1. #1
    iloseagain
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    VERY Weird line and Team Totals in Bal/Bos game later

    So the over opened at 9.5. Moved down to 9 even though 86% on over according to sportsinsights.

    Bos TT is o4.5 -125
    Bal TT is o3.5 -135

    So the team totals only add up to 8.. The over is 9.. And baltimore is 6-0, while averaging 5+ runs per game (31 in 6 games). They have only gone under 4 once. They have scored 3, 4, 4, 6, 5, 9.

    This is the fishiest line i have seen in a while

    What gives? Wind blowing across the diamond, so its not like the wind is blowing in from center at 20 mph.

    Buchholz sucks. He DOES have a 3.65 career ERA vs bal, but most of those starts were when he was decent. He got hammered in his first outing against a medicore indians lineup. Please someone explain to me how Bal doesnt score 4 rung tonight.

  2. #2
    ShowMeDaMoney
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    maybe I'm just one of the suckers but I jumped on over 9 with zero hesitation. two units.

  3. #3
    newguy
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    Interesting. I would look at both unders (tt and game) given that fact pattern. Does seem like they are begging you to take over.

  4. #4
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by iloseagain View Post
    So the over opened at 9.5. Moved down to 9 even though 86% on over according to sportsinsights.

    Bos TT is o4.5 -125
    Bal TT is o3.5 -135

    So the team totals only add up to 8.. The over is 9.. And baltimore is 6-0, while averaging 5+ runs per game (31 in 6 games). They have only gone under 4 once. They have scored 3, 4, 4, 6, 5, 9.

    This is the fishiest line i have seen in a while

    What gives? Wind blowing across the diamond, so its not like the wind is blowing in from center at 20 mph.

    Buchholz sucks. He DOES have a 3.65 career ERA vs bal, but most of those starts were when he was decent. He got hammered in his first outing against a medicore indians lineup. Please someone explain to me how Bal doesnt score 4 rung tonight.
    Those TT's are common, that happens all the time. I took the LAD game, and their TT's are 1/2 run less. Some days it is a full run. Don't read anything into that. And how Baltimore doesn't score 4 runs, because, I already took them over 3.5, that's how. LOL.

  5. #5
    pavyracer
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    You can't score .5 a run in baseball. So for the over you need 5+4 which equals the total of 9 runs offered. The TT are also heavily juiced.

  6. #6
    blackHIPPY
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    i got 600 on bos

  7. #7
    iloseagain
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    You can't score .5 a run in baseball. So for the over you need 5+4 which equals the total of 9 runs offered. The TT are also heavily juiced.
    True.. I just figured the tt usually are closer to the total when added up. I see what u mean though
    Last edited by iloseagain; 04-12-16 at 04:29 PM.

  8. #8
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    You can't score .5 a run in baseball. So for the over you need 5+4 which equals the total of 9 runs offered. The TT are also heavily juiced.
    I think he was implying it seemed fishy that the two TT's don't add up to the game TT. That' s what I was referring to, and it does happen all the time. And believe it or not, I know you can't have .5 runs in a game, not rocket science. But thanks for the heads up.

  9. #9
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    I think he was implying it seemed fishy that the two TT's don't add up to the game TT. That' s what I was referring to, and it does happen all the time. And believe it or not, I know you can't have .5 runs in a game, not rocket science. But thanks for the heads up.
    Isn't the total for over 9 -105? But the TT add up to 8 because they are offered at -125 & -135. It's all factored in the juice.

  10. #10
    unusialsusp5
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    april night games at fenway haven't been big run totals in the past. day games yes. but this bum pitching for baltimore 30 er in his last 30 innings last year and the stereo thief having command issues for boston still begs this to go over. weather a factor here tonite, tread lightly.

  11. #11
    Louisvillekid1
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    I think clay deals

  12. #12
    iloseagain
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    Quote Originally Posted by unusialsusp5 View Post
    april night games at fenway haven't been big run totals in the past. day games yes. but this bum pitching for baltimore 30 er in his last 30 innings last year and the stereo thief having command issues for boston still begs this to go over. weather a factor here tonite, tread lightly.
    Weather a factor? Its 50 and sunny here
    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    I think clay deals
    Probably.

  13. #13
    unusialsusp5
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    Quote Originally Posted by iloseagain View Post
    Weather a factor? Its 50 and sunny here

    Probably.
    yes, the sun came out after raining all day. heavy sea breeze air in april a factor though. still think it goes over but hardly a lock. sun will disappear by game time, 45 and raw.

  14. #14
    upscope
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    U seem to be ignoring the juice factor -135 & -125 is some heavy fkkin' wood

  15. #15
    iloseagain
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    Quote Originally Posted by upscope View Post
    U seem to be ignoring the juice factor -135 & -125 is some heavy fkkin' wood
    not ignoring it.. TT are always juiced. -120 seems to be a pretty normal TT. I just figured it would be 4.5 and 4.5. Or 5 and 4. Not 3.5 and 4.5 regardless of juice

  16. #16
    iloseagain
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    Wellp.. Bucholz gets out of the 1st.. He didnt look very good though.. He left quite a few pitches over the plate and they could have EASILY taken advantage of some of those pitches, but they didnt. Oh well.. Good start for O's even though they didnt get any runs

  17. #17
    jtoler
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    Not weird, overs are juiced a bit.

  18. #18
    ShowMeDaMoney
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    Quote Originally Posted by iloseagain View Post
    Wellp.. Bucholz gets out of the 1st.. He didnt look very good though.. He left quite a few pitches over the plate and they could have EASILY taken advantage of some of those pitches, but they didnt. Oh well.. Good start for O's even though they didnt get any runs
    He'll get hit around at some point. Sox have two up already... we're looking good

  19. #19
    iloseagain
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    Quote Originally Posted by jtoler View Post
    Not weird, overs are juiced a bit.
    please tell me when tt overs arent juiced? Theyre almost always juiced AND add up to the total..

  20. #20
    jtoler
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    Quote Originally Posted by iloseagain View Post
    please tell me when tt overs arent juiced? Theyre almost always juiced AND add up to the total..
    Both TT's arnt usually juiced that much though. 3 out of the 4 remaining games TT's dont add up to the total, the farther away from the total the more juice, the closer to the total, less juice.

  21. #21
    iloseagain
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    fair enough.. just seems over tt are usually -120 minimum but maybe not

  22. #22
    paco
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    Balti sucks

  23. #23
    iloseagain
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    wellp.. 4-4 lol. easy $$.. well, push at worst

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