[LT Profits]

From easybaseballbetting:


Here is how favorites have done under the following stresses.

Overall [11785-8735, -782.32] (-0.038)
1st Half of Season [5742-4359, -402.44] (-0.040)
2nd half of season [5897-4255, -348.06] (-0.034)
National League [6204-4748, -490.79] (-0.045)
American League [5581-3987, -291.53] (-0.030)
Divsional Rival [4875-3778, -603.42] (-0.070)
Non-Divsional Rival [5655-4085, -202.94] (-0.021)
Interleague Game [1255-872, 24.04] (0.011)
Off a win [6488-4745, -443.23] (-0.039)
Off a loss [5228-3937, -323.33] (-0.035)
Off being shut out [505-360, -6.70] (-0.008)
Off scoring DD [1238-849, -6.34] (-0.003)
Series Game 1 [3707-2860, -391.34] (-0.060)
Series Game 2 [3769-2732, -146.81] (-0.023)
Series Game 3 [3432-2505, -180.84] (-0.030)
Series Game 4 [665-469, -24.78] (-0.022)
At Home [7825-5571, -477.06] (-0.036)
On the Road [3960-3164, -305.26] (-0.043)
In the Playoffs [146-121, -31.82] (-0.119)
Off LL [2412-1804, -101.14] (-0.024)
Off WW [3586-2541, -191.52] (-0.031)
5+ WL10 [8073-5755, -377.86] (-0.027)
7+ WL10 [2963-2045, -144.47] (-0.029)
<=3 WL10 [1798-1479, -216.10] (-0.066)
<=5 WL10 [6222-4860, -581.43] (-0.052)
Against team off SO [647-499, -87.95] (-0.077)
Vs. team off DD runs [882-713, -118.48] (-0.074)
Vs. team off W (G1) [1664-1409, -334.54] (-0.109)
Vs. team off L (G1) [2040-1449, -57.45] (-0.016)
Off W (G1) [2027-1510, -157.45] (-0.045)
Off L (G1) [1680-1350, -233.89] (-0.077)


Check out how bad favorites have done in Game 1 of a series, especially when the underdog is off of a win!

[LT Profits]

Series Game #1 Dogs off of Win Qualifiers for Friday:

Minnesota (if +100 better)
Colorado (if +100 or better)
Oakland
Detroit
Baltimore

Remember that over the last eight full seasons (1999-2006), Series Game #1 Favorites vs. underdogs off of a win are -334.54 units with a -10.9% ROI.

[Dark Horse]

Thanks, LT. Will look at it in a little bit. First have to see if the worst bullpen (CWS) can protect the U9, going into the 9th inning with 3 runs scored.

Now 4 runs and no outs...

[Dark Horse]

Bases loaded, 1 out. top of 9th. The whole game didn't have a jam like this. Why take Buehrle out, who was pitching great?


What luck. In the half inning it had to play today, the patheric White Sox bullpen only gave up 3 runs. Doubled the number of runs in the game, but hey...

[dtryanxpress]

so your saying yanks are gonna win today?

[Dark Horse]

That's interesting LT. I was already on COL, OAK, and DET.
Now I feel even better about my luck today. lol