1. 04-25-16 07:02 AM #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Monday, 4/25/16

    3 MLB Plays Monday So Far

    Reds +208 (5 Dimes)
    Cardinals +114 (5 Dimes)
    Marlins +126 (Heritage)


    YTD: 43-59-1, -11.56
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  2. 04-25-16 07:02 AM #2
    LT Profits
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    More coming, I only worked on MLs so far.
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  3. 04-25-16 07:15 AM #3
    mikefan1034
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    Reds lol u realize Thor is pitching. Man ur really in a rut
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  4. 04-25-16 07:19 AM #4
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    Quote Originally Posted by mikefan1034 View Post
    Reds lol u realize Thor is pitching. Man ur really in a rut
    Thor is great no doubt, but Iglesias is a future stud too. Very underrated and was worth the price over +200, which incidentally may not be available any more.
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  5. 04-25-16 07:20 AM #5
    LT Profits
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    1 MLB Addition

    4 MLB Plays Monday

    Reds +208 (5 Dimes)
    Orioles / Rays UNDER 7.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Cardinals +114 (5 Dimes)
    Marlins +126 (Heritage)
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  6. 04-25-16 07:23 AM #6
    GGGJR82
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    The mets offense is TERRIBLE and mikefan see's Thor on the mound and is willing to pay all that juice on a team who's offense struggles to score 3 runs a game... SMH
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  7. 04-25-16 07:29 AM #7
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by GGGJR82 View Post
    The mets offense is TERRIBLE and mikefan see's Thor on the mound and is willing to pay all that juice on a team who's offense struggles to score 3 runs a game... SMH
    Mets offense is fine, they snapped out of early-season slump on 9-game road trip that ended yesterday, the three runs scored yesterday were the fewest on the trip, where they scored at least five runs 7 times. My play is based more on Iglasias.
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  8. 04-25-16 08:11 AM #8
    PorkChop
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    4 MLB Plays Monday

    Reds +208 (5 Dimes)
    Orioles / Rays UNDER 7.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Cardinals +114 (5 Dimes)
    Marlins +126 (Heritage)

    Wow you got a 7.5. Line's 8 in Vegas.

    Pacific Time Baltimore Tampa Bay
    04/24/16 06:07:50pm +115 -125
    Totals
    04/24/16 06:07:50pm 8 Over +100 Under -120
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  9. 04-25-16 08:37 AM #9
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    Quote Originally Posted by PorkChop View Post
    Wow you got a 7.5. Line's 8 in Vegas.

    Pacific Time Baltimore Tampa Bay
    04/24/16 06:07:50pm +115 -125
    Totals
    04/24/16 06:07:50pm 8 Over +100 Under -120
    Looks like 7.5 everywhere offshore Would be worth the -120 at 8 if you can find it.
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  10. 04-25-16 08:37 AM #10
    bonesesh
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    I got 7.5 as well. The line has since moved ^

    I love you LT
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  11. 04-25-16 08:40 AM #11
    Duckshit
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    LT....much respect but do you ever win? +% u are definitely sharp but just like every other Degen, down double digits everytime I look....
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  12. 04-25-16 08:57 AM #12
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Duckshit View Post
    LT....much respect but do you ever win? +% u are definitely sharp but just like every other Degen, down double digits everytime I look....
    UM...where are you looking? I am up double-digits right now in both NBA and NHL and I finished +93 in MLB last season.
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  13. 04-25-16 08:57 AM #13
    Slanina
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    Quote Originally Posted by Duckshit View Post
    LT....much respect but do you ever win? +% u are definitely sharp but just like every other Degen, down double digits everytime I look....
    Up DD in NBA. Up DD in NHL. Won 90u last year for MLB. First day he's down DD this season. Doesn't sound like much respect asking if he ever wins...

    Im down a nice chunk following but that's part of gambling. Nobody goes straight up.
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  14. 04-25-16 08:58 AM #14
    MvA
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    Some 60er for today Lt?
    Thank you and keep up the good work
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  15. 04-25-16 09:00 AM #15
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Looks like 7.5 everywhere offshore Would be worth the -120 at 8 if you can find it.
    I am still seeing 7.5 at all my books offshore right now. Only 8s I see are in Vegas, it is 8 -120 at Cantor.
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  16. 04-25-16 09:08 AM #16
    Duckshit
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    UM...where are you looking? I am up double-digits right now in both NBA and NHL and I finished +93 in MLB last season.
    Great work, was just looking at YTD....
    I could never get close to those numbers.
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  17. 04-25-16 09:09 AM #17
    LT Profits
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    60%ers:

    Toronto 65% (-186)
    Detroit 64% (-178)
    Boston 61% (-156)
    Mets 64% (-178)
    San Francisco 66% (-194)

    I already went against Mets getting +208. Toronto is currently off the board so keep an eye on them.
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  18. 04-25-16 09:47 AM #18
    kmarinouofm
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    Anyone questioning LT just stop betting baseball now

    it's not for you
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  19. 04-25-16 11:49 AM #19
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    Another MLB Addition

