[mlb]

Good luck to all your plays this year ... Will be following this thread closely all year and am pumped for the season

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Thanks Mr. Mlb. I am happy to see that you are a contrarian mafia fan. See you in the observation tower.

[mlb]

Thanks Mr. Mlb. I am happy to see that you are a contrarian mafia fan. See you in the observation tower.

Haha

[Rainman328]

do you have any numbers to back up your grienke/lincecum fade strategy? sounds like a good idea, i just have trouble accepting ideas without any numbers to back it up.

[Pair of 5s Sir]

I am not sure what numbers you want. They won the Cy Young for last year. Contraran selections are mostly a philosophy, not a statistical mathematical equation. I hope this is helpful.

[Rainman328]

oh, now I get what you're saying. I was just confused with Grienke because although he did win the Cy Young (which the public would love), he is still a Royal (which the public hates). I don't think you can find contrarian selections for him because these two facts cancel out the edge for one side. Just my opinion. In fact to be honest, I was kind of thinking about backing Grienke in contrarian logic because he's still just a Royal.

[Pair of 5s Sir]

I hear Mr. Rainman. They will pound Grienke, be rest assured. I happen to like the Greinke better than the Lincecum. However over the three games each for them, I am confident in postive units, postive cash flow. Let's see how the numbers play itself out. We both can be right, I am not saying both go 0-3 to start the season.

Happy to see you in the thread. Come again. See you in the tower.

[Rainman328]

haha can't wait to see how this plays out. I personally think that Grienke is that good and won't have the slump that everyone is expecting. We'll see. Best of luck to ya

[mlb]

haha can't wait to see how this plays out. I personally think that Grienke is that good and won't have the slump that everyone is expecting. We'll see. Best of luck to ya

We are not hoping for a slump... just a lose in the first 3 starts ..... Reigning Cy-Young Winners will have a ridiculous line ... it's understandable too because obviously they are good, but also vegas knows the public will POUND them .. this will drive the line up and then you calmy take the underdog for a profitable payout ... I like it ... Will just have to see who they are playing but for the most part those 2 teams have weak offenses and even if they pitch good they might lose ....

Let me know if you have any other ideas P5s...

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Thanks for the confidence. The Contrarian has lots of ideas.

Beware O Contrare

[pimike]

Thanks for the confidence. The Contrarian has lots of ideas.

Beware O Contrare

[Pair of 5s Sir]

It is an honor Mike to have you in the thread. Speak soon.

[pimike]

It is an honor Mike to have you in the thread. Speak soon.

For sure

[TheLock]

Grienke opens up at home vs DET

According to MLB.com, Lincecum opens up at home vs SEA in an interleague matchup that kicks off the season on April 4th @ 3:05 PM.

Major League Baseball Schedule
Open Calendar | < Previous 3 Days | Go to Today | Next 3 Days >
Sunday April 4, 2010
All times Eastern. Subject to change.

Away Home Time (ET)/Result Location MLB.TV Tickets
Mariners Giants 3:05pm San Francisco
Away Home Time (ET) Away Probable Home Probable MLB.TV Tickets
Yankees Red Sox 8:05pm TBD TBD
Monday April 5, 2010
All times Eastern. Subject to change.

Away Home Time (ET) Away Probable Home Probable MLB.TV Tickets
Phillies Nationals 1:05pm TBD TBD
Marlins Mets 1:10pm TBD TBD
Cardinals Reds 1:10pm TBD TBD
Dodgers Pirates 1:35pm TBD TBD Buy
Indians White Sox 2:05pm TBD TBD
Blue Jays Rangers 2:05pm TBD TBD
Rockies Brewers 2:10pm TBD TBD
Cubs Braves 4:10pm TBD TBD
Tigers Royals 4:10pm TBD TBD
Padres D-backs 5:10pm TBD TBD
Giants Astros 7:05pm TBD TBD
Twins Angels 10:05pm TBD TBD
Mariners Athletics 10:05pm TBD TBD Buy
Tuesday April 6, 2010
All times Eastern. Subject to change.

