

    Regular Plays:

    Yesterday 0-1
    YTD: 0-6

    Team Totals:

    Yesterday: 0-1-1
    YTD: 10-13

  35. #280
    doubledime
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    Good morning,

    No Regular Plays

    The Reliever Plays for Monday:

    Reds/Milw over 8
    SD/AZ over 9


    The Team Totals:

    AZ over 4.5
    TX over 4.5


    Good luck

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