    5 MLB Plays Monday

    Reds +208 (5 Dimes)
    Orioles / Rays UNDER 7.5 -110 (Heritage)
    Red Sox / Braves UNDER 8 -120 (5 Dimes)
    Cardinals +114 (5 Dimes)
    Marlins +126 (Heritage)
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  20. 04-25-16 12:06 PM #20
    PorkChop
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    Curious on why don't you run-line your 60 percenters more often?
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  21. 04-25-16 12:19 PM #21
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by PorkChop View Post
    Curious on why don't you run-line your 60 percenters more often?
    I am not as nonchalant to lay 1.5 runs like some other people are as if it does not matter much, especially with home teams where doing so lowers your win percentage by about 26%.
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  22. 04-25-16 12:20 PM #22
    thellama
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    Reds pen has a 7+ era and iglasias is not throwing a cg, but mets offense at home has been bad, thor is thor, if anything this game is a no bet.
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  23. 04-25-16 12:23 PM #23
    iloseagain
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    Quote Originally Posted by thellama View Post
    Reds pen has a 7+ era and iglasias is not throwing a cg, but mets offense at home has been bad, thor is thor, if anything this game is a no bet.
    agreed. u6.5 for me
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  24. 04-25-16 12:25 PM #24
    Duckshit
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    Quote Originally Posted by kmarinouofm View Post
    Anyone questioning LT just stop betting baseball now

    it's not for you
    If you don't Question Everything then Life is not for you....lol
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  25. 04-25-16 12:34 PM #25
    iloseagain
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    Quote Originally Posted by Duckshit View Post
    If you don't Question Everything then Life is not for you....lol
    this is how i feel as well. some of our brains work better than others, its ok.
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  26. 04-25-16 12:49 PM #26
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by thellama View Post
    Reds pen has a 7+ era and iglasias is not throwing a cg, but mets offense at home has been bad, thor is thor, if anything this game is a no bet.
    Quote Originally Posted by iloseagain View Post
    agreed. u6.5 for me
    Combine what you guys said and +208 is sick value. Getting those odds on a game that is too close to call, and a game below 6.5 magnifies that.
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  27. 04-25-16 12:52 PM #27
    Amadeo-Picks
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    3 MLB Plays Monday So Far

    Reds +208 (5 Dimes)
    Cardinals +114 (5 Dimes)
    Marlins +126 (Heritage)


    YTD: 43-59-1, -11.56
    In terms of value I understand reds . at home Which all mets pitcher tend to do better . if u believe in Iglesias that much why not the under? Syndergaard will cruise in this game , only question is whether the mets score him runs
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  28. 04-25-16 12:54 PM #28
    iloseagain
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Combine what you guys said and +208 is sick value. Getting those odds on a game that is too close to call, and a game below 6.5 magnifies that.
    i can see that. But Syndegaard prob isnt giving up more than 1, maybe 2. I dont think its crazy for mets to win 3-1 or even 4-0.. I dont really see much value in reds either way, but GL. Taking Dogs in high total (8.5+) games is the best way to bet. Its been proven to work.
    Quote Originally Posted by Amadeo-Picks View Post
    In terms of value I understand reds . at home Which all mets pitcher tend to do better . if u believe in Iglesias that much why not the under? Syndergaard will cruise in this game , only question is whether the mets score him runs
    Yep i think under is right play here.. Syndegaard is damn near unhittable.. Read this blurb "Using a 100 mph fastball, 95 mph slider, 91 mph changeup and hammer curveball, Syndergaard yielded just five hits and two walks to go along with his eight punchouts. The young right-hander looks unhittable in the early going, putting up a 0.90 ERA and 29/4 K/BB ratio over 20 innings"
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  29. 04-25-16 01:05 PM #29
    LT Profits
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    I can't bet an Under 6.5 even though my model has 6.1. Would need a 7 to consider the Under.

    And as you can see from my 60%ers, I have the Mets winning this game 64% of the time, so odds are against me winning this ONE game, but the play is +EV at +208 over the long term. Just do not try explaining that to those that think there is no value in a losing play.
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  30. 04-25-16 10:19 PM #30
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Marlins +126 (Heritage)
    I've said it before and I'll say it again: you beat a closer by 20+ cents, buy out.
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  31. 04-25-16 10:50 PM #31
    funnyb25
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I've said it before and I'll say it again: you beat a closer by 20+ cents, buy out.
    yo yo
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  32. 04-25-16 10:51 PM #32
    iloseagain
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I've said it before and I'll say it again: you beat a closer by 20+ cents, buy out.
    marlins are winning
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  33. 04-25-16 11:17 PM #33
    7777KaL
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    STL just got their asses handed to them smh..
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  34. 04-26-16 06:15 AM #34
    LT Profits
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    Comeback begins with a 3-2, +1.26 night. And Reds were 3-3 in the 7th with Syndergaard out of the game, I would take +208 in that spot 100% of the time.
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  35. 04-26-16 06:16 AM #35
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by 7777KaL View Post
    STL just got their asses handed to them smh..
    Chillax, it was a winning night.
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