1. 09-12-16 07:06 AM #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Monday, 9/12/16

    2 MLB Plays Monday

    Athletics / Royals OVER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Mariners / Angels UNDER 9 -110 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 408-425-20, -5.24
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  2. 09-12-16 07:23 AM #2
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    2 MLB Plays Monday

    Athletics / Royals OVER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Mariners / Angels UNDER 9 -110 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 408-425-20, -5.24
    Nice 4-0 sweep yesterday!!!!
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  3. 09-12-16 08:12 AM #3
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    Nice 4-0 sweep yesterday!!!!
    Thank you kind sir!
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  4. 09-12-16 08:13 AM #4
    LT Profits
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    Only three 60%ers Monday:

    Boston 68% (-213)
    Detroit 60% (-150)
    San Francisco 68% (-213)
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  5. 09-12-16 08:23 AM #5
    44 Mag
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    I am leaning over in the TX/Hout. game??? These two pitchers look like they could both get blown out???

    Same for Minn/Det. game, another over lean.

    Thoughts if you have time.
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  6. 09-12-16 08:29 AM #6
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    I am leaning over in the TX/Hout. game??? These two pitchers look like they could both get blown out???

    Same for Minn/Det. game, another over lean.

    Thoughts if you have time.
    Model has identical totals of 9.2 for both games and they each have a posted total of 9, so unfortunately nothing to see on my end (barring movement).
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  7. 09-12-16 08:32 AM #7
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Model has identical totals of 9.2 for both games and they each have a posted total of 9, so unfortunately nothing to see on my end (barring movement).
    Roger, thanks.
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  8. 09-12-16 04:12 PM #8
    FlyinAir
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    Best of luck LT......
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  9. 09-12-16 04:32 PM #9
    fieryking
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Only three 60%ers Monday:

    Boston 68% (-213)
    Detroit 60% (-150)
    San Francisco 68% (-213)
    Boston -200 should dictate a play from you then, no? You can parlay SF + BOS ML for +money payout. Doesn't that dictate a play value wise for you?
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  10. 09-12-16 05:02 PM #10
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    Quote Originally Posted by fieryking View Post
    Boston -200 should dictate a play from you then, no? You can parlay SF + BOS ML for +money payout. Doesn't that dictate a play value wise for you?
    No, I never lay more than -130 on any single game. I play TO WIN 2.5% of BR 99% of the time, so once you get to -130 you are talking about risking 3.25%, which is a bit rich for me.

    And even if I did bet big odds, -200 is still too high for a -213 model %, Rule of thumb is 10% variance, so -213 would require no higher than -192.
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  11. 09-12-16 05:03 PM #11
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    1 Last MLB Addition

    3 MLB Plays Monday

    Athletics +136 (Heritage)
    Athletics / Royals OVER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Mariners / Angels UNDER 9 -110 (5 Dimes)
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  12. 09-12-16 05:43 PM #12
    fieryking
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    No, I never lay more than -130 on any single game. I play TO WIN 2.5% of BR 99% of the time, so once you get to -130 you are talking about risking 3.25%, which is a bit rich for me.

    And even if I did bet big odds, -200 is still too high for a -213 model %, Rule of thumb is 10% variance, so -213 would require no higher than -192.
    Thanks for the response. I'm on the Giants/Sox ML. What do you think of Mariners ML tonight. Miranda looks good and the bats been hot. Good luck on your picks
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  13. 09-12-16 05:52 PM #13
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    Quote Originally Posted by fieryking View Post
    Thanks for the response. I'm on the Giants/Sox ML. What do you think of Mariners ML tonight. Miranda looks good and the bats been hot. Good luck on your picks
    Model actually has Angeles 53% (-113), which is practically on the real line so Pass.
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