I've started tracking MLB totals based on moving averages started in this thread at sbr:
http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...anyone-p2.html
Instead of tracking the results in that forum I'll post any plays that "qualify" here:
So far the W/L record for the games posted prior to game time is (4-2) in the above thread.
You can read the above link to learn more about what we are trying to do but in a nutshell I'm looking for teams that have played above or below season expectations and should be headed in the other direction.
I've taken moving averages from each team's last 15 games and compared them to a smaller recent sample. I've also compared those numbers to their overall season performance.
Here are a couple games that fit today. All overs
Over 9 Cincy/Atlanta
Over 7.5 Seattle/CWS
Over 11.5 Colorado/TB