1. 04-14-16 07:02 AM #1
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    MLB - Thursday, 4/14/16

    4 MLB Plays Thursday

    Padres +110 (Heritage)
    White Sox / Twins OVER 8.5 +105 (Heritage)
    Yankees / Blue Jays OVER 8 -110 (Heritage)
    Diamondbacks +136 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 21-18, +7.42
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 04-14-16 07:15 AM #2
    Jayvegas420
    Vegas Baby!
    Jayvegas420's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-09-11
    Posts: 28,152
    Betpoints: 15155

    If Stroman pitches like he did against the Red Sox last Thursday, the Jays game could go over the total easily. Also I think A-Rod breaks out today, he is a 0 for 8 this series.

    Good luck LT

    Name: fan-mark-mcgrath-left-hanging-by-chris-paul.gif Views: 1635 Size: 1.89 MB
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 04-14-16 07:23 AM #3
    juicername
    Thomorino - Fade and Get Paid
    juicername's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-14-15
    Posts: 6,906
    Betpoints: 3972

    Do you also like the White Sox then since they might need to score all the runs alone for the White Sox/Twins game to go over the total?

    I like all the other plays but I must say I prefer the under in that game.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 04-14-16 07:35 AM #4
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by juicername View Post
    Do you also like the White Sox then since they might need to score all the runs alone for the White Sox/Twins game to go over the total?

    I like all the other plays but I must say I prefer the under in that game.
    Funny you should ask that because.......
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 04-14-16 07:35 AM #5
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    1 MLB Addition

    5 MLB Plays Thursday

    Padres +110 (Heritage)
    White Sox +103 (Heritage)
    White Sox / Twins OVER 8.5 +105 (Heritage)
    Yankees / Blue Jays OVER 8 -110 (Heritage)
    Diamondbacks +136 (5 Dimes)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 04-14-16 07:50 AM #6
    chosen4th
    chosen4th's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-29-12
    Posts: 1,106
    Betpoints: 886

    You're forgetting your 60%
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 04-14-16 08:03 AM #7
    newguy
    [Too Long]
    newguy's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-27-09
    Posts: 6,100
    Betpoints: 9990

    LT - how does your model work? Those padres have lost for you two nights in a row - scoring 1 run total in the two games. Not questioning you at all - cause your record speaks for itself - but have you explained the model in the past that I could just go back and look at it? Truly not questioning in any way - just always trying to learn how others cap. From what I can gather your model predicts score and likelihood of winning and you bet where you see value essentially right? But do you update it daily, weekly?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 04-14-16 09:37 AM #8
    ColoColo
    ColoColo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-14-16
    Posts: 1
    Betpoints: 6

    what are 60% Bets?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 04-14-16 09:46 AM #9
    jgold254
    jgold254's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-23-12
    Posts: 886
    Betpoints: 1840

    Hey LT, what are your 100% bets?? Now, tell me now! Come over to my house and enter my plays for me, too!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 04-14-16 09:55 AM #10
    Smoke
    Smoke's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-09-09
    Posts: 48,111
    Betpoints: 1510

    Quote Originally Posted by ColoColo View Post
    what are 60% Bets?
    They have a 60% chance of winning I assume
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 04-14-16 09:55 AM #11
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by jgold254 View Post
    Hey LT, what are your 100% bets?? Now, tell me now! Come over to my house and enter my plays for me, too!


    Sorry I totally forgot there is just one 60%er today:

    Cardinals 62% (-163)

    Keep in mind no pitcher announced yet for Nationals, so there could be another.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 04-14-16 10:37 AM #12
    Capybara
    Punta Cana, bitches!
    Capybara's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-17-08
    Posts: 11,803
    Betpoints: 6238

    Definitely on that White Sox over with you. Good luck today as always.

