1. #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Friday, 7/8/16

    2 MLB Plays Friday

    Rays +106 (5 Dimes)
    Mariners +102 (Heritage)


    YTD: 251-268-13, -9.76

  2. #2
    Stammertime91
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    I hope the Rays hit for you man. I live down here and it's so hard to back them. I did take them with Moore against the Angels this week, but other than that I either fade them or no play.

  3. #3
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Stammertime91 View Post
    I hope the Rays hit for you man. I live down here and it's so hard to back them. I did take them with Moore against the Angels this week, but other than that I either fade them or no play.
    Hard to resist anyone as an underdog vs. Sean O'Sullivan

  4. #4
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Hard to resist anyone as an underdog vs. Sean O'Sullivan
    LOL. I thought that same thing the other day & Lost. The dick pitched a decent game for once in his life.

  5. #5
    Stammertime91
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Hard to resist anyone as an underdog vs. Sean O'Sullivan
    Not disagreeing with you there but yesterday for example. Santiago is a garbage pitcher for the Angels, and comes out on the road and goes 7IP, 9K's and 0 runs allowed. This team is really good at taking garbage pitchers and making them look great.

  6. #6
    LT Profits
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    60%ers:

    Toronto 61% (-156)
    Cleveland 60% (-150)
    Miami 74% (-285)
    Texas 67% (-203)
    White Sox 69% (-223)
    Houston 62% (-163)
    Dodgers 61% (-156)

  7. #7
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Stammertime91 View Post
    Not disagreeing with you there but yesterday for example. Santiago is a garbage pitcher for the Angels, and comes out on the road and goes 7IP, 9K's and 0 runs allowed. This team is really good at taking garbage pitchers and making them look great.
    Archer was a lot better last start too, 5.2 scoreless innings with 10 strikeouts. He is fourth in the Major Leagues in strikeout rate at 10.99 per nine innings and his xFIP of 3.59 is nearly a run lower than his ERA.

  8. #8
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Archer was a lot better last start too, 5.2 scoreless innings with 10 strikeouts. He is fourth in the Major Leagues in strikeout rate at 10.99 per nine innings and his xFIP of 3.59 is nearly a run lower than his ERA.
    AND, O'Sullivan is due for regression. LOL. Even after one game.

  9. #9
    funnyb25
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    Do not question the play. Archer is pitching, it's a play...nothing else matters...it does NOT matter that Archer is probably the worst ROAD pitcher in baseball...GL today LT
    Last edited by funnyb25; 07-08-16 at 10:14 AM.

  10. #10
    jt315
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    Quote Originally Posted by Stammertime91 View Post
    I hope the Rays hit for you man. I live down here and it's so hard to back them. I did take them with Moore against the Angels this week, but other than that I either fade them or no play.
    I hear ya.
    My over 82 wins ticket is just about in the trash.
    Really thought this young staff and the added bats would get them at least 82.
    Looked promising when they got to 2 under .
    They do still get respect from the books FWIW.

  11. #11
    Nateboogy
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    What's does model say for Rockies?
    Also, Houston total?

  12. #12
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nateboogy View Post
    What's does model say for Rockies?
    Also, Houston total?
    Colorado 59% (-144)
    Houston 8.1

  13. #13
    Yazworm91
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    So Atlanta to off of variance to play? +280 vs model -223

  14. #14
    Yazworm91
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    What do you have for the Toronto over? Happ still pitching over his head. Love to get it at 9.5 but not going to happen

  15. #15
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Yazworm91 View Post
    So Atlanta to off of variance to play? +280 vs model -223
    Yeah I am actually considering adding Atlanta. We shall see.

  16. #16
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Yazworm91 View Post
    What do you have for the Toronto over? Happ still pitching over his head. Love to get it at 9.5 but not going to happen
    Model agrees with you but not enough for me with the 10 juiced for the Over. 10.6

  17. #17
    MMA_Oracle
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    hey LT, mind sharing what your model has for CHI-PIT, SEA-KC, and LAA-BAL please and thank you

  18. #18
    funnyb25
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    Im surprised Pirates arent a play

  19. #19
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by MMA_Oracle View Post
    hey LT, mind sharing what your model has for CHI-PIT, SEA-KC, and LAA-BAL please and thank you
    Cubs 58% (-138) *-But I hate the runaway line leading to extreme variance on Pirates. Sort of a makeshift lineup for Pitt too.
    Seattle favored 54% (-117)
    Baltimore 53% (-113)

  20. #20
    LT Profits
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    1 MLB Addition

    3 MLB Plays Friday

    Rays +106 (5 Dimes)
    Mariners +102 (Heritage)
    Diamondbacks / Giants UNDER 7.5 -105 (Heritage)

  21. #21
    Altern8
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    3 MLB Plays Friday

    Rays +106 (5 Dimes)
    Mariners +102 (Heritage)
    Diamondbacks / Giants UNDER 7.5 -105 (Heritage)
    I notice 44 Mag has the over on the Giants game. Between the three above plays which would you take the most?

  22. #22
    hossa8110
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    I'm surprised you dont use fairlay to wager. They seem to have great odds. Or are you against bitcoin?

  23. #23
    RavensFan2k3
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    I like Seattle

  24. #24
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by hossa8110 View Post
    I'm surprised you dont use fairlay to wager. They seem to have great odds. Or are you against bitcoin?
    I am very pro-Bitcoin, in fact I am a Bitcoin investor. But I would never play at a Btc-Only book or exchange.

  25. #25
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Altern8 View Post
    I notice 44 Mag has the over on the Giants game. Between the three above plays which would you take the most?
    There is a reason I do not rate my plays as I play all of them for the same amount.

  26. #26
    Altern8
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    There is a reason I do not rate my plays as I play all of them for the same amount.
    Took them both in a double. Lets do this!

  27. #27
    RavensFan2k3
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    I like Baltimore too

  28. #28
    JMon
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    I do think Redsox are the play tonight!

  29. #29
    intermission
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    Archer suck and sox can hit...not sure why rays is the play here

  30. #30
    mikefan1034
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    Quote Originally Posted by JMon View Post
    I do think Redsox are the play tonight!
    Same here

  31. #31
    cankid
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    Red Sox look decent

  32. #32
    RavensFan2k3
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    Don't like Baltimore or Seattle anymore. Like Philly though

  33. #33
    funnyb25
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    Quote Originally Posted by intermission View Post
    Archer suck and sox can hit...not sure why rays is the play here
    Archer has been a play every start. Nothing new here. Rays have lost 7 of 8 with him on the mound.

  34. #34
    HeeluvaGuy
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    Ortiz is slugging .719 against Archer lifetime in 32 ABs.

  35. #35
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Don't like Baltimore or Seattle anymore. Like Philly though
    Today is a tough one, can't get any good reads

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