1. 05-04-16 07:08 AM #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Wednesday, 5/4/16

    5 MLB Plays Wednesday

    Cubs / Pirates UNDER 7 +105 (Heritage)
    Athletics +117 (Heritage)
    Rangers +166 (Heritage)
    Rangers / Blue Jays OVER 9+105 (Heritage)
    Dodgers / Rays UNDER 7.5 -115 (Heritage)

    YTD: 65-85-3, -14.65
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  2. 05-04-16 08:52 AM #2
    LT Profits
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    60%ers:

    Mets 68% (-213)
    Cleveland 60% (-150)
    Miami 62% (-163)
    St. Louis 62% (-163)
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  3. 05-04-16 11:21 AM #3
    l7ustin
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    The model finally has some respect for Texas! Nice overnight tweaking LT
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  4. 05-04-16 12:09 PM #4
    Yazworm91
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    LT what did your model have Seattle at? Felix has owned the A's in the Coliseum. He is pitching great and Seattle is actually hitting. I thought this line was a little soft at -115.
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  5. 05-04-16 01:10 PM #5
    jjgold
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    LT cannot get going yet although long season
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  6. 05-04-16 01:42 PM #6
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Yazworm91 View Post
    LT what did your model have Seattle at? Felix has owned the A's in the Coliseum. He is pitching great and Seattle is actually hitting. I thought this line was a little soft at -115.
    Believe it or not, Seattle only 51% (-104)

    Model likes the future prospects of Manaea
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  7. 05-04-16 02:24 PM #7
    mikefan1034
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Believe it or not, Seattle only 51% (-104)

    Model likes the future prospects of Manaea
    LT give up ur model drivel. It clearly isn't working. Cubs pirates under is toast ur just forcing unnessary plays
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  8. 05-04-16 03:58 PM #8
    l7ustin
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    Manaea looked good until that inning....

    Why does your model hate my boy AJ Griffin?
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  9. 05-04-16 04:15 PM #9
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by l7ustin View Post
    Manaea looked good until that inning....

    Why does your model hate my boy AJ Griffin?
    Well for one thing, his current 4.23 xFIP is almost two runs higher than his 2.32 ERA. He also has a high-ish walk rate of 3.19 per nine innings. Those contribute to his weak ROS ZiPS that have him at 5-7 with a 4.46 ERA.

    http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx...132&position=P
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  10. 05-04-16 05:11 PM #10
    chosen4th
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Well for one thing, his current 4.23 xFIP is almost two runs higher than his 2.32 ERA. He also has a high-ish walk rate of 3.19 per nine innings. Those contribute to his weak ROS ZiPS that have him at 5-7 with a 4.46 ERA.

    http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx...132&position=P
    This A's loss is probably my most frustrating of all season.. they are garbage.. tough to lay money on them
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  11. 05-04-16 05:32 PM #11
    l7ustin
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    Get it back on Texas
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  12. 05-04-16 09:07 PM #12
    LT Profits
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    Well, THAT sucked.

    0-5. first time this year I got shut out when I had more than two plays. This sucks.
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  13. 05-04-16 09:13 PM #13
    GreatWallofTrump
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    Sorry LT. I know you know your stuff. I've been reading for years. It's like the stock market. Keep on it and it will turn around.
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  14. 05-04-16 09:31 PM #14
    l7ustin
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    Rangers fked you in that game hard. should have scored about 7 runs in the first 2 innings off sanchez. would have completely changed your day
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  15. 05-04-16 09:43 PM #15
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by l7ustin View Post
    Rangers fked you in that game hard. should have scored about 7 runs in the first 2 innings off sanchez. would have completely changed your day
    What about the two day games? Cubs score "meaningless" run in ninth inning and A's blow 8-4 lead.
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  16. 05-04-16 11:35 PM #16
    funnyb25
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    What about the two day games? Cubs score "meaningless" run in ninth inning and A's blow 8-4 lead.
    -19.80 units on the season?? id be willing to bet that your back near even by june...
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  17. 05-04-16 11:36 PM #17
    funnyb25
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    Quote Originally Posted by funnyb25 View Post
    -19.80 units on the season?? id be willing to bet that your back near even by june...
    I'll remember this post too... MLB Wednesday 5/4/16 Thread... GL man
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  18. 05-04-16 11:53 PM #18
    vividjohn45
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    What about the two day games? Cubs score "meaningless" run in ninth inning and A's blow 8-4 lead.
    True. but 4 were unearned runs. Cuz of seattle errors
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  19. 05-04-16 11:56 PM #19
    l7ustin
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    What about the two day games? Cubs score "meaningless" run in ninth inning and A's blow 8-4 lead.
    That is true, I guess I was just thinking if Tulow didn't make a sick play or if the Rangers kept the heat on Sanchez you would have covered 2 bets including one that was +170ish
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  20. 05-05-16 12:45 AM #20
    pocketrockets42
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    This guy instinctively takes the worst bets on the board every single day. Then when you try to tell him to change things up he cries about how good he was last year. Nobody cares about last year anymore. Do better.
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  21. 05-05-16 07:04 AM #21
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by pocketrockets42 View Post
    This guy instinctively takes the worst bets on the board every single day. Then when you try to tell him to change things up he cries about how good he was last year. Nobody cares about last year anymore. Do better.
    There is nothing "instinctive" about what I do, if you believe that, you have not been paying attention. Hopefully the model heats up the rest of the season like it did last year.
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