    My thread went 5-0 last night, I'm gunning for you and Nasher! Although I know it will take more than that to join the SBR Baseball Pantheon.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 04-14-16 10:53 AM #13
    blackHIPPY
    THESE NIGGAS PLANKTON
    blackHIPPY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-01-14
    Posts: 3,867
    Betpoints: 1610

    yay! some early action for us
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 04-14-16 10:59 AM #14
    WizKid1988
    WizKid1988's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-11-15
    Posts: 54
    Betpoints: 398

    Quote Originally Posted by jgold254 View Post
    Hey LT, what are your 100% bets?? Now, tell me now! Come over to my house and enter my plays for me, too!
    Lmaooo
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 04-14-16 11:12 AM #15
    rc86
    rc86's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-21-13
    Posts: 248
    Betpoints: 1524

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post


    Sorry I totally forgot there is just one 60%er today:

    Cardinals 62% (-163)

    Keep in mind no pitcher announced yet for Nationals, so there could be another.
    looks like some heavy RLM on the STL game
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 04-14-16 11:26 AM #16
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by rc86 View Post
    looks like some heavy RLM on the STL game
    Nothing at all for me there.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 04-14-16 11:52 AM #17
    MS Profits
    MS Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-11-16
    Posts: 12
    Betpoints: 1514

    Value in picking the Indians at +130?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 04-14-16 11:54 AM #18
    jgold254
    jgold254's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-23-12
    Posts: 886
    Betpoints: 1840

    Strasburg starting for Nats.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 04-14-16 12:14 PM #19
    Greencap
    Greencap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-10-16
    Posts: 6
    Betpoints: 840

    Quote Originally Posted by newguy View Post
    LT - how does your model work? Those padres have lost for you two nights in a row - scoring 1 run total in the two games. Not questioning you at all - cause your record speaks for itself - but have you explained the model in the past that I could just go back and look at it? Truly not questioning in any way - just always trying to learn how others cap. From what I can gather your model predicts score and likelihood of winning and you bet where you see value essentially right? But do you update it daily, weekly?
    I would also need to understand your model LT as I'm new to baseball.
    I've been following since the start of the week, thanks for the advices!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 04-14-16 12:28 PM #20
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post


    Sorry I totally forgot there is just one 60%er today:

    Cardinals 62% (-163)

    Keep in mind no pitcher announced yet for Nationals, so there could be another.
    Also:

    Washington 69% (-223) with Strasburg
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 04-14-16 12:47 PM #21
    blackHIPPY
    THESE NIGGAS PLANKTON
    blackHIPPY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-01-14
    Posts: 3,867
    Betpoints: 1610

    Braves tonight
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 04-14-16 01:24 PM #22
    JassieJames
    JassieJames's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-03-09
    Posts: 988
    Betpoints: 594

    The Padres just can't score runs so far this year.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 04-14-16 01:36 PM #23
    Slanina
    Slanina's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-21-09
    Posts: 3,828
    Betpoints: 5895

    Padres make me want a refund on my MLB package.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 04-14-16 02:08 PM #24
    dirtycash66
    dirtycash66's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-13-12
    Posts: 2,958
    Betpoints: 18610

    not looking good so far
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 04-14-16 04:11 PM #25
    jgold254
    jgold254's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-23-12
    Posts: 886
    Betpoints: 1840

    Quote Originally Posted by blackHIPPY View Post
    Braves tonight
    LOL!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 04-14-16 05:12 PM #26
    WalkingLuckCharm
    WalkingLuckCharm's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-07-10
    Posts: 4,192
    Betpoints: 2947

    fk the braves
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 04-14-16 08:33 PM #27
    dirtycash66
    dirtycash66's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-13-12
    Posts: 2,958
    Betpoints: 18610

    Definitely not one of Lt's best day
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 04-15-16 05:41 AM #28
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Meh, Friday is another day.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 04-15-16 08:37 AM #29
    Smoke
    Smoke's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-09-09
    Posts: 48,111
    Betpoints: 1510

    Did he win?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | Baseball Betting | Next Thread »