1. 07-06-16 06:57 AM #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Wednesday, 7/6/16

    2 MLB Plays Wednesday

    Tigers +115 (5 Dimes)
    Rangers / Red Sox UNDER 10.5 -115 (Heritage)


    YTD: 245-264-13, -12.43
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  2. 07-06-16 07:00 AM #2
    paco
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    Goodluck LT
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  3. 07-06-16 07:01 AM #3
    Broke Homey
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    why do you think there is no PHI/ATL line on heritage lt?
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  4. 07-06-16 07:03 AM #4
    slayer14
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    Atlanta have the better pitcher for sure.
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  5. 07-06-16 07:07 AM #5
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by slayer14 View Post
    Atlanta have the better pitcher for sure.
    Huh???
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  6. 07-06-16 07:17 AM #6
    LT Profits
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    60%ers:

    Mets 66% (-194)
    Cubs 66% (-194)
    Washington 62% (-163)
    Toronto 64% (-178)
    Boston 65% (-185)
    Yankees 62% (-163)
    Giants 66% (-194)

    Yankees look like undervalued chalk.
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  7. 07-06-16 07:18 AM #7
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    Quote Originally Posted by Broke Homey View Post
    why do you think there is no PHI/ATL line on heritage lt?
    Because of pitching change.
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  8. 07-06-16 07:19 AM #8
    NardVa
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    I like the Detroit play, but the Indians own the Tigers. Maybe the early start will yield different results.
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  9. 07-06-16 07:21 AM #9
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    Quote Originally Posted by slayer14 View Post
    Atlanta have the better pitcher for sure.
    No, Jenkins grades out poorly. I get Phils 58% (-138)
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  10. 07-06-16 07:21 AM #10
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by NardVa View Post
    I like the Detroit play, but the Indians own the Tigers. Maybe the early start will yield different results.
    I think I do like the line for Detroit, but its hard to bet on a team facing a team that they are 0-11 against this season
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  11. 07-06-16 07:22 AM #11
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    60%ers:

    Mets 66% (-194)
    Cubs 66% (-194)
    Washington 62% (-163)
    Toronto 64% (-178)
    Boston 65% (-185)
    Yankees 62% (-163)
    Giants 66% (-194)

    Yankees look like undervalued chalk.
    7 out of 10 of yesterday's 60% lost outright. Odd.
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  12. 07-06-16 07:22 AM #12
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    No, Jenkins grades out poorly. I get Phils 58% (-138)
    Why did Jenkins open as a favorite? Or was there a pitching change?
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  13. 07-06-16 07:23 AM #13
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by NardVa View Post
    I like the Detroit play, but the Indians own the Tigers. Maybe the early start will yield different results.
    What's the definition of............... LOL.
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  14. 07-06-16 07:24 AM #14
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by NardVa View Post
    I like the Detroit play, but the Indians own the Tigers. Maybe the early start will yield different results.
    You know me! Don't really care about head-to-head team dominance, all I care about is having the better starting pitcher at +115. Model actually has Detroit as a very slight 51% (-104) favorite.
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  15. 07-06-16 07:25 AM #15
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Why did Jenkins open as a favorite? Or was there a pitching change?
    He did not. It was Teheran that opened as small favorite.
    Last edited by LT Profits; 07-06-16 at 07:28 AM. Reason: misspelled Teheran
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  16. 07-06-16 07:25 AM #16
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    7 out of 10 of yesterday's 60% lost outright. Odd.
    Is that not usually the case?
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  17. 07-06-16 07:26 AM #17
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    He did not. It was Tehran that opened as small favorite.
    Will Philly be a play?
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  18. 07-06-16 07:28 AM #18
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Will Philly be a play?
    I doubt it. Don't think they will be less than -130.
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  19. 07-06-16 07:29 AM #19
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I doubt it. Don't think they will be less than -130.
    Hmm that's a good point. But do you think they win?
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  20. 07-06-16 07:30 AM #20
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Is that not usually the case?
    Not really but doesn't matter to me because I almost never bet them, although I did bet Boston -1.5 yesterday. Still, I saved a tom of juice there so no big deal.
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  21. 07-06-16 07:30 AM #21
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Hmm that's a good point. But do you think they win?
    You see model result above.
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  22. 07-06-16 07:38 AM #22
    JJJ
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    Let's see if we can have another losing day
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  23. 07-06-16 07:41 AM #23
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    You see model result above.
    Yes I see it.

    When Fulmer faced Bauer on May 5th in Cleveland what did the model have on that game?
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  24. 07-06-16 07:44 AM #24
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Yes I see it.

    When Fulmer faced Bauer on May 5th in Cleveland what did the model have on that game?
    No clue, but it sounds like a matchup where I would have liked Cleveland because I am higher on Bauer than Fulmer going forward.
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  25. 07-06-16 07:48 AM #25
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    No clue, but it sounds like a matchup where I would have liked Cleveland because I am higher on Bauer than Fulmer going forward.
    Oh ok, but not as high on Tomlin
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  26. 07-06-16 07:53 AM #26
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Oh ok, but not as high on Tomlin
    No, Tomlin is on my overachiever, negative regression to come list. He is the only regular Cleveland starter I don't like. Get those Indians World Series Futures in now, tough to do better than Kluber, Carrasco, Salazar, Bauer.
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  27. 07-06-16 07:59 AM #27
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    No, Tomlin is on my overachiever, negative regression to come list. He is the only regular Cleveland starter I don't like. Get those Indians World Series Futures in now, tough to do better than Kluber, Carrasco, Salazar, Bauer.
    Sorry, I meant to say not high on Tomlin. But yeah I see what you're saying
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  28. 07-06-16 09:37 AM #28
    bonesesh
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    LT, any thoughts on DET at EV?

    ThankYou
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  29. 07-06-16 10:35 AM #29
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    Quote Originally Posted by bonesesh View Post
    LT, any thoughts on DET at EV?

    ThankYou
    Too close to my -104
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  30. 07-06-16 10:44 AM #30
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Will Philly be a play?
    BRAVES actually look playable now.
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  31. 07-06-16 11:29 AM #31
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    2 MLB Additions

    4 MLB Plays Wednesday

    Tigers +115 (5 Dimes)
    Braves +165 (Heritage)
    Rangers / Red Sox UNDER 10.5 -115 (Heritage)
    Rockies / Giants UNDER 7 -105 (Heritage)
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  32. 07-06-16 01:23 PM #32
    jay89
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    You're willing to bet on the Giants and Rockies bullpen? Wind is also blowing out last time I checked. Cueto been rocked lately as well.
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  33. 07-06-16 05:03 PM #33
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    1 MLB 5-Inning Addition

    5 MLB Plays Wednesday

    Tigers +115 (5 Dimes)
    Braves +165 (Heritage)
    Rangers / Red Sox UNDER 10.5 -115 (Heritage)
    Rockies / Giants UNDER 7 -105 (Heritage)
    Rockies / Giants UNDER 3.5 +100 (5 innings) (5 Dimes)
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  34. 07-06-16 05:11 PM #34
    BeanTownClown88
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    Royals are good at avoiding sweeps..hard to lay off that crazy number
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  35. 07-06-16 06:17 PM #35
    BaseballChaser
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    Rough loss on Braves. Keep plugging away.
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