1. 06-19-07 11:28 AM #1
    Dark Horse
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    Fading big favorites

    Was looking at favorites of -200 or more for the season. Turns out they are only 54-33 to date. Without BOS, CLE, MIL (three division leaders) that number improves to 39-30. And when you take out the NYY it comes down to 28-26!

    The 2006 season record was 162-84, which translates into a profitable season for dog bettors. In 2005 this was not a good approach with a 199-83 record for favorites -200 or more.
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  2. 06-19-07 11:40 AM #2
    bigboydan
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    A year like last year was a like the midas touch on everything for dog bettors.
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  3. 06-19-07 11:47 AM #3
    Dark Horse
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    Do you think the MLB tone for this is established early in the season, so that the 54-33 can pretty much be expected to continue? Or would large favorites do better in the second half of the season?
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  4. 06-19-07 04:23 PM #4
    BuddyBear
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    you know the units that correspond to that record DH?
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  5. 06-19-07 04:51 PM #5
    LT Profits
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    Let me find the article I wrote last week. The data is now a week old, but the point remains the same.
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  6. 06-20-07 03:45 AM #6
    Dark Horse
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    BBD, and I think 2005 was a good year for favorites in the NFL as well. Probably a stretch, but what if MLB and NFL seasons run more or less parallel in that sense? (I didn't really bet baseball so I wouldn't know).

    I don't BB.

    Look forward to it LT.
    Last edited by Dark Horse; 06-20-07 at 05:24 AM.
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