Away Home Time (ET) Away Probable Home Probable MLB.TV Tickets
Orioles Rays 7:10pm TBD TBD
Yankees Red Sox 7:10pm TBD TBD
Giants Astros 8:05pm TBD TBD
Rockies Brewers 8:10pm TBD TBD
Padres D-backs 9:40pm TBD TBD
Twins Angels 10:05pm TBD TBD
Mariners Athletics 10:05pm TBD TBD Buy

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Thank you Mr. Lock for your research. Your apprenticeship as a contrarian has paid off.

[mlb]

Grienke opens up at home vs DET According to MLB.com, Lincecum opens up at home vs SEA in an interleague matchup that kicks off the season on April 4th @ 3:05 PM.

pretty sure that is the last spring training game ... they have had some on opening day in recent years

[TheLock]

Very possible mlb

NYY/BOS is scheduled for that night and they typically dub that "Opening Night"

[TheLock]

So that would put Timmy opening up on the road vs HOU

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Timmy on the road vs HOU, that's yummy. Lincecum on the -165 nibble line. What are your thoughts?

[TheLock]

They'll get a ton of nibbles on -165 if they hang that #

[mlb]

Timmy on the road vs HOU, that's yummy. Lincecum on the -165 nibble line. What are your thoughts?

I know Lincy is Lincy .. but Houston loves their baseball they are usually pumped right at the start before they are out of it right away ... I'm liking fading that spread and going with Houston ...

I'm liking this contrarian ...

let me know any other angles you go for...

[Pair of 5s Sir]

MLB you have been nominated to be part of the Contrarian Mafia, buona fortuna!

[pimike]

No way is that going to be the line

Houston will have their ace going and he will not be that big of adog

[Pair of 5s Sir]

I hear you Mike. Give me a number for the record. Even though trying to predict a line is solely in the poops and grins category.

[TheLock]

No way is that going to be the line

Houston will have their ace going and he will not be that big of adog

That line is not that far off mike


Don't tell me you think Timmy will be -115

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Contrarian debate. I love it. Mr. Lock vs the enviable PIMIke. Others chime in, if you will.

[pimike]

Well unless ozwalt has been traded this will be around -130
No way will Tim be -165 on the rd

[TheLock]

Ok we're not that far off in our estimations

Remember though, this is not Roy Oswalt from 2005. He is not the pitcher he once was and Timmy is the most dominant pitcher in the NL (although Roy Halladay will change things in 2010 now that he's with Philly).

[Pair of 5s Sir]

For those in the discussion regarding the Lincy line as discussed by PIMIKE, TheLock, and yours truly, will PIMIKE book 75 SBR points on a wager.

I will take Over 154.5 (the opening line posted on 5Dimes).

Are you in Mike? A friendly what the hay.

Let me know. Perhaps others want action.

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Are you takin the action Mike?

[TheLock]

Almost equally intriguing is Grienke opening up at home vs DET

I smell another -165 line on this one.

[pimike]

For those in the discussion regarding the Lincy line as discussed by PIMIKE, TheLock, and yours truly, will PIMIKE book 75 SBR points on a wager.

I will take Over 154.5 (the opening line posted on 5Dimes).

Are you in Mike? A friendly what the hay.

Let me know. Perhaps others

want action.

Well the statement. Was165


I'll. Take points under 160

[Pair of 5s Sir]

You are booked Mike at Under 160 for 75 betpoints on Lincecum's opening line. We will use 5Dimes opening line as the indicator.

[TheLock]

The first baseball points contest of 2010 boys!


[IMG][/IMG]

[pimike]

You are booked Mike at Under 160 for 75 betpoints on Lincecum's opening line. We will use 5Dimes opening line as the indicator.

Very well