1. 08-04-16 06:58 AM #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Thursday, 8/4/16

    2 MLB Plays Thursday

    White Sox +122 (Heritage)
    Pirates / Braves OVER 9 +109 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 317-335-15, -10.38
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  2. 08-04-16 07:08 AM #2
    Sam Odom
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    LT

    how often do you tweak your Model ?
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  3. 08-04-16 07:14 AM #3
    readytowinem
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sam Odom View Post
    LT

    how often do you tweak your Model ?
    Wow...such a private question! I tweak my model a few times a week. Depends on how horny I am....oh wait....you were asking LT...well this is awkward...
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  4. 08-04-16 07:15 AM #4
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sam Odom View Post
    LT

    how often do you tweak your Model ?
    Never during the season unless I have a good reason to. All the work is done in the off-season, although I did absolutely nothing to the MLB model this past off-season.
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  5. 08-04-16 07:28 AM #5
    Sam Odom
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    thanks

    GL today
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  6. 08-04-16 07:41 AM #6
    LT Profits
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    60%ers (More like 61%ers lol):

    Tampa Bay 61% (-156)
    St. Louis 60% (-150)
    Angels 61% (-156)
    Dodgers 61% (-156)
    Boston 61% (-156)

    That's two days in a row for the Rays.
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  7. 08-04-16 07:54 AM #7
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    60%ers (More like 61%ers lol):

    Tampa Bay 61% (-156)
    St. Louis 60% (-150)
    Angels 61% (-156)
    Dodgers 61% (-156)
    Boston 61% (-156)

    That's two days in a row for the Rays.
    How the heck is Boston 60% ????
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  8. 08-04-16 08:16 AM #8
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    How the heck is Boston 60% ????
    Big edge in starting pitcher
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  9. 08-04-16 08:31 AM #9
    exlusive123
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    Bost wrong side today
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  10. 08-04-16 08:41 AM #10
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by exlusive123 View Post
    Bost wrong side today
    I don't really care since I am not betting them.
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  11. 08-04-16 08:43 AM #11
    exlusive123
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    Good man! I like CWS alot too, HOUST PHIL ATL. Anyway thanks for your posts and GL
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  12. 08-04-16 09:56 AM #12
    WalkingLuckCharm
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Never during the season unless I have a good reason to. All the work is done in the off-season, although I did absolutely nothing to the MLB model this past off-season.
    So your model doesn't get adjusted for the numbers that are made throughout the season? That's a lot of information. I might understand a minimal adjustment based on new daily data but no adjustments?

    Might wanna rethink on that
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  13. 08-04-16 09:58 AM #13
    Snake24
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    GL, LT!!! -10.38 ain't shit.
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  14. 08-04-16 10:11 AM #14
    ClayMaker52
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    LT doesn't bet any games. He just picks them. He doesn't put any money on them.

    He freerolls. He posts news, picks, ect and the sheep here click and click and click and then some deposit money on the affiliate books and hem makes money that way.

    You'll never see an LT betting ticket, there aren't any.
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  15. 08-04-16 10:13 AM #15
    JJJ
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    he says he bets every game he posts I believe him
    Quote Originally Posted by ClayMaker52 View Post
    LT doesn't bet any games. He just picks them. He doesn't put any money on them.

    He freerolls. He posts news, picks, ect and the sheep here click and click and click and then some deposit money on the affiliate books and hem makes money that way.

    You'll never see an LT betting ticket, there aren't any.
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  16. 08-04-16 10:19 AM #16
    Snake24
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    LT has better things to do than "just pick games." Other reputable players on here do not post bet slips. I've never seen Mag post a slip. Good luck to all!
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  17. 08-04-16 10:21 AM #17
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by WalkingLuckCharm View Post
    So your model doesn't get adjusted for the numbers that are made throughout the season? That's a lot of information. I might understand a minimal adjustment based on new daily data but no adjustments?

    Might wanna rethink on that
    Yes of course the numbers get updated, I was referring to the methodology of how the model lines are created.
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  18. 08-04-16 10:24 AM #18
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by ClayMaker52 View Post
    LT doesn't bet any games. He just picks them. He doesn't put any money on them.

    He freerolls. He posts news, picks, ect and the sheep here click and click and click and then some deposit money on the affiliate books and hem makes money that way.

    You'll never see an LT betting ticket, there aren't any.
    I bet every day of my life, you better stay in your lane son!
    Points Awarded:

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  19. 08-04-16 10:25 AM #19
    Snake24
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    Quote Originally Posted by lt profits View Post
    i bet every day of my life, you better stay in your lane son!
    church
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  20. 08-04-16 11:01 AM #20
    WalkingLuckCharm
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Yes of course the numbers get updated, I was referring to the methodology of how the model lines are created.
    got it
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  21. 08-04-16 02:49 PM #21
    JJJ
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    nice hit on whitesox LT
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  22. 08-04-16 03:04 PM #22
    Joey Merlino
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    Quote Originally Posted by ClayMaker52 View Post
    LT doesn't bet any games. He just picks them. He doesn't put any money on them.

    He freerolls. He posts news, picks, ect and the sheep here click and click and click and then some deposit money on the affiliate books and hem makes money that way.

    You'll never see an LT betting ticket, there aren't any.
    LT is a good man. Great family. He tells the truth. I don't know how he missed the Orioles today though!
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  23. 08-04-16 03:16 PM #23
    MMA_Oracle
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    ^^ yeah what does your model say about the Orioles/Rangers game? i think i like the Orioles as well
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  24. 08-04-16 03:42 PM #24
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by MMA_Oracle View Post
    ^^ yeah what does your model say about the Orioles/Rangers game? i think i like the Orioles as well
    I don't get hardly any variance, I have Baltimore 56% (-127)
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  25. 08-04-16 03:48 PM #25
    McCarthyFam
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    Is that it for the day?
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  26. 08-04-16 03:57 PM #26
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by McCarthyFam View Post
    Is that it for the day?
    Will do one more run through between 5:45 and 6:00 ET, but I have no new plays on my radar right now.
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  27. 08-04-16 04:00 PM #27
    McCarthyFam
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    Okay thanks!
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  28. 08-04-16 04:48 PM #28
    LT Profits
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    Just confirming I am done for the day.
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  29. 08-04-16 04:58 PM #29
    McCarthyFam
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    I appreciate it, thanks
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  30. 08-04-16 05:56 PM #30
    Nateboogy
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    Hey LT, what's model show for total in Baltimore game?
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  31. 08-04-16 06:03 PM #31
    Kramerico
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nateboogy View Post
    Hey LT, what's model show for total in Baltimore game?
    I'd say 52-54% Bal